Nice Today!

posted in: Michigan Weather Forecast | 9

After a long dry spell, we took a big chunk out of our rain deficit yesterday.  We had 1.02 inches which brings us to 1.85 inches for the month most of it falling this week.  Yesterday’s high temp was 56.5° and a low of 46°.  We currently have 46° at 7:30.

We have the promise of warmer temps today with plenty of sunshine before showers move back into the area this evening and overnight. We may also see a few thunderstorms near and west of US 131.  After that, another long period of dry weather is in the forecast.

Forecast Discussion

-Dry, breezy, and much warmer today; rain tonight

Upper low over Lake Huron departs this morning taking the clouds
and the few remaining showers with it. Mostly sunny skies with
milder high temps in the lower 70s to prevail with brief period of
shortwave ridging, although gusty winds to near 25 mph from the
west-southwest develop by late morning. Recent upwelling of cold
water in the nearshore waters (water temps in the 40s now) should
result in colder high temps for lakeshore communities today.

Another upper low/shortwave drops in from the northwest tonight
and sends a sfc cold front through the area. Models have been
very consistent in showing widespread rain amounts around of one
half inch as the front comes through so categorical pops are the
way to go tonight.

Instability is generally lacking so support for thunder not high.
The exception is along the Lake Michigan shoreline where influx
of warmth/moisture off the lake may lead to a better chance of
storms. Even though our nearshore waters are chilly, water temps
are still in the mid to upr 60s over the majority of the lake and
the southwest flow will send that warmer water back in our
direction. Models have 500-1000 J/KG of MUCape over the lake and
along the coast north of Holland 00Z-06Z, but it tails off rapidly
after that, with less then 500 J/KG progged for inland areas. A
period of gusty winds may accompany the showers.


-Mainly dry weekend with seasonal temperatures

Rain clears the eastern section of the CWFA very early Saturday
with the cold frontal passage, then cooler/breezy conditions
expected with highs in the mid 60s. The NAM is much farther south
with the upper low and cold pool Sat afternoon and evening and is
generating scattered showers over much of the area between 18Z and
06Z Sunday. (Even a suggestion of thunder along the lakeshore)
Most other guidance keeps the area dry so will not go with the
more aggressive NAM, but it is something to watch. We can probably
at least count on some cloudiness/sprinkles dropping south across
the area north of I-96 in the afternoon/evening on Saturday.

Dry weather expected Sunday with upper low/trough positioned to
our northeast, but northwest flow aloft and incoming warmer air
will support some cloudiness. A partly sunny day with highs in
lower 70s. The H8 warm front overhead and a final shortwave
dropping through the northwest flow may support a few showers on
Sunday nigh per the ECMWF.

-Dry with above normal temperatures most of next week

Ensemble guidance remains fairly consistent on a lengthy dry
pattern with persistent ridging/dry air settling in for next
week. Temperatures expected to run at least 5-10 degrees above
normal.

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Sandy (Hudsonville)
Sandy (Hudsonville)

It was beautiful outside today. I could take a whole lot of days like today.

Mark (East Lansing)
Mark (East Lansing)

Just finished mowing. It was long! A bunch of rain will do that. Gorgeous day today.

Nathan (forest Hills)
Nathan (forest Hills)

Next 2 weeks look great! 70s and lots of sunny days. Best time of the year imo (but most boring weatherwise)

INDY
INDY

Let 9 months of cool weather prevail FALL WINTER AND SPRING woo woo….INDY

Mookie
Mookie

We’ve been having short 2.5 month winters lately. Let’s hope that continues again!

Sandy (Hudsonville)
Sandy (Hudsonville)

🙂

Sandy (Hudsonville)
Sandy (Hudsonville)

🙂

Mookie
Mookie

Here comes the warmup! The next 3+ weeks look amazing!

Slim

Here at my house I recorded a total of 1.45″ of rain fall for this event. The official high at Grand Rapids of 57 yesterday was the 9th coldest for any September 23rd it was the coldest high for any September 23 at Grand Rapids since a 56 in 1995 the record for the date is 49 back in 1928. We will be going to the Tiger’s game tonight. It looks like the rain will hold off until after the game.
Slim