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Morning Rain – The Michigan Weather Center
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Morning Rain

We have been spoiled thus far this fall with lots of sunny days and dry warm weather.  The CPC continues with these conditions right through the end of the month.  I can’t help but think there will be a flip somewhere down the line, it is just a matter of when.

We have some showers out over Lake Michigan which will move inland this morning, we are not expecting much from that.  Skies will gradually clear for another sunny day.  Another better chance of rain will come tomorrow night into Sunday morning.


Weather History

1935: Snowflakes are observed across Lower Michigan and Grand Rapids has a record cold high temperature of 42 degrees.

1951: Summer-like weather prevailed with lows in the mid-60s and highs in the 80s. Record highs include 87 degrees at Grand Rapids, 86 at Lansing, and 83 at Muskegon.

On October 4, 1990, Genesee County experienced an F2 tornado at 5:00 pm that injured one person and cost $2.5 million in damages.


NWS Forecast

Today
Mostly cloudy, then gradually becoming sunny, with a high near 72. Northeast wind 6 to 8 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph.
Tonight
Clear, with a low of around 42. North northwest wind 6 to 8 mph becoming east-northeast after midnight.
Saturday
Sunny, with a high near 74. East wind 6 to 14 mph becoming south in the afternoon.
Saturday Night
Showers are likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 2 am. Mostly clear, with a low around 61. South southeast wind 10 to 16 mph, with gusts as high as 29 mph. The chance of precipitation is 60%—new rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Sunday
Showers are likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 8 am. Sunny, with a high near 71. West wind 10 to 17 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph. The chance of precipitation is 60%.
Sunday Night
Mostly clear, with a low of around 45.
Monday
Sunny, with a high near 63.
Monday Night
Mostly clear, with a low of around 40.
Tuesday
Sunny, with a high near 65.
Tuesday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 38.
Wednesday
Sunny, with a high near 67.
Wednesday Night
Clear, with a low of around 41.
Thursday
Sunny, with a high near 68.


Forecast Discussion

- Clearing Today With Patchy Frost North Tonight

Water vapor imagery shows a mid-level wave over Wisconsin that will
swing through this morning driving through a band of altostratus.
Radar and upstream surface obs suggest light showers on the order of
T-0.01" of rain are possible if the rain can overcome the sub-cloud
dry layer.

Skies then clear over the course of the day as the wave exits and
ridging and high pressure take hold. It looks to be a chilly night
Friday night as the clear skies and light winds provide ample
conditions for radiational cooling. Look for lows ranging from the
mid 40s near I94 to the mid 30s in our traditional cool spots near
US10. This could lead to areas of patchy frost near US10.

- Chance of rain Saturday night then fair and cool next week

Upper low traversing southern Canada brings a negatively tilted
trough axis through the central Great Lakes Saturday night with cold
front pushing through. Showers and a few thunderstorms are expected
along and ahead of the cold front. Wind profiles show impressive
deep layer shear of 40 to 50 knots and enough instability for deep
convection.

The limiting factor for severe wind gusts is that this occurs at the
time of diurnal inversion with a near surface stable layer. NAM
soundings show strong UVVs through the hail growth region so deeper,
more persistent updrafts will have to be monitored for large hail.

The front moves east Sunday along with the chance for rain and high
pressure builds in.  The high is of Canadian origin and will bring
frost/freeze threat from Tuesday morning to Thursday morning with
low temperatures in the 30s possible.
newest oldest
Mark (East Lansing)
Mark (East Lansing)

I hope the clouds & rain don’t ruin our chances of seeing the aurora tomorrow night.

*SS*
*SS*

Gosh me too!!

Slim

The official H/L yesterday at Grand Rapids was 76/49 there was no rainfall there was 99% of possible sunshine. For today the average H/L is 66/46 the record high of 87 was set in 1951 the coldest high of 42 was set in 1935 the record low of 30 was set in 1943 and 1965 the warmest low of 65 was set in 1965 and 2013. The most rainfall of 1.28” fell in 1991.
Slim