We have a couple of inches of the white stuff on the ground this morning with a temperature of 32° at 6 am.
Yesterday the high temperature was 49° and the low was 32°. Working outside yesterday afternoon in the wind wasn’t pleasant as the temperatures dropped.
A low-pressure system developing overhead will transition the lake-effect snow to wet, slushy accumulations today. The heaviest amounts will be west of US 131, especially west of Kalamazoo and in the higher terrain northeast of Reed City. In those areas 1 to 3 inches is expected with locally up to 4 inches possible.
Weather History
1880: Bitterly cold conditions prevail across Lower Michigan. It’s the coldest November day on record at Lansing with a high of only 12 degrees. The low of four below zero is the earliest subzero temperature on record there.
1913: Record warmth prevails across Lower Michigan, with high temperatures in the upper 60s and lower 70s. The 70-degree reading at Grand Rapids is a late-season record.
On November 21, 2015, a record-setting snowstorm hit Southeast Michigan. Snow began early in the day and gradually increased in intensity with widespread snowfall rates of 1 inch per hour. A particularly intense band brought rates upwards of 3 inches per hour to Howell, where a storm total of 16.8 inches was reported. In fact, numerous locations reported snowfall amounts between 10 and 16.8 inches in Livingston and Oakland Counties. The NWS office in White Lake measured 15.5″ making it the largest snowstorm the office has seen since it was built in 1994.
Also, on November 21, 1913, Detroit experienced record highs for two days: 67 degrees on the 21st and 69 degrees on the 22nd.
NWS Forecast
Forecast Discussion
- Light snow today The medium range models have done a splendid job with the track of the surface low. Several days ago they showed the low developing near western Lake Erie and then moving north across Lake Huron and then west over the Straits. That`s pretty much what has occurred with the low near the Straits currently. It should start making a move to the southwest and then south soon. Radar shows lake effect snow showers falling over the cwa with synoptic snow farther north over northern Lower. We should start to see the synoptic snow begin to move south within the next few hours. Latest model trends, however, shows the bulk of the snow remaining over the lake and west into Wisconsin. This will result in reduced accumulations today. Still looking at an inch or two this morning across the northern cwa before the low moves through and subsidence behind coupled with a flip to offshore winds puts an end to the snow. Most if not all of the lake effect snow should be done by 1-2 pm. Today will be chilly with highs in the upper 30s to lower 40s. Once the surface low moves south this afternoon, ridging will nose into the cwa tonight and Friday. We reduced PoPs tonight and Friday with the drier air in mind. - A Period of Rain Showers Sunday night through Monday night There may be a lingering shower Friday night into early Saturday with one more short wave clipping the area to the NE and some possible light lake effect rain showers. Overall though precipitation chances will be on the diminishing trend, and completely ending by Saturday night. We will see dry conditions and mild weather return briefly for Sunday with ridging at the sfc and aloft traversing the area. The most organized system in the longer term will be affecting the area beginning on Sunday night and lingering through Monday night. This system will be supported by energy being ejected by the current massive Pacific NW storm ongoing. This energy lifts into the Upper Midwest, and consolidates into a better upper system as it heads toward the region. The sfc front out ahead of this upper system will initially be rather dry without sufficient moisture advection ahead of it. Some rain showers are expected to eventually develop in the warm air advection region of this system focused over Northern Lower later Sunday night as some moisture arrives. Can`t rule out a shower across our forecast area. The better chance for precipitation with this system is actually on the backside of the sfc low, and more associated with the upper wave that will move in later Monday. The better forcing with the upper wave, some moisture that advects in, combined with a boost from Lake Michigan will bring in the better chances for rain late Monday and Monday night. - Seasonable temperatures and unsettled weather Tue and Wed We see the more organized chances for rain move out by Tuesday, but rain chances do not completely end. We do see some sfc ridging building over the area behind the Monday system. However, the upper level pattern becomes nearly zonal for a bit and brings some weak short waves through. These short waves will not have much moisture to work with, but just enough forcing and lake enhancement to keep a small chance of rain showers in for Tuesday and Wednesday. Temperatures will cool off a bit for Tuesday and Wednesday behind the Monday system.
Wind chills below 0 coming that’s the talk of the town today in my hood with a warmer lake Michigan GREAT SCOTTY! INDY
Good to have you back INDY! Let’s hope for a wild winter!
Im Ready Kyle I have good insights Winter will be above average around west Michigan…thanks for saying hi …INDY
I like the sounds of above average!
Nothing like a trace of snow to bring out the snow crazies here that have been hibernating with our warm spring, summer, and fall!
December looks cold and very snowy around west Michigan rock n roll will never die ….INDY
Keep rocking with those winter thoughts! I love it!
Awesome snowy day! Winter rocks!
Bill just put out some thoughts on the end of November into Early December. It’s worth a read on his blog. Let the good times roll!
Love Bills blog we used hace a good time with the comments on it let’s goooo!! INDY
We now have 20 days of November 2024 in the record books and the mean at Grand Rapids is 48.2 that is a departure of +6.1. This should be the peak departure for the month as a cooler pattern set up for the next 10 days. The high for the month is 68 and the low so far is 28. There has been 2.62” of precipitation a departure of +0.45” and a trace of snowfall a departure of -3.5”
Slim
Loving this Wintery weather we are having this morning its about time and it looks like we are on the brink of a big pattern change! Bring it on! INDY
Welcome back Indy
Slim
Thanks Slim I missed you guys let it snow! INDY
Hey Indy, any seasonal snowfall predictions yet? The prelim RDB gives GR 80 to 90 inches!! Get ready to rock?
Yes yes yes call me crazy I’m going with 107 inches 🤪 I’m thinking once Winter gets rocken it’s going to snow till April I have very good insights on this stay tunned and get resdy now …here we goooo!! INDY
I love that outlook!
Indy returns right when the snow begins 😀
READY…let’s Goooo! INDY
The official H/L yesterday at GR was 50/34 there was 0.05” of precipitation a trace of snowfall. The highest wind was 37 MPH out of the W. There was 10% of possible sunshine. For today the average H/L is 45/31 the record high of 70 was set in 1913 the coldest high of 24 was set in 1964. The record low of 10 was set in 2014 the warmest low of 60 was set in 1913. The wettest was 1.79” in 1979 the most snow was 4.0” in 1996 the most on the ground was 13” in 2000.
Slim
Had the 1st snowfall of the season overnight I had 0.2” of snowfall and with the rain from yesterday at total of 0.18” of precipitation there is a trace of snow on the ground. The current temperature is 33 with light snow falling.
Slim
We had 2.9 inches of snow. .26 inches of rain and snow melted. We have a total of 3.19 inches of rain for November. 6.84 inches for the fall thus far.
60s to snow. Never know what you’re going to get this time of year.
Our pup experienced snow for the first time this morning. It was fun to watch. He had a blast.