Perseid meteor shower
We are in Milwaukee this weekend. We took the Badger ferry Friday morning. It was clear and 60 when we were in Ludington. There were clouds over the lake and the trip across was smooth but it was cloudy all the way across. And it was still cloudy in Manitowoc. The temperature was 71 in Manitowoc. We bought gas in Manitowoc for 3.69 a gallon. It cleared up by the time we got to Milwaukee and the temperature was up to 85. At the current time it is clear and 74 with a DP of 71.
I have toss up some information on the Perseid Meteor shower that happens in the next week. If the sky is clear this would be a good time to see if you can see a meteor. When I was younger it would one of the summer events that I would stay up for sometimes all night long.
The predicted peak for this year is on August 13th In most years, we would recommend you to watch the Perseids’ peak on the mornings of August 11, 12 and 13. Unfortunately, the moon will be up all night during the peak of 2022’s Perseid meteor shower. However, note that this shower tends to rise to a peak gradually, and then fall off rapidly after the peak. That means you can watch for Perseid meteors in the week or 10 days before the peak. You won’t see as many meteor as you would in a dark, moon-free sky at the peak. But, in 2022, we don’t have a moon-free sky at the peak. Also note that the Perseids strengthen in number as late night deepens into the wee hours of the morning. The shower is often best before dawn. So, in 2022, we recommend you start watching in early August, from late evening to dawn. Watch on multiple mornings, until the waxing moon – brighter each night, and up for more hours – drives you back inside.
Slim
Latest Forecast Discussion:
Main focus is the heavy rain potential through Monday as an area
of PWATS over 2 inches pools ahead/along an approaching slow
moving cold front. Unfortunately confidence remains quite low at
this time as to if/when/where heavy rain amounts may set up since
guidance/CAMs still not in good agreement. Certainly an ideal
environment/synoptic pattern be present; the specifics just
aren
t very clear.Currently the air mass over MI is rather dry so any remnant
upstream activity should tend to dry up as it heads our way
tonight. Pops ramp up in the Ludington area however late
tonight/early Sunday on the nose of a 25-35 kt wsw-oriented low
level jet stretching from KS to WI. Models differ greatly on
magnitude and behavior of this low level jet, but arrival of the
much higher PWAT air should have some accompanying showers and
isolated storms early Sunday.
Some question as to how much instability builds over the area on
Sunday since upstream convection may send a good deal of
debris cloudiness our way. Also deep layer shear remains very
weak at less than 15kts (am skeptical of the NAMs pockets of
30-35 kt shear values). The main belt of stronger westerlies on
Sunday remains well off to our north/northwest so it seems the
main impetus for convection should be with any areas of better sfc
convergence. Will carry highest pops Sunday north of I-96, but
again confidence in pcpn coverage is not high.
Best threat of seeing better coverage of rain and localized heavy
rainfall/flooding should be on Sunday night and Monday. That is
when the shortwave currently over MT will be moving toward upper
MI and bringing the cold front through the region. Better values
of deep layer shear dip farther south into cntl and nrn Lwr MI
during this time, so a better chance of having more organized
convection and a more meaningful, impactful low level jet.
Warm rain processes with freezing levels above 15K ft and very
deeply saturated fcst soundings through 45k ft supports the
possibility of streaks of 2-5″ of rain. This could be problematic
for urban and small stream flooding especially if any of the
streaks align/overlap the heavier streaks which fell during the
last event on Wednesday.
August certainly seems warmer than July so far. Thankfully things “cool off” next week.
Get ready for the cold front! Next week will be near to below temps again! What a summer!
It’s yucky out. 90 degrees with a heat index just shy of 100. Borderline heat advisory material. It’s our 18th 90-degree day of the season, I believe.
There’s been quite a few 90s over here east of GR. I lost track so I’m not sure where I’m at at my house. Very nice summer. Some hot days and some very comfortable days.
It has been a very nice summer for sure.
We currently have a steamy 83 degrees with a dp of 76. Yesterday we reached 85 degrees and the low was 68.
Forecast Discussion:
–Warm and humid weekend to start–
Dry air aloft with high pressure over the region will allow for
warm advection today. +18C at 850mb along with a +2 to 3 positive
fin the NAEFS mean Temp anomalies is a good signal for above
normal temperatures today. So expect low to mid-90s across the
region. It will be fairly dry, so while it will be hot and at
times oppressive it will not reach advisory criteria.
— Showers and storms Sunday into Monday —
A deepening trough over eastern Canada will drape a boundary
across the Great Lakes region and through the upper midwest
Sunday into Monday. This approaching boundary will bring an
increase of moisture and will potentially bring a prolonged period
of showers and storms. PWATS will be in the +2 to + 3 standard
deviation with PWAT values of 2 inches from Sunday through Monday
afternoon. Model soundings become moist Sunday afternoon with deep
moisture Sunday evening. WPC excessive outlook has the region in
a slight marginal risk. While periods of storms are possible,
especially as the mid to upper-level jet moves through the
region, the primary threat will be localized heavy rainfall.
The strongest storm development seems to have shifted and based on jet
placement should be through southern lower Michigan.
–Slightly cooler and dry through next week —
Behind the cold front, max temperatures will drop to near to below
normal. Periods of showers could linger through Monday into
Tuesday before a semi-permanent high develops over the four
corners region. Models are in fair agreement through Thursday,
Only 10:30 in the morning and the heat index has already soared over 90 degrees. This has been a very steamy week, even the nights. Haven’t dropped below 70 degrees in quite a few days now.
It’s been three or four consecutive nights with 70+ lows. I feel for those without A/C.
I would much rather take the ferry to Wisconsin than drive. We drove to Milwaukee in January and the traffic in Chicago was absolutely horrendous! Add that with the tolls and it was a total joke!
I drove around lake Michigan a few years ago all the way through the U.P. and back. The worst was going through Gary and Chicago – not for the faint of heart.
The traffic seems to be ridiculous many hours of the day and you get racked by the toll fees. Definitely taking a different route to Wisconsin next time around.
As we head into September the near normal temp pattern is rocking!
https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/WK34/
First winter storm warning of the year up in the Brooks Range in Alaska. A sign of the direction we are slowing Turing towards. Probably be a few months before that gets here but a sign of the times.
Fantastic!
I’m ready for a true “blizzard” one of these winters. been 11 years since our last one.
I am with you and a blizzard would be incredible’
Milwaukee will be hosting the 2024 Republican nomination convention im going counting the days so excited…. Just like the cool weather coming next week tenps in the 70’s yeahhhhh …. INDY
I love it – accuweather is talking winter storms already! Hopefully a sign of things to come! Bring it on!
https://www.accuweather.com/en/winter-weather/us-gets-first-winter-storm-warning-of-the-season/1228306
We rode the Badger almost 30 years ago on our honeymoon. The morning we went in late September Lake Michigan was flat like a sheet of glass almost the entire way across, the only waves or ripples were from the ferry. Never seen the lake that flat and haven’t since, yet somehow my wife still got seasick going across.
Fall is looking like normal temps, so keep the string of near normal temps rocking! Rock n roll will never die!
Good morning from Milwaukee. At this time it is clear here and the reported temperature is 74 with a DP of 72. I have not been outside yet but it is clear. As for Grand Rapids the official H/L yesterday was 85/70 there was no rain fall and the sun was out 44% of the time. For today the record H/L is 102 in 1918 and the record low of 46 was in 1948 and 1994. Here in Milwaukee the H/L yesterday was 81/64 the record high here was 100 also set in 1918 and the record low was 50 set in 1971. Today looks to be very warm and humid on both sides of the lake. We are going to the Wisconsin State Fair later today so it will be a hot day there. Tomorrow were are going to a Brewers baseball game. There looks like there could be some rain for the game but there is a retractable roof there so that rain will not be a problem.
Slim
How long did it take to get across the lake on the Badger?
Muggy, foggy and 72 here. Another uncomfortably warm night.
it took 4 hours. Played bingo I won one game and won a new hat.
Slim
👍
We will ride the Badger eventually. At least, I hope so.