Welcome to the first day of meteorological fall. Actually autumn is much easier to say and write. Autumn is the season of the year that is the transition period from summer to winter, occurring as the sun approaches the winter solstice. Meteorological autumn (different from standard/astronomical autumn) begins September 1 and ends November 30. Fall really begins September 23rd and is called the autumnal equinox as the Sun crosses the celestial equator going south.
We ended the month of August with 3.61 inches of rain total and 13.60 for the season – these are all Otsego totals recorded through CoCoRaHS.
It would be nice if the Colorado Climate Center where all this rain data is recorded could set up a daily high and low temperature database for the same stations which record rainfall totals. Their databases are easy to search for any date criteria.
We have light rain in the area this morning which will be around through early afternoon – high temps will be around 70 °. We will have pleasant temps Monday and Tuesday with highs near 80°. After that we will have a cooler period with a 70% chance of below normal temps. Normals are 74/54 for the beginning of September.
Tuesday bears watching with chances of severe weather in the forecast.
The scenario remains ominous for severe weather at this time for multiple reasons. The feature driving this scenario is a strong upper wave diving SE toward the Upper Great Lakes. This wave will be coming in right toward peak heating, which could feature temps well into the 80s with dew points in the mid 60s or so.
Below is the forecast map for Tuesday – the hatched area over Michigan is where the chances of severe storms are possible.
Dorian’s predicted path is ever changing, below is the latest from the NHC:
In other news, Justin Verlander threw his 3rd no-hitter. Can you imagine if we still had JV and Scherzer?
Yes instead of being in last place they would be in third place! Not much of a difference!
Good luck to all this Winter…an entire year below average prior to Winter’s onslaught. I remember mentioning the word “catastrophic” last May, while referring to Winter 2020. Hopefully, everybody spent this cold year preparing for what is on our doorstep. Again…here’s hoping everybody makes it through.
Sounds great!
Lots of hot coffee!
63* cool degrees out at thee YARDofBRICKS great night for a fire …Fall is in thee air ..INDY
65 here at my house, Today will be the coolest high for September 1st since 2003. And could be a top ten coolest highs for the date,
Slim
The month of August ended up on a cool note in parts of Michigan
PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
738 AM EDT SAT AUG 31 2019
..OVERNIGHT LOW TEMPERATURE REPORTS
THE FOLLOWING ARE LOW TEMPERATURE OBSERVATIONS OVER THE LAST 12 HOURS
ENDING AT 7:30 AM ON AUGUST 31, 2019. NOTE: ONLY TEMPERATURES OF 40
DEGREES OR COLDER WERE INCLUDED IN THIS REPORT.
LOCATION TEMP TIME/DATE LAT/LON
ROSCOMMON 32 F 0710 AM 08/31 44.47N/84.57W
ATLANTA 35 F 0408 AM 08/31 45.15N/84.19W
GRAYLING – ARMY AIRFIELD 36 F 0658 AM 08/31 44.68N/84.73W
LUZERNE 37 F 0716 AM 08/31 44.64N/84.24W
MIO 37 F 0700 AM 08/31 44.68N/84.13W
4 W RACO 37 F 0704 AM 08/31 46.36N/84.80W
HOUGHTON LAKE – ROSCOMMON CO 38 F 0653 AM 08/31 44.35N/84.67W
TROUT LAKE 38 F 0727 AM 08/31 46.19N/84.98W
CADILLAC – WEXFORD COUNT ARP 39 F 0658 AM 08/31 44.27N/85.42W
1 WNW REXTON 39 F 0713 AM 08/31 46.15N/85.27W
RUDYARD 39 F 0714 AM 08/31 46.24N/84.51W
ALGER 40 F 0701 AM 08/31 44.13N/84.12W
GRAWN 40 F 0725 AM 08/31 44.64N/85.69W
MANCELONA 40 F 0730 AM 08/31 44.90N/85.07W
GRAYLING 40 F 0712 AM 08/31 44.72N/84.71W
PELLSTON – RGNL AIRPORT OF E 40 F 0654 AM 08/31 45.57N/84.80W
OBSERVATIONS ARE COLLECTED FROM A VARIETY OF SOURCES WITH VARYING
EQUIPMENT AND EXPOSURES. WE THANK ALL VOLUNTEER WEATHER OBSERVERS
FOR THEIR DEDICATION. NOT ALL DATA LISTED ARE CONSIDERED OFFICIAL.
Slim
I had 0.17″ of rain fall overnight here at my house. With cloudy skies the current temperature here is 57. West Michigan over all had a near average August with Grand Rapids coming in with a mean temperature of 70.7° and that is a departure of just -0.1° The high for the month was 89 on the 4th and the low was 49 on the 31st. At the airport they reported 3.41″ of rain that is below the 30 year average of 3.59 for August. Muskegon came in with a departure of +0.4 the high for the month there was just 86 on the 13th and the low was 48 on the 31st with 2.16″ of rain fall well below the average of 3.39″ At Kalamazoo the departure there was +0.5 the highest for the month was 88 and the low was 49 Kalamazoo only recorded 1.73″ of rain. and in central Michigan at Lansing the departure there was +0.3 with the high for the month of 89 and the low of 47. with 1.57″ of rain reported.
Slim
Another below normal temp day is on tap! Incredible!
And a nother below normal month past ..Who would of thought? INDY
Best time of year is here we leave Summer 2019 with a few thoughts other then the 2 week heat back in July the heat really never came back after that!!! Incredible one would say! One of the better summer’s for severe weather had more storms to track then some summer’s past started out very damp the rider got lots of work as gas prices fell below 230 a gallon, air conditioners running at 70* degree day’s becouse of the high humidity some would say, we had to go into June I believe before we felt our first 80* degree day 5th longest run on record which = out slow start to the beach days back in May lots of cool nights and sprites .. Overall not a bad Summer day 2019 in anyway…Have a nice Saturday let’s get ready for Fall away..INDY
You know it Indy, this summer was great with minimal heat and only a few 90’s. Bring on Fall and then the snow!
I will do a summer recap later this week, but this summer had a cool June. Hot July and a near average August. With August departed of -0.1 that means at GR only July so far this year has been warmer than average.
Slim