Snowmen and March Outlook

This photo was taken by SS of the unhappy snowman, I am sure he (or she) is now is a small lump whimpering next to the tree.  The only snow I see know is up on Bittersweet down the road but most snowmen don’t have the ability to bounce around like Olaf to get up there to seek relief.

The feature image shows the rainfall amounts over the state from  the last system.

Surface high pressure over the area this morning will result in mostly cloudy skies and afternoon temperatures slightly above normal between 35 to 40 degrees.

The next system comes through the area tonight into Friday morning. This will bring the threat of some light freezing rain, possibly mixed with sleet and snow over northern sections late tonight into mid morning Friday.

It will warm enough that all areas will see just rain showers my mid to late morning Friday. That will be followed by a surface high Friday night into Saturday morning. However a much stronger system from the southern plains deepens rapidly and comes through Southwest Michigan Saturday night. This time it should be warm enough that most areas will just have rain showers. Our northeast sections could see a little freezing rain Saturday night however. This system moves out of the area by Sunday evening.

As for the “BIG PICTURE”, we still have large upper level high over the Southeastern CONUS with our Polar Vortex upper low displaced southward into Hudson Bay with a deep trough over the western CONUS. This creates a “Train track” set up for surface lows to follow toward the Great Lakes area. This pattern finally breaks down early next week, but until then we will continue to see systems coming out of the western trough into the Great Lakes.

The CPC outlook for March is out which shows equal chances of above or below normal temperatures and precipitation.  The CFSv2 has shown several cold outbreaks so we still have chances of snow throughout the month.

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