We had some freezing drizzle overnight with less than a tenth of an inch in most locations. We have 34° at 5:30 this morning. Temps will be falling throughout the day into the teens by late this afternoon. Yesterday’s high was 32.5° recovering from a low of 6.4° which was one of our coldest mornings thus far this winter. Another round of lake effect snow showers looks probable for tonight into Monday. Accumulations should be limited, but restrictions to visibility will be possible leading to hazardous travel.
The coldest air of the season will be passing through the state early this week with temps in the teens on Monday before making a recovery back into the 30s by Wednesday. The rest of the week should provide near normal temps with very little snow forecast until the next clipper system make an appearance next weekend.
We had 10 inches of snow last week in Otsego which brings us to 23 inches thus far for the season. Last year at this time we had only 8.7 inches, the year before that was 15 inches. Those seasons were mainly from synoptic events, not lake effect.
- Falling Temperatures Behind Cold Front Today A cold front will move into the area around sunrise this morning squashing any lingering drizzle and resulting in temperatures gradually falling throughout the day today. Temperatures will start off in the 30s across the area and gradually drop into the teens by this afternoon. While temperatures fall, winds will also shift west- northwest behind the front and gust up to 30-35mph. With tempeatures falling into the teens alongside gusty winds, wind chills will be down to zero across the area this afternoon and evening. - Snow Showers Tonight into Monday The coldest air of the season will sink further into place late tonight and Monday with 850mb temps down to near or below -20C across lower Michigan. Meanwhile another mid-level trough will slide into the region with accompanying moisture. These combined factors will support lake effect snow showers late tonight and Monday. The main inhibitor on snowfall accumulations will be small snowflake size as frigid temperatures push the DGZ nearly into the ground with moisture also limited to below 5000ft. While accumulations will be limited, visibilities may be impacted which will result in some hazardous travel. Snow showers may linger into early Tuesday, but as surface heights build to our west with approaching high pressure, northwest flow will be cut off and snow should come to an end by daybreak. - Mild End of the Week and Possible Clipper to Note Next Weekend With high pressure to our east Tuesday flow will turn southerly and warm air advection will support quickly warming temperatures. Temperatures will continuously warm throughout the day Tuesday and into Wednesday with highs in the 30s for the second half of the week. The next item to note looks to be a potential clipper system next weekend. Interestingly enough, there seems to be a rare day 5 consensus from the Canadian, GFS, and Euro on this system impacting the area with measurable precip next weekend. Ensemble agreement is still lacking quite a bit, however, so we still have quite a ways to go in regards to ironing out details and gaining confidence.