Longwaves
The hemispheric weather patterns are governed by mid-latitude (23.5°N/S to 66.5°N/S) westerly winds which move in large wavy patterns. Known as planetary waves, these longwaves are also called Rossby waves, named after Carl Rossby who discovered them in the 1930’s.
Rossby waves form primarily because of the earth’s geography which does two things. First, the earth’s heating from the sun is uneven due to the different shapes and sizes of the land mass (called differential heating of the earth’s surface). Second, the air can’t travel through a mountain so it must rise up and over or go around.
In both cases, the disruption of the air flow creates imbalances in temperature distribution both vertically and horizontally. The wind responds by seeking a return to a “balanced” atmosphere and changes speed and/or direction. However, as long as the sun keeps shinning, those imbalances will continue to develop. Thus, the wind will constantly be changing directions, and develop into wave-like patterns.
The length of longwaves vary from around 3,700 mi (6,000 km) to 5,000 mi (8,000 km) or more. They generally move very slowly from west to east. But occasionally they will become stationary or retrograde (move east to west).
The speed at which these large waves move should not to be confused with the speed of the wind found within the waves themselves. For example, there can be a strong jet stream wind of 100 kt (115 mph / 185 km/h) moving through the longwave but the position of long wave itself move may very little. The wave itself is not moving at 100 kt (115 mph / 185 km/h), just the wind within.
Rossby waves help to transfer heat from the tropics toward the poles and cold air toward the tropics trying to return the atmosphere to balance. They also help locate the jet stream and mark out the track of surface low-pressure systems. The number of longwaves at any one time varies from three to seven though it is typically four or five.
Their slow motion often results in fairly long persistent weather patterns. For example, locations between the trough and the downstream ridge can experience extended periods with rain or snow while at the same time 1,500 – 2,000 miles (3,000 – 4,000 km) upwind and/or downwind the weather is very dry.
This often can lead to a misconception where one assumes the weather he or she experiences is typical everywhere. That is simply not true. If one place is receiving cooler weather and/or flooding rains over a period of several days to weeks, then there are some other places where the weather is warm and dry for about the same period. It all depends upon the location of the longwaves relative to the observer.
Shortwaves
A “piece of energy”, “vort max” (or “vorticity maximum”), “pocket of cold air” (or “pocket of energy”), “upper level disturbance”, “upper level energy”, or just “shortwave” are some of the slang terms for waves with a length of less than 3,700 miles (6,000 km).
They are embedded within the longwaves. Unlike the slow movement of longwaves, shortwaves move east (downstream) on average of 23 mph (20 kts, 37 km/h) in summer and 35 mph (30 kts, 55 km/h) in winter. This motion causes longwaves to distort and change shape such as deepening longwave troughs and flattening longwave ridges.
Due to their variety of sizes, it can be difficult to discern shortwave embedded within a longwave by looking at a static map. One often needs to see looping images of the wave patterns to determine the difference between them.
In the animation at above from NASA’s Goddard Space Flight Center shows the both longwaves and shortwaves as indicated by the jet stream. The period covered by the loop is almost one month of days in June and July of 1988.
Shortwaves, embedded within longwaves, are also the chief instigator of episodes of precipitation. Main precipitation bands will be typically localized near the short wave as it passes overhead.
Below is an example of a 500 mb chart. The height contours are in black. The brown arrows indicate direction of airflow. The large red dashed lines represent the location of the long wave troughs.

The shorter blue dashed lines represent the location of the of the more prominent shortwaves. (There are more short waves than indicated.) The green areas represent precipitation totals. The areas of precipitation are mainly associated with shortwaves as they pass through longwaves. Like railroad cars on a train tack, shortwaves will generally follow height contours.
I was speaking to a gentleman yesterday who has a more than passing interest in the weather – he used to live on the other side of the lake in Wisconsin. During his time there he saw his share of tornadoes and funnel clouds including not only sisters but also triplets which are rare. We talked about how lake Michigan has an effect on our storm development and how it also kills many storm systems. Their snow comes from synoptic events while most of ours come from lake effect along the lakeshore counties. This is one reason winter weather predictions are so hard to forecast in the long range for our area along the lake – just a change in wind direction by a few degrees can change snow depth predictions for any one area…
We are now looking into next weeks possibility of snow which isn’t unheard of around Halloween – at this point it is still a bit early for an accurate forecast on how much snow if any will fall – I am thinking rain and snow showers next Tuesday night and Wednesday, we will have to wait and see for Thursdays forecast….
In the short term we will see a typical fall day in SW Michigan with clouds and temps around 50 – I am not seeing any 60s in the long term, low 50s will become the norm through the rest of of week – next week we will be lucky to get to near 50.
I noticed alot of the trees have popped with color this week. The ones that were at their peak here last week are bare. The winds didn’t help that. Pretty chilly out today but it sure felt like Fall. 🙂
Currently 47* degrees out at thee YARDofBRICKS NE of GR already 430pm and the temps are falling soon it will be getting dark at this time of day have to love that days are getting short fast …I was going back and looking at all my storm damage pictures from the Grand rapids area ice storms ice jams
polar vortex and floods to some what Tornadoe damage or straight line winds wow 2019 has been a destructive year for some and we can’t forget all the power outages either this 2019 will be one year to remember in the weather department that’s for sure very active year for storms ….INDY
Will have to do a end of the year summary on the this
Slim
Yes..We can’t forget about it Slim destructive year …INDY
Breaking news———- 9 out of the last 10 days this month we will see below normal temps and October will be another below normal temp month! That will make 8 out of the last 10 months in GR with below normal temps! An incredible pattern and no change in sight! Keep it rocking!
Hard for some to take in but Loving the facts yes keep it rocking is right …INDY
9 out of 10? I think you need to recheck that. Monday was above, Tuesday was either above or even, yesterday was above, that would make 3 already not below so reaching 9 would be impossible.
How about 7 out of the last 8 days, my mistake!
Maybe, but we can’t verify what hasn’t happened yet.
52 degrees out, perfect temp for being outside! Color on the trees has progressed some since the beginning of the week. Close to 50/50 between green and color now. I don’t recall many, if any at all, times going into November with trees that are still green. Snapped a pic so you can compare it to the one I posted Monday. Who said all these leaves would be gone by next week?
https://www.flickr.com/photos/184860862@N07/48953176193/in/dateposted-public/
49* degrees out at thee YARDofBRICKS NE of GR Im seeing more rain coming this weekend it sure has been a wet Fall and by next week it will be all snow loving it ….Have a super sunny Thursday …INDY
Last week in October and Houghton still has lots of color on the trees on the webcam.
Only 9 out of the 23 days in October have been below average.
My concern with the talk of snow next week is that all the leaves aren’t off the trees yet – a heavy snow could cause a lot of tree damage
Yes that could be a considerable problem in our area as many of the trees are still full and green. There are some who don’t take that into account when cheering for snow to come.
Good morning. Of note on the video on long and short waves. June and July of 1988 was a very hot and dry period here in Michigan. The H/L at Grand Rapids yesterday was 56/43. Here at my house I recorded 0.10” of rain fall. The current temperature here at my house is 42 after a low of 41. For today the average H/L is now down to 57/39. The record high is 80 set in 1963 and the record low is 24 set in 1969. Last year the H/L was 50/29.
Slim