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Long Range Forecast

Yesterday, we had a high of 26 and a low of 20.5. Our meager snowfall over the past two days was .5 inches.

We will see some sunshine today more so in inland areas.

A round of light snow moves in for Friday with the best chances for 2 or more inches of snow along and west of 131. Another round of snow is expected Sunday with the lake effect looking likely for next week.

All of the significant snow is moving south of the state once again.


CPC Forecasts




Michigan Forecasts

SW Michigan

 

SE Michigan

 

Northern Michigan


Weather History

1930: A snowstorm drops from 4 to 8 inches of snow across southwest Lower Michigan.

1977: Record cold prevails during one of the most severe winters in Michigan history. Records include the 17 below zero at Lansing, 14 below at Grand Rapids and 8 below at Muskegon.

2015: Temperatures in the single numbers and lake effect snow showers create icy roads resulting in a 193 car pileup on Interstate 94 and both east and westbound lanes are shut down between Battle Creek and Galesburg.

On January 9, 2004, a band of lake effect snow formed over Lake Huron and dropped 4-6 inches of snow across the northeast tip of the thumb.

Also on January 9, 1997, significant ice accumulation on the wings of Comair flight 3272, crashed in a field outside Detroit near Ida, Michigan. The plane was en route from Cincinnati, Ohio. All 29 people, including 26 passengers and three crew members, were killed.


Forecast Discussion

- Lakeshore snow flurries this morning

Lake effect snow is focused along a surface convergence zone which
has nudged offshore, while WSW winds near the top of the cloud layer
(around 5,000 feet) are casting flurries over land. Ridging,
warming, and drying in that layer will further limit snow production
today. A fair amount of sunshine is favored in mid and far southwest
Michigan.

- Friday area-wide snow accumulation with limited/minor impacts

The next Clipper, and its associated reinforcing cold air spilling
through the Canadian plains into the Midwest, will swing through
Michigan Friday through early Saturday. Just ahead of it will be
an extension of midlevel moisture from the southern US low
undergoing gentle lift for much of Friday. About 60-90 percent of
global ensemble members have QPF around 0.15 inches roughly near and
south of Muskegon-Alma, enough for a widespread 1 to 3 inch snowfall
between daybreak Friday and late Friday night.

In the lower levels, southwesterly winds and confluence along a
transient surface trough will provide a lake-effect contribution of
moisture and lift just below the DGZ to Muskegon County and adjacent
areas during part of the day Friday. This may increase snowfall
rates in that area and the chance of over 3 inch totals. Then Friday
night, the arrival of colder air underneath the 500 mb trough should
support briefly heavier bursts of lake effect snow near and west of
US-131 amid WNW surface winds.

- Snow Sunday to mid next week

A prolonged stretch of snow is likely, first with a surface low
and "warm" air advection Sunday in response to a progressive
shortwave trough moving from the Pacific NW to the Midwest, then
lake effect snow is likely to be maintained Mon-Tue as a polar low
settles into the northern Great Lakes region. Multi banded snow
showers would be favored in west to northwest winds, and may carry
well inland at times in the deep cyclonic flow. A relatively
challenging time for impacts may be Mon night into Tue as the 500
mb height minimum swings through with 850 mb air around -20 C,
supporting surface temperatures in the teens.

Today’s post on Substack

newest oldest
Rocky (Rockford)
Rocky (Rockford)

What a winter!!!! SNOW, SNOW, SNOW!!!!

Kyle (Portland, Ionia County)
Kyle (Portland, Ionia County)

Another WWA in West MI. Second one of 2025 I think. Love it!

INDY
INDY

Look for more County’s to be added overnight including Grand Rapids Michigan…. I also can see WSW coming Tuesday or Wednesday if you like cold and snow it’s a good thing no end in sight …INDY

INDY
INDY

And coming and coming πŸ˜†…INDY

Rocky (Rockford)
Rocky (Rockford)

Let is snow, let it snow, let it snow! What a winter! The cold and snow just keep coming and coming! Incredible!

Rocky (Rockford)
Rocky (Rockford)

Rock n roll!

INDY
INDY

What how and when WWA coming stay tuned!! This weekend is going to be snowy and cold lets gooo let’s gooo!! INDY

Kyle (Portland, Ionia County)
Kyle (Portland, Ionia County)

Today marks 10 years since the 193 car pile-up on I-94 in Kalamazoo County.

Slim

in my post on Saturday I am going to post information about a winter that if it were to happen in our current environment would cause most peoples head to spin.
Slim

Slim

Here is the current winter severity index so far this winter.
https://mrcc.purdue.edu/research/awssi
Slim

Slim

MI – Grand Rapids
AWSSI value: 208
AWSSI category: Moderate
Data Valid Through: 2025-01-08
Note the chart goes Mild, Moderate, Average and then severe so moderate is really not a bad winter at all.
Slim

Mark (East Lansing)
Mark (East Lansing)

Cool link. Very little blue on that map.

Rocky (Rockford)
Rocky (Rockford)

I have used my snowblower twice this year already and look forward to many more events! WOW!

Rocky (Rockford)
Rocky (Rockford)

GR is rapidly approaching 40 inches of snow! WOW!

Rocky (Rockford)
Rocky (Rockford)

There are multiple signs of many snow events the rest of this month! Who knew?

Kyle (Portland, Ionia County)
Kyle (Portland, Ionia County)

COLD this morning. I had 3 when I woke up this morning and storm team 8 showed 1 degrees in Ionia. Brrr!!

INDY
INDY

Blue blue and blue reminds me of the past two Summers cooler inview who knew?? INDY

Mookie
Mookie

β€œThere are little signs of any major snowstorms upcoming.” Big parts of Michigan are still under 10” of snow for the season.

Mark (East Lansing)
Mark (East Lansing)
Slim

The snow that has fallen in Grand Rapids has came and melted so fast that even with the over 35″ that official have fallen there has not been very much on the ground. And much of the snow fell with the roads so warm that it did not stay on the roads. Note there is a lot of snow on the ground up at The Soo but by the bridge just 50 miles away not much at all.
https://www.mackinacbridge.org/fares-traffic/bridge-cam/
Check out the bottom web cam.
Slim

Slim
Nathan (Forest Hills)
Nathan (Forest Hills)

The storm after thanksgiving had very bad driving though, I crashed my car for the first time during that one. And I was only going 4mph… very icy

Slim

The overnight low here in MBY was 12, it looks like the official low will be 8 at GRR. At the current time it is cloudy in MBY and 15. I had .4” of snowfall yesterday and there is still 1” of snow on the ground here.
Slim

Slim

The official H/L for GRR was 24/16 there was .001” precipitation that fell as .3” of snowfall. There was 1” of snow on the ground. The sun was out 1% of the time. For today the average H/L is 31/19 the record high of 57 was in 1939 the coldest high of 8 was in 1912. The record low of -14 was in 1977 the warmest low of 40 was in 1939. The most precipitation was 0.94” in 2024 the most snowfall of 8.0” fell in 1930 the most on the ground was 17” in 1999.
Slim

bernie Engels
bernie Engels

I like the fluffy nature of the snow, allowing shoveling, and keeping the snow blower in the garage. Lovely weather for my ice baths!

Slim

Yes, so far it has been a very easy winter. I have not had to use the snowblower yet this winter and have only shoveled once. And it has mostly made driving very easy as well.
Slim

Mark (East Lansing)
Mark (East Lansing)

The southerly storm track lately has kept it chilly but quiet. We had a dusting overnight. Cold 5 this morning, but zero wind.

Rocky (Rockford)
Rocky (Rockford)

Great CPC maps! The cold and snow will keep rocking all month long! Incredible winter so far! Keep the snow coming!