Increasingly Warmer

posted in: Michigan Weather Forecast | 5

We have had a very pleasant stretch of weather the past few days.  As we continue on through the week we will see our temps increase each day into the low to mid-80s with increasing dewpoints by this weekend.

Today skies will be partly cloudy with more in the way of clouds expected inland, as compared to the mainly sunny skies over the Lake Michigan beaches. It will be a bit hazy today as smoke remains in place aloft from western U.S. and Canadian wildfires. We cannot rule out a small chance for an isolated shower or thunderstorm in the late afternoon and evening hours. Chances for rain are around 15% to 20% so most areas will remain dry. Highs today will top out around 80 with light winds.

As we move into next week we should see above-normal temps and rainfall which could continue on through at least mid-month.  With the heat and humidity in place, our weather pattern may be a bit more active.


Forecast Summary

- Isolated showers and storms possible today

Cannot rule out an isolated shower or thunderstorm late this
afternoon and evening on and near the lake breeze front. Models
indicate the lake breeze front will stretch from the northeast
corner of the forecast area up near Clare southwest to near Benton
Harbor. If dew point nose up towards 60F pooled along the lake
breeze we may be able to generate MUCAPE values around 1,000 J/KG.
Wind fields are very weak aloft, so nothing close to severe is
anticipated, but some moderate rain and a few lightning strikes
are possible. Activity will fade after sunset.

- Dry tonight through Thursday

A very dry profile can be see in BUFKIT overviews between tonight
and the end of the day on Thursday. High pressure will be in
control of our weather both at the surface and aloft. High
confidence in dry conditions during this time frame. Afternoon high
temperatures will nudge back into the 80s for both Wednesday and
Thursday.

- Precipitation chances increase late week into the weekend

Behind the departing high, southerly flow takes hold for Thursday
night into the end of the week. A notable increase in 850mb dew
points occurs Thursday night which will mark the warm front aloft
moving back in, especially late at night and into Friday morning.
Hard not to believe we will see some precipitation blossom
Thursday night upstream and try to move in. The ECMWF has a LLJ
axis pushing into our area at the same time which lends credence
to the chance of precipitation Thursday night.

Chances for showers and storms should continue Friday and through
the weekend with a stationary front nearby early in the weekend
which transitions into a warm front later in the weekend. Aloft,
the best chances for upper support during the entire period are
Thursday night into Friday (shortwave trough) and Sunday into
Sunday night (another shortwave trough). Better moisture and
instability will be in place with the Sunday activity. ECMWF has a
35 knot low level jet Sunday evening which could be an active
period.

- Warming trend weekend into next week

Much of this week will see highs in the 80s so fairly typical
summer time weather is expected. As we head into the weekend and
early next week 850mb temperatures rise into the teens C and even
near and above 20C. So, we could be looking at high temperatures
moving back to near or above 90F.

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INDY
INDY

Heading to Ft Myers Florida Saturday boy I’m going to mis our Fall like weather looking at temps down there looks like low 90’s yuck the ice cold Sprites will be going down right that’s for sure yes slim a colder and snowy winter would be great ….INDY

Slim

Have you been to Ft Myers in the summer time?? I have and it is very HOT & HUMID. The last time the temperature dropped below 70 was on May 31st and the last time it dropped below 65 was April 23rd note that is not the highs those are the lows. Anyway have fun.
Slim

INDY
INDY

First time Slim my family talked me into it crazy I will be in the poool everyday ….INDY

Sandy (Hudsonville)
Sandy (Hudsonville)

Have a great time! and stay cool in the pool!!

Slim

There has now been 4 days in a row of below average temperatures. Since June 21st there have been 6 time when there have been 3 or more days in a row of below average temperatures. In fact since June 1st there have been 30 days of below average mean temperatures and 33 days of above average temperatures. So there have been many cool breaks. So far the official high at Grand Rapids has been 90 (2 times) There also have been 6 days with highs of 89. 5 days of highs of 88. On the flip side there have… Read more »