Nostalgia
Going through the many boxes of my late brother I discovered a large bin of albums ( the stuff played on platters with a tonearm) and a pristine Akai reel-to-reel studio recorder. He was an audiophile like myself. The studio recorder weighs about 60 pounds and comes with a mixtape of popular rock bands of the 1970s and a few tapes of his band’s live performances. What a find! His albums are also in pristine condition with no scratches. I had to purchase a new turntable (a Denon) and will hook both up to my Denon system. Now I will turn nostalgic as I return to the 1970s to listen to music the way it was meant to be heard.
Weather
Humidity levels will increase as we go through the day as will the temperatures. This week will be the dog days of summer for sure. The warm weather and humidity will continue across the state all week. Showers and thunderstorms will be on the increase starting this evening. A series of low-pressure systems track through the area this week, so we’ll see several rounds of storms with locally heavy rain. The temperature will be in the mid-80s all week. Yesterday’s high was 85° and the low was 56°. Today we are under the general storm outlook as we will be tomorrow.
Day Two
Weather History
1959: A steady rain brought relief from drought conditions across West Michigan. Dry weather began in April, resulting in water rationing in Grand Rapids by the middle of July.
1976: A tornado injures five people northwest of Grand Rapids as it damages a warehouse.
1996: A weak, short-lived tornado damaged a pole barn near Evart in Osceola County.
On July 28, 2011, intense thunderstorm rain from about 2 a.m. to noon, led to rainfall totals of 3 to 7 inches which led to flash flooding across Shiawassee, Genesee, Livingston, Oakland, Washtenaw, and Wayne Counties. Some of the heavier rainfall totals included 5.5 inches in Goodrich, 6.26 inches in Ypsilanti, and 6.5 inches in Chelsea.
On July 28, 2010, severe thunderstorms developed over Metro Detroit. Among the 15 wind and wind damage reports was a measured wind gust of 73 mph at Selfridge ANGB.
Also on July 28, 2000, thunderstorms brought 3/4-inch hail to Livonia and flash flooding to Detroit.
NWS Forecast
Forecast Discussion
- Pattern shift to warm and wet with heavy rain possible Models remain in fair agreement, while fair weather will continue through the first half of the day, a negatively tilted upper level trough will be impetus to bring copious mid level moisture along with warm air advection that will begin a period of potential afternoon convection. The first opportunity will be this afternoon. However, the instability from the incoming boundary should arrive to late in the day to couple with daytime heating to adequately spark convection. Latest CAMS bear this out. The best chance will be in the southwest with isolated showers and storms. Tomorrow will bring better CAPE values, with southerly warm air advection out ahead of a frontal boundary out ahead of the before mentioned trough. Any moisture advection from Sunday will moisten the region to create a more favorable environment for showers and storms to begin the week. Shear remains weak, so long lasting and strong storms Monday are not likely. The main concern Monday into Tuesday will be localized heavy rainfall. Latest CAMS show convection aided by the lake breeze Monday with several rounds of storms. These should couple with climatological anomalous PWATS of 1.75 to 2 inches. That could allow for heavy rainfall Monday into Tuesday. NAM and HRRR soundings continue to trend moist with weak shear and moist through the atmosphere. The warm air advection will bring temperatures into the mid to upper 80s. - Potential for Thunderstorms this week A mid level trough is shown to be shifting east of the CWA later Tuesday into Tuesday night. PWATs remain high, up around 1.75 to 2.00 inches. Ensemble surfaced based CAPE values from the various models show mean values generally in the 1000-2000 J/kg range. Low level convergence is noted over inland locations during the afternoon. All this should lead to scattered showers and thunderstorms developing then which will then move eastward, across the state. We will keep the POPs going for later Tuesday, with the highest values inland. There is very little 0-6 km bulk shear so organized storms should remain southwest of the CWA where values are higher. Localized heavy rain looks to be the main risk. We will be monitoring the later Wednesday night into Thursday night period for possible organized convective activity. There is a signal in the latest models for a 700 to 500 mb wave to track into the region from the west southwest Thursday morning. This feature then deepens over the state into Friday. Deep layer shear increases as this wave moves in and is shown to become supportive for organized convection. How this actually sets up remains uncertain. Ensemble qpf trends are mostly up, but there is still a lot of spread in the amounts. Given the reasonable agreement amongst the models for one or more rounds of storms we will raise the potential for showers and storms in this forecast period.
Is it my neighbor’s burning (I don’t see smoke) or Canada’s smoke? It smells smokey this morning.
MV how lucky you get to enjoy your brother’s music. We still.have some 45s and a few Disney picture albums. Lol
No 90’s in July what?? That has to be a first maybe Slim Jim can look this up for us!! Great Scotty …INDY
No Indy it would not be the 1st time it has not gotten to 90 or better in July it has happened 12 times so far. This year would be number 13. But with the highest so far of just 86 there have only been 2 years where July has not gotten to 86 or higher. We will have to see how the next 4 days play out.
Slim
That’s crazy especially for this time of year thank you Slim for reporting! I hope you have a good Sunday..INDY
MV have a good time listening to all of you music from the 70’s. I have a large collection of albums from the late 60’s to the mid 70’s but many are not in the best of condition. Once again have a good time.
Slim
Our daughter asked for a turntable for Christmas last year. Gen Z likes vinyl. Who knew?
The first album I personally bought was Bob Seger, Stranger in Town. It still has the $4.96 Meijer price tag on it.
The spectacular weather continues. I hope everyone is able to get outside and enjoy this beautiful day.
The official H/L yesterday at Grand Rapids was 82/58 there was no rainfall the sun was out 100% of the possible time. The highest wind gust was 16 MPH out of the E. For today the average H/L is 83/63 the record high of 100 was set in 1916 the coldest high of 61 was set in 1981 the record low of 46 was set in 1978 the warmest low of 75 was set in 1941. The most rainfall of 1.12” fell in 1938. Last year the H/l was 88/70.
Slim