Click to enlarge the graphic below.
Much of west-central Lower Michigan is competing with a few other years for the driest 30-45 day stretches to occur during spring/summer, including 1988. Many have seen only a tenth of normal rainfall. Just spotty isolated downpours in a few luckier parts of the state. As of June 18, 2023, much of western and central Lower Michigan has picked up less than a half inch of rain, with a few spots less than a quarter inch. This is only about 10 percent of what normally falls. A few parts of southeast Michigan and northern Michigan got over an inch, which puts them closer to normal amounts, though still leaning dry.
Not seeing much in the way of relief from our dry conditions for much of the week. Sunny conditions are expected through midweek with no rain expected until the weekend. Highs will climb to near 90 by tomorrow. With low dewpoints, at least the hot temperatures will be tolerable.
U.S.A and Global Events for June 19th:
1794: A violent tornado commenced west of the Hudson River in New York. The tornado traveled through Poughkeepsie and then crossed the border into Connecticut where it went through the towns of New Milford, Waterbury, North Haven, and Branford. It then continued into Long Island Sound. The tornado did extensive damage, and the funnel was reported by one observer to look like the “aurora borealis.”
2004: Annette Island, Alaska set an all-time record high temperature of 93 degrees. Since record-keeping began in 1941, Annette Island has seen 90-degree temperatures four times.
Grand Rapids Forecast
6 19 grrForecast Discussion
.SHORT TERM...(Today through Tuesday) Issued at 235 AM EDT Mon Jun 19 2023 A developing rex block will mean dry weather through Tuesday as the upper high moves across the Great Lakes. We continue to monitor fire weather parameters, in particular winds and minimum relative humidity for today and Tuesday. Min RH should be in the range of 25 to 30 percent across the forest regions in our northern forecast area along with winds around 10 to 15 knots. No precip is expected through Tuesday although there will be a slight increase in moisture as the upper low begins to move north. Model soundings suggest scattered cu development with some vertical extent is possible Tuesday afternoon across the southeast forecast area, but the chance of showers is still less than 15 percent there. .LONG TERM...(Tuesday night through Sunday) Issued at 400 AM EDT Mon Jun 19 2023 The models haven`t shown many changes with a fairly consistent long term pattern ahead. There remains three major issues through this timeframe. A rex block high will be positively tilted up and over a large quasi stationary upper level low that will remain over Kentucky and Indiana through most of the week. As temperatures continue to increase through the week fire weather will remain a concern as Max temperatures will rise towards the low 90s Tuesday and Wednesday. The warm and dry air mass overhead will fuel the low RH`s that should drop into the 30s and potential 20s across the US 10 corridor. High pressure through all levels will stymie any northward movement of the upper level low that should bring precipitation to the southern states. The gradient between these two systems should be strong enough Tuesday and Wednesday afternoon to allow for gusty winds that could make fire weather a concern. The before mentioned upper level low will retrograde and try to make a northward run late in the week bringing the next best chance for precipitation. While latest ensembles show the upper level low moving into the upper Ohio river valley Friday it could creep northward enough to bring precipitation Friday afternoon into Saturday. That movement could signal a pattern change Sunday into next Monday as there is a potential for more zonal flow into early next week.
Rolling into the the last week of the longest days of the yrar already before you know we will be school shopping lol…INDY
And then a couple months later we will be looking talking about SNOW! Incredible!
The warm and dry conditions continue. The official H/L at Grand Rapids yesterday was 84/52 there was no rain fall and the sun was out 89% of the possible time. There were 3 Cooling Degree Days. The overnight low here in MBY was 59 the current temperature is now 66 and clear. For today the average H/L is 81/59 the record high of 98 was set in 1953 and the record low of 45 was set in 1926 and 1945 the record rain fall amount of 3.15” fell in 2009.
Slim
The week ahead looks to remain warm and mostly dry with highs in the mid to upper 80’s then falling to the lower 80’s there is a chance of some showers and thunderstorms over the weekend.
Slim