First of all I would like to thank Slim once again for being the fountain of knowledge that he is – he is the keeper of the statistical facts on the site. I ask nicely once again that we have respect not only for the two of us who keep this site running but also for the ones who post on this site. The way we forge our words can mean the difference between sarcasm and politeness.
As Slim said yesterday, we are not professional meteorologists, however we do have a passing knowledge of how it works without the complicated mathematics which goes along with it. Slim and I do ‘stick to the facts’ which in his case are statistics and data generally carved in stone – in my case as far as weather prediction the ‘facts’ are more guesses and the pool of knowledge is constantly changing day to day. This week is a good example.
This is the current SPC loop – it should auto update. The slight risk of storms is just off to our west, we are in the marginal risk area for storms which may move through this evening into the overnight hours. In the meantime the heat and humidity will increase over Michigan today with sunny skies.
This tropical pattern will last through the foreseeable future well into next week with highs in the mid 80’s with nighttime lows in the upper 60s. I will keep the interactive radar here for your perusal.
Hit 90 degrees on my back porch today for the first time this summer. When the stormy (without the storm) looking weather blew thru the temp fell 10 degrees like almost instant. The shelf cloud went right over head and moved on without a drop of rain or thunder. Oh well. I am glad I watered everything today. 🙂
Feels refreshing outside now 78* degrees
out at thee YARDOFBRICKS NE GR with a cool breeze blowing in our windows from the west …INDY!
Torregrossa’s on board:
https://www.mlive.com/weather/2019/06/ring-of-fire-to-spew-storms-at-michigan.html
From the mesoscale discussion re: the storms to the west:
The low-level jet will be stronger farther west, which will limit the ability for the storms to continue into the evening across this area. However, the southern part of the line will likely continue to be strong/severe across southern Lake Michigan and northeast Illinois and may move into portions of southwest Michigan and northwest Indiana later this evening. Convective trends will continued to be monitored for a possible watch expansion/extension or if a new watch may be needed.
Good write up about what’s killing the storms.
Colder then normal lk is killing the storms as I post …INDY!!
Colder than normal lake has nothing to do with it. Do you think the 1998 storm had a warm lake in May? Nope.
91 on the West Side of GR right now!! Thought Rocky said it would have a hard time hitting 80 the rest of the summer?? Wonder if he’ll have his furnace running tonight?!?!! For someone who supposedly loves the COLD he sure has kept that furnace cranked all the way up all Spring and Summer so far!!
The ring of fire….from the afternoon forecast discussion:
The wx pattern will remain quite warm and rather humid through the weekend and next week with a mean upper level ridge remaining in place. The pattern remains conducive to the development of several ridge rider mesoscale convective systems (aka ring of fire) to develop over the northern plains/upper midwest and move ese toward our area. One exception to this is Sunday as it seems ridging both at the sfc and aloft that day will inhibit convective development.
This as a series of upper level shortwaves crest over the upper eidge and also aided by strong llj forcing and 1000-850 mb moisture transport over the upper midwest. However the greatest focus for most of the convection will likely stay over the northern plains/upper midwest. So overall the wx pattern looks very warm and rather humid but mainly dry for our fcst area through at least early to mid next week… but with a chance of a shower or storm on an almost daily basis.
Storms?…nonsense. Not our weather..simply storm greed.
Probably the best time this summer tracking the possibility of severe Weather coming if this complex of storms hold moving west with a cooler then normal lk Michigan we will see what happens..My IWS weather page is on it today stay tuned …INDY!!
GR is up to 80 degrees at 11am. Going to be a humid scorcher.
Michael, I hope you don’t mind… But Bill posted an address to send his mom a 100th bday card on his blog ( her bday is in July). I know I will grab one to send. All the info is on his blog.
yes, please send a card to Bill’s mom
blog post https://www.woodtv.com/weather/bills-blog/send-a-birthday-card-to-my-mother/
Ann Martin, P.O. Box 5293, Oak Ridge Tennessee 37831
Thanks Michael.
Is that a Deracho I see coming we need to watch that overnight …The heat is our fuel bring it on …1998 all over again …stay tuned INDY..
The latest SPC outlook now has an enhanced risk of severe weather in Wisconsin and Minnesota – we will have to wait and see how the storms hold together as they come over lake Michigan later today….
Today should be the warmest day of 2019 at Grand Rapids so far. There is even a chance that it could reach 90 in spots and I am sure there will be some back yards where that will happen. Here is a fun fact. Even if all of the remaining days of June get above 80 (there is a good chance that will happen) the total number of days that warm officially at Grand Rapids so far this year will total 11 well here is a list of the years when Grand Rapids has only had 11 days or less of 80 or better as of June 30th in recorded history. 1917, 1924 and 1974 had 7. 1935 had 9 and 1897, 2003 and it looks like 2019 had 11. So this year will be tied for 3 place with the fewest 80 days as of July 1st (that is if the last 4 days all reach 80 or better)
Slim
Up to 11 soon? That was quick. I remember when it was at two only a few weeks ago!
All mid to upper 80’s for the next 8 days with balmy overnight lows. Looks like our above average temp streak will continue for some time! CPC keeps the heat on even longer than that.