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Hazy – The Michigan Weather Center
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Hazy

The keyword for today is hazy, though not the kind due to humidity. Dry weather will likely prevail through the coming work week, with the next chance of measurable rainfall not until next weekend. Wildfire smoke (mostly from Quebec) will occasionally drift over the region, likely through at least Tuesday. Occasional smoke may reach the ground, reducing air quality. Weather conditions will also contribute to elevated fire danger across the area in the days ahead.

We have multiple flower gardens and our vegetable garden which have used considerable water to keep alive.  I also have kept the front lawn alive and green so we are kind of an oasis amidst all the brown lawns in the neighborhood.  Our backyard is another story as it is large and would require a lot of water.  The only green spots are the veggie gardens and around our deck.


U.S.A and Global Events for June 5th:

1976: When water began leaking from Idaho’s new Teton Dam, there seemed to be no cause for alarm. On this date, warnings were frantic that the dam was about to break. As workers tried to shore up the crumbling dam, it crumbled shortly after 11 AM, sending 180 billion gallons of water pouring through Teton Canyon. 11 people lost their lives, but the toll would have been much higher if the dam had failed at night and residents had been asleep. Click HERE for more information.


Grand Rapids Forecast

6 5 grr

Forecast Discussion

.SHORT TERM...(Today through Tuesday)
Issued at 344 AM EDT Mon Jun 5 2023

Overall quiet weather is expect through the short term period from
Today into Tuesday. The main forecast focus, if we really had
any, were smoke/haze related today and the threat for an isolated
shower on a weak cold frontal passage tonight.

As for the smoke and haze, no observation sites are reporting a
restriction to visibility at this hour. The HRRR near surface
smoke prog off the 05Z run does show an increase during the
afternoon and evening, but it would not likely reduce visibility
much of at all below 4-5 miles and it would more likely be in the
5-7 mile range. Outside of people thinking its a little hazy there
should not be much impact on folks. So, other than having some
haze in the forecast that is about all we will do with it.

As for the shower potential, we are awfully dry in BUFKIT profiles
in terms of deeper moisture and especially low level moisture.
Despite this, the HREF in 4hr max reflectivity progs show some
light shower activity this afternoon into tonight progressing
south with a weak front. Will side with persistence here and the
dry profile and carry no rain.

Fire danger is extreme in many areas, but with the lack of wind
today we will not meet red flag conditions. Temperature and RH
criteria, 75+ F and 25% or less will likely be met so caution is
still urged of the public in these dry conditions. Red flag
conditions on Tuesday are a possibility.

.LONG TERM...(Tuesday night through Sunday)
Issued at 344 AM EDT Mon Jun 5 2023

--Dry and windy through most of the week --

Mid to long range models typically do well with locations of high
pressure. The ensembles this week are an indicator of that trend.

A large high is situated over southern central Canada along the US
border. An upper level low remains off the New England coast.
Michigan remains in between these two systems. The interaction
between these two will dominate the weather for the region into the
upcoming weekend. In the wake of the cold front high temperatures
will remain around normal. However there will the advection of drier
air into the region that will keep dew points in the 30s to low 40s.

There will be a persistently strong pressure gradient over the
region which will amplify winds. These winds coupled with the dry
air will lead to fire weather concerns through the week.   There is
the potential for red flag conditions every day from Tuesday through
Friday. The windiest days should be Wednesday and Thursday due to
strong thickness packing and a further tightening of the pressure
gradient due to the passage of an upper level trough moving
southward through the area.

--Chance for precipitation next weekend--

The before mentioned high will be pushed to the west as an upper
level trough ripples southward across the Great Lakes region
Saturday. The mid level features decent RH and PWATS which indicate
the potential for some very much needed rain Saturday into Sunday.
As stated before, models due well due to the presence of near
stationary high pressure systems so there is good model agreement.
Given the potential for instability with that front, any frontal
passage could contain embedded thunder along with scattered
showers.

The high that is driving this entire scenario looks to persist and
command control of the pattern through next weekend.
newest oldest
INDY
INDY

Dewpoints in the 30’s for June how often does that happen wow … Loving the cooler weather INDY

Rocky (Rockford)
Rocky (Rockford)

I love cool summers! Keep it rocking!

Rocky (Rockford)
Rocky (Rockford)

No heat waves in sight = Fantastic!
The current lack of rain = Horrendous!

Slim

Yesterday was a very pleasant early summer day. The official H/L at Grand Rapids was 82/57 there was no rain fall and 89% of possible sunshine. There were no HDD;s and 5 CDD’s In the last 27 days only 0.04” of rain has fallen at Grand Rapids, in the last 35 days only 0.85” of rain has fallen. So it is getting very dry at this time.
Slim

Slim

The official H/L for today is 77/55 the record high of 95 was set in 1925 and the record low of 36 was set in 1945. The record rain fall amount of 4.22” fell in 1925. Most of this week looks to have warm days and comfortable nighttime lows. It looks to stay dry for most of the week There is now around a 40% chance of showers over the weekend.
Slim