Travel conditions should be fine throughout the day. The snowshowers will ramp up tonight well after sunset and continue through the weekend. Stay safe! I am sure we will see some sort of advisory posted by the NWS later today.
Colder air arrives Thursday night, ushering in scattered to numerous lake effect snow showers. Accumulations and winter driving conditions are likely.
Hazardous Weather Outlook
.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight Lake effect snow showers may create challenging travel conditions with slick roads at times starting tonight. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday Lake effect snow showers will create challenging travel conditions with slick roads at times Friday through the weekend and even into early next week at times.
Weather History
1955: Bitterly cold arctic air is firmly entrenched across Lower Michigan. The high temperature at Lansing is only 15 degrees, after a morning low of 6. Meanwhile, a foot of lake-effect snow piles up at Muskegon.
On November 28, 1991, a winter storm moving through the Great Lakes brought snow, sleet, and freezing rain across the Flint area, leaving 4.4″ of snow by the 28th.
NWS Forecast
Thanksgiving Day
A 20 percent chance of snow showers after 1 pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 37. Light north-northwest wind becoming west-northwest 6 to 11 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 21 mph.
Tonight
Snow showers, mainly after 10 pm. Low around 27. West wind 8 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph. The chance of precipitation is 90%—new snow accumulation of around 2 inches.
Friday
Snow showers. High near 30. West wind 11 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 26 mph. The chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of around 2 inches.
Friday Night
Snow showers are likely, mainly before 1 am. Cloudy, with a low around 24. West wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. The chance of precipitation is 60%. New snow accumulation of around an inch is possible.
Saturday
A 50 percent chance of snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 27. West wind 10 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.
Saturday Night
A 40 percent chance of snow showers before 1 am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 23.
Sunday
A 40 percent chance of snow showers after 1 pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 31.
Sunday Night
A chance of snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 23.
Monday
Snow showers are likely, mainly after 1 pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 31.
Monday Night
A chance of snow showers before 1 am. Mostly cloudy, with a low of around 20.
Tuesday
A chance of snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 29.
Tuesday Night
A chance of snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 18.
Wednesday
A chance of snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 32.
Forecast Discussion
- Lake effect snow showers increasing late tonight through Friday Light lake effect snow showers will gradually develop today as low level winds back to the nw to wnw and h8 temps fall to -8 to -10 C. This will yield delta t/s in the upper teens. Just a few tenths of an inch of snow accumulation at most will occur today mainly west of US-131 and closer to the Lake MI shoreline as a result of low inversion heights and weak omegas in the dgz and lack of moisture in the dgz. Lake effect snow showers will ramp up late tonight through Friday as deeper moisture moves in through the dgz and h8 temps fall to -12 to -13 C yielding delta t/s into the lower 20s. An overall short range guidance consensus blend shows potential snow accumulations of around 1 to 3 inches from tonight through Friday afternoon in our favored wnw flow snow belt regions. However some localized higher amounts in the 4 to 6 inch range are possible where the heaviest les bands setup and are most persistent. Thx for collab/coord on the no winter wx headline decisions (for now) APX and IWX. - Cold northwest flow regime with lake effect snows into next week High confidence remains the overall pattern through next week with persistent upper troughing across eastern Canada extending into the NE CONUS. Cyclonic flow and occasional shortwave troughs progressing through the mean flow will result in lake effect snow showers of various intensity from Saturday through next week. Although the details are not clear cut and ensemble spread still exists, confidence is increasing that a clipper will come though with synoptic and lake enhanced snows on Tuesday into Wednesday. Chance POPs at that range could be increased to likely if that signal remains, It still appears likely the cold northwest flow regime persists through the week as the polar jet remains over or just south of the Great Lakes.
Let it snow let it snow let it snow let it snow…above average snowfall for December and its not even Wiinter season yet wow to the wow ….INDY
Bring on the snow!
…WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM
EST SATURDAY…
* WHAT…Snow expected. Total snow accumulations between 2 and 7
inches.
* WHERE…Portions of southwest and west central Michigan.
* WHEN…From 7 PM this evening to 7 AM EST Saturday.
* IMPACTS…Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions
could impact the Friday morning and evening commutes.
* ADDITIONAL DETAILS…Areas that fall under the heaviest lake
effect bands could see 1 inch per hour snowfall rates and the
potential for total snow amounts above 7 inches.
…WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM
EST SATURDAY…
* WHAT…Snow expected. Total snow accumulations between 2 and 4
inches.
* WHERE…Osceola, Lake, Mason, Newaygo, and Oceana Counties.
* WHEN…From 7 PM this evening to 7 AM EST Saturday.
* IMPACTS…Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous
conditions could impact the Friday morning and evening commutes.
WWA for west Michigan Here we gooo!! INDY
Who knew?
Happy Thanksgiving everyone
Happy Thanksgiving! Bring on the snow! I’ll be headed north up near Gaylord early next week! Looks like quite a bit of snow will fall in that area
Happy Thanksgiving!! Enjoy your time with family. Thankful for all of you, your advice and weather wisdom!!
Wishing we didn’t have clouds chances of Auroras!!! Bummer.
Skiing here I come baby! Incredible snow is coming!
https://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?warnzone=MIZ099&warncounty=MIC029&firewxzone=MIZ099&local_place1=Boyne%20City%20MI&product1=Winter+Storm+Warning&lat=45.2127&lon=-85.0117
Snow! I love it!
You should drive to Watertown NY. They’re forecasted to get 3-4 feet of LES.
Incredible!
Happy Thanksgiving to all of you and yours!
If nothing else we have been given the gift of dry traveling (for the most part) in Michigan on this holiday.
Happy Thanksgiving MV’s Best! Bring on above average snowfall in December first time in a long while I love front loaded Winters lets Gooool! INDY
Happy Thanksgiving. The overnight low here in MBY was 30 and that is the current temperature with cloudy skies. Yesterday’s official H/L at GR was 40/26 there was no rain or snowfall. The highest wind gust was just 12 MPH out of the N. There was no sunshine. For today the average H/L is 42/29 the record high of 67 was set in 1905 the coldest high of 18 was in 1930. The record low of 5 was in 1969 the warmest low of 48 was in 1916 and 2006. The wettest was 1.58” in 1968 the most snowfall of… Read more »
I tossed this up yesterday but will toss it up again. Some records for Thanksgiving Day in SW Michigan. Grand Rapids the warmest high 65 on 11/26/1896 the coldest high 15 on 11/27/1930. The coldest low 7 on 11/28/1929 the warmest low 56 on 11/26/1896 the wettest 1.58” on 11/28/1968 the most snowfall 6.8” on 11/22/1945 the most on the ground 8” on 11/25/2004. Lansing the warmest 64 on 11/26/1896 the coldest high 15 on 11/27/1930 the coldest low 0 on 11/25/1880. The wettest 1.30” on 11/23/1950 the most snowfall 7.8” on 11/24/1949 the most on the ground 8” om… Read more »