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Fair Weather Continues

Or fair weather and dry pattern continues through at least mid-week.  Temperatures will be near normal and chances of rain won’t come until late Thursday into the weekend.  Yesterday’s high was  77° and the low was 55°.


Weather History

1864: The temperature hits 96 degrees at Lansing for a record high. The record for the coolest high temperature is set exactly one hundred years later in 1964 when the high is only 62 degrees at Lansing

1979: A summer cool spell sets several record lows over the course of a week. On this date, Muskegon falls to 45 degrees for a record low.

2016: Record rains fall at Grand Rapids with 2.61 inches for the day. A small tornado destroys an outbuilding and takes down a few trees east of Douglas, Michigan.

On August 12, 1988, Saginaw County was belted with a peak wind gust at 81 mph at 5:49 pm.


NWS Forecast

Today
Sunny, with a high near 79. Light southwest wind becoming west northwest 5 to 9 mph in the morning.
Tonight
Mostly clear, with a low around 57. West wind around 6 mph becoming calm in the evening.
Tuesday
Sunny, with a high near 81. Calm wind becoming west-northwest around 6 mph in the afternoon.
Tuesday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 57. West northwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening.
Wednesday
Sunny, with a high near 84. Light south-southeast wind.
Wednesday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 61.
Thursday
A 40 percent chance of showers after 2 pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 81.
Thursday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 8 pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 65.
Friday
Showers are likely, with thunderstorms also possible after 2 pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 77.
Friday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low of around 64.
Saturday
A chance of showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 78.
Saturday Night
A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low of around 62.
Sunday
A chance of showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 75.

Forecast Discussion

- Fair weather with milder temps early this week

Skies will be partly sunny today and it will be a little milder
with high temps reaching the upper 70s to lower 80s. Some higher
res guidance including the latest HRRR and the 00Z HREF suggest
isolated showers may develop over our northeast to east fcst area
this aftn where some low level confluence develops. However a
polling of fcst soundings for that area this afternoon looks quite
dry overall. Therefore at this time we will maintain an optimistic
and dry fcst today.

More of the same is forecast for tomorrow and high temps will be
around 2-4 degrees milder than today as a consensus of numerical
guidance has been suggesting for several days now. As forecast
soundings continue to look quite dry once again we will maintain
the dry forecast for tomorrow too. Fcst soundings only show
potential for a sct-bkn fair wx cu deck with cloud bases at around
5 kft agl the next couple of days.

- Continued dry through midweek then late-week rain

A dry/sunny weather pattern with seasonal temps holds through mid
week with sfc ridging in control before changes arrive toward later
Thursday.

Confidence continues to grow for a fairly widespread/substantial
rainfall occurring on Thursday night and Friday. This is when PWATs
greater than 1.75" arrive ahead of an approaching mid level
shortwave and sfc low pressure system. The majority of grand
ensemble members now show over 0.5" 24 hr rainfall amounts with
several showing over 1" and a few even over 2". NBM pops continue to
trend up too and are now 60-70 percent Thursday night and Friday
when what looks to be a sfc occlusion is slowly passing through.

There is also increasing confidence that upper troughing persists
for most of next weekend and even the possibility of a closed upper
low evolving and stalling over the nrn GrtLks Rgn. This would imply
a continuation of scattered showers and isolated tstms over the
weekend within cyclonic flow pattern, although the air mass remains
fairly warm with high temps holding at 75-80 degrees.
newest oldest
INDY
INDY

Beautiful Summer day today!! My kind of Summer cool and Sunny … INDY

Barry in Zeeland
Barry in Zeeland

Awesome show last night/this morning with the meteors and Northern lights together. Don’t think I’ve ever seen that before. Great birthday present! Very mild Summer night as well. MV I emailed you a couple pics.

Barry in Zeeland
Barry in Zeeland

Good chance of them tonight as well with more CME’s hitting the earth and on the way. Solar max is here!

*SS*
*SS*

Happy Birthday Barry!!!
We were wondering chance for tonight. I said maybe we need to take a nap before tonight. We were up until after 1:30 am.
I should email Michael a few pix too!!!

Mookie
Mookie

The northern lights were amazing again last night!

*SS*
*SS*

Yes!! Surged colors before 11:30 and then again at 12:30 but more of the greens.
A lot was faint with naked eye around us… Took some cool pix.

Nathan (Forest Hills)
Nathan (Forest Hills)

The Perseids were amazing last night… complete clear sky, comfortable August temperature. I saw around 5, if it’s clear I’ll be watching tonight

*SS*
*SS*

The Auroras were beautiful last night!!! We were out admiring those and seeing the Perseids. Kiddo saw 11 and I saw a few .

Slim

The official H/L yesterday was 76/58 there was no rainfall the sun was out 68% of the possible time. With a rather strong wind it felt cool for the early part of the day and the highest wind gust was 31 MPH out of the W. For today the average H/L is 81/62 the record high of 95 was set in 1988 the coldest high was 63 in 2004 the record low of 45 was set in 1954 the warmest low of 75 was set in 1995. The record rainfall of 2.61” fell in 2016.
Slim

Rocky (Rockford)
Rocky (Rockford)

What a summer! Keep the below to near normal temps rocking and rolling! I love it!