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Early Taste of Fall

We have some cooler air filtering in today and through the weekend.  The daytime highs will be in the 60s to near 70°.  Lake-induced cu clouds will develop with the breeze coming off Lake Michigan bringing a chance of a stray shower, especially tonight into Saturday.  Cumulus (CU) clouds often appear in the morning and disappear in the evening. If conditions are unstable, cumulus clouds can turn into (CB) cumulonimbus clouds. Cumulonimbus clouds are powerful and develop vertically. The base is often dark due to the density of the water droplets that make it up.


WPC Forecast

Day One

 

Day Two

 

Day Three


Weather History

1964: Less than a week after hitting 100 degrees the temperature plummets to a record cold 38 degrees at Lansing and 43 at Grand Rapids. Muskegon went from 99 degrees on the 3rd to a low of 40 degrees this morning.

1994: Cool weather prevails for several days with low humidity and high temperatures only in the 60s. Record cool maximum temperatures are observed at Grand Rapids and Lansing, where the high on this date is only 64 degrees.

2009: A thunderstorm brings damaging downburst winds estimated at 70 to 75 mph to Muskegon County. The storm strikes Hoffmaster State Park and Fruitport, downing dozens of trees and causing some damage to homes. The storms continue into Kent County, hitting Kent City and Sparta. Another severe thunderstorm produces a downburst that blows part of the roof off a school in Jackson.

On August 9, 2009, numerous roads were flooded and closed. The most significant road damage was M 53 south of Imlay City which was washed out and had to be closed for about 10 days. Over two dozen homes were also damaged due to the flooding. A local state of emergency was declared. Five to eight inches of rain falling within a 30-hour period led to widespread flooding across southern Lapeer County. A few reported rainfall totals include 7.4 inches in Almont, 6.3 inches in Imlay City, and 5.65 inches in Lapeer.

Also on August 9, 2001, a heat wave from the 5th through the 9th, resulted in temperatures pushing well up into the 90s. On the 6th, the excessive heat caused at least 200 people to seek medical attention. The heat wave peaked on the 8th when temperatures reached a record high 99 degrees.


NWS Forecast

Today
Mostly sunny, with a high near 72. Northwest wind 6 to 16 mph.
Tonight
A 20 percent chance of showers after 2 am. Mostly cloudy, with a low of around 57. West northwest wind 5 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 23 mph.
Saturday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 70. West wind 6 to 11 mph increasing to 13 to 18 mph in the afternoon.
Saturday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 57. West wind 5 to 9 mph.
Sunday
Sunny, with a high near 73. West northwest wind 5 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 24 mph.
Sunday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 56.
Monday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 78.
Monday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low of around 56.
Tuesday
Sunny, with a high near 80.
Tuesday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 58.
Wednesday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 81.
Wednesday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 60.
Thursday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 81.

Forecast Discussion

- Cooler With A Few Showers Tonight And Saturday

WNW winds will advect a cooler and drier airmass into our area
today with a fair amount of stratocu developing due to increasing
lake induced instability as h8 temps fall to 8 to 10 C by this
evening. High temps today will only reach the low to mid 70s given
brisk wnw flow caa and some cloud cover.

Lake induced instability increases some more tonight into
Saturday as h8 temps fall to 6 to 7 C tonight. Therefore we expect
isolated to scattered showers to develop mainly for tonight and
Saturday. High temps tomorrow will only reach the upper 60s to
lower 70s with extensive stratocu and brisk west flow cool air
advection.

- Dry pattern with near normal temps returning next week

No noteworthy precipitation events are foreseen for the next week.
Temperatures will rebound to near normal values next week but
humidity levels will remain in the comfortable category.

Upper low/H5 troughing is slow to depart the region over the weekend
into early next week but the air mass remains quite dry. Any showers
related to shortwaves/sfc troughs rotating through would be light
with only limited coverage. A large area of sfc high pressure
eventually dominates our weather most of next week with no
appreciable moisture return expected. Partly clouds skies generally
prevailing.
newest oldest
Mr. Negative
Mr. Negative

And just like that…Sunmer is gone in the Southern Arctic.

INDY
INDY

Lake Michigan water temperatures in the 50’s currently for Mid August come onnn mannn!! Fall has never been so close I love it!! Big fire and Sprites tonight happy weekend MV’ s best!! Get the hoodies out yeahhhh!! Let’s Gooooo!! INDY

Mark (East Lansing)
Mark (East Lansing)

Where you seeing water temps in the 50s? The current water temp at Holland State Park is 71 and Traverse City is 70.

Slim

We are now more than a week into August 2024 and the mean at Grand Rapids is 73.1 that is a departure of +1.0 the highest so far for this month is 89 and the lowest so far is 56 there has been 0.85” of rainfall that is a departure of -0.10” For the meteorological summer so far the mean is 71.8 the that is a departure of +0.5 as of this date. So far this meteorological summer there have been just 3 days of 90 or better and there have been just 16 days of 86 or better the… Read more »

Slim

The official H/L yesterday at Grand Rapids was 81/56 there was 81% of possible sunshine the highest wind gust was 18 MPH out of the W. For today the average H/L is 82/62 the record high of 97 was set in 1934 the coldest high was 69 set in 1994 and 1972. The record low of 43 was set in 1964 the warmest low of 72 was set in 7 years the last time was in 2010. The record rainfall of 1.25” was in 1977.
Slim

Rocky (Rockford)
Rocky (Rockford)

The below normal temp pattern keeps rocking! We are entrenched in long term below normal temp pattern this summer! Who would have thought? Wow, just wow, WOW!

Slim

At this point this summer has had a near average mean temperature with fewer than average “hot days”
Slim

Mark (East Lansing)
Mark (East Lansing)

Fantastic summer so far. Only one heat wave and plenty of sun and precipitation. Not much to complain about this summer.