The sun now sets an hour earlier at around 5:30 for SW Michigan. If you think that is bad it sets at 4:23 in my old hometown of Madison Maine. This made for some long nights especially if you lived on the east side of a mountain in the pine tree state for which the state is aptly named.
High pressure will slide away to the east today, allowing an area of low pressure to move through on Monday. Skies will be partly cloudy today with rain expected on Monday. The better chances for rain on Monday will be across Central Lower Michigan. Dry weather returns for Tuesday under a mostly cloudy sky. The warmest day of the 3 will be Monday when the 60s are expected over Southern Lower Michigan.
Forecast
U.S.A and Global Events for November 5th:
1894: A significant snowstorm impacted New England from November 5th through 6th. It formed off the New Jersey coast on the 5th and passed east of Connecticut with rapidly increasing heavy rain, snow, and high winds. The heavy snow and high winds caused significant damage to trees and brought down telegraph poles by the hundreds. As a result, all of southern New England’s telegraph and telephone services were crippled, and fallen poles and trees delayed railroad trains.
1988: An F1 tornado touched down south of Altoona near Hollidaysburg. Several homes were damaged with roofs torn off and broken windows, numerous trees were toppled, and garages and other outbuildings were destroyed. Click HERE for a tweet by Nick Wilkes.
1991: Nearly 3,000 individuals were killed in the Philippines when Tropical Storm Thelma produced massive flooding on this day. The storm was the second major disaster of the year as Mount Pinatubo violently erupted on June 12th.
2017: A classic Tornado Debris Signature (TBS) was observed in Washington County, Indiana.
The image above is from a tweet by the NWS Office in Louisville, Kentucky.
Forecast Discussion
A high pressure ridge still in control of our wx pattern will bring partly sunny skies today and seasonably mild temps in the lower to middle 50s this afternoon as winds back to the southwest and waa commences. Overall short range guidance trends the past 24 hours suggest that warm air advection showers will likely not develop across our far northern fcst area until very late this afternoon and evening. Warm air advection showers will develop across our area late Sunday night and Monday as southerly winds strengthen to around 15 to 25 mph with higher gusts on the back side of the departing ridge and ahead of the low pressure system moving east across the northern Great Lakes region. 1000-850 mb moisture transport will be maximized from early Monday morning through 18Z Mon. High temps Monday will reach the upper 50s to lower 60s given the strength of waa and in spite of extensive cloud cover. .LONG TERM...(Monday night through Saturday) Issued at 331 AM EST Sun Nov 5 2023 Overall there is one main system to deal with in the long term period of Monday night through Saturday. For this time of year, that is a fairly quiet long term. Aloft, at 500mb, we move from a zonal flow to upper troughing through the period. At the surface the main feature is the low that moves into the area mid week. Temperatures through the period will generally be fairly close to normals in the 40s and 50s...with the warmest day being Wednesday as a low moves into the area from the south. As for the details, precipitation should be mainly be east of the area by Monday evening with dry weather then forecast overnight through Tuesday and into Tuesday night. Ridging at both the surface and aloft will move through the area during this time. A low has consistently been forecast by the operational models to move into the area on Wednesday and nothing has changed in that regard with tonight`s runs. Surface dew points rise well into the 50s F, with 850mb dew points potentially over +10C and PWATS over an inch. All of those values are fairly impressive by November standards. So, rain is likely and there is a potential for some storms mixed in as well. Models are not overly impressive though in terms of rainfall, on the order of 0.10 to around 0.50 inches. Troughing aloft persists after Wednesday right into the weekend. No major systems are seen though so only spotty precipitation would be possible. A time frame that will feature a fair amount of cloud cover and near normal temperatures.
Blow Torch in late fall???? BRING IT!!! Keep the warm weather ROCKIN!!
https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/814day/814temp.new.gif
This from this afternoon discussion
PRETTY
BENIGN WEATHER FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. BY THE MIDDLE OF THE FOLLOWING
WEEK, EVEN THE EURO WARMS US BACK UP INTO THE 50S, SO THERE ARE
DEFINITELY NO HINTS OF WINTER WEATHER ON THE HORIZON FOR LOWER
MICHIGAN.
No more is needed to say.
Slim
G3 Geomagnetic storm taking place right now. If it lasts into this evening and If we can get some clearing there’s a pretty good chance of seeing a good Northern Lights show.
https://spaceweather.com/
https://services.swpc.noaa.gov/images/aurora-forecast-northern-hemisphere.jpg
I don’t know about the clearing it has now gotten rather cloudy here now.
Slim
Yeah that’s been a problem with the past several storms that have taken place. Everyone has a good view except around here.
Yes living on the east side of a mountain sounds rough, you’d miss the sunrise and possible 1/2 the day’s sunlight due to the mountain
We have already seen one snowstorm! Who is ready for the next storm! Winter rocks!
The official H/L yesterday at Grand Rapids was 57/39 there was no rain or snowfall. The sun was out a reported 28% of the time. For today the average H/L is 52/36 the record high of 75 was set in 1978 and the record low of 6 was set in 1951. The record rain fall of 2.66” was in 1902 and the record snowfall of 2.6” was in 1982 the most snow on the ground was 6” in 1966. Last year the H/L was 66/48 and there was 0.06” of rain fall.
Slim
That is a positive thing about living on the western edge of a time zone – later sunset times. The sun sets at 4:40 right for Chicago. On the bright side, the days start becoming longer next month. 👍
Good point, that’s a nice way to look at it