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Dry Weather Continues – Weather History

We have had 1.05 inches of rain for the month the last decent rain was 10 days ago so it is getting a bit dry out there.  Our next chance of rain won’t come until tomorrow night into Friday.  Dry conditions are expected through Thursday. Skies will be partly to mostly sunny during the daylight hours. Some smoke may drift overhead and filter out some of the sunshine. Highs will be in the 60s and 70s, with lows mainly in the 40s, and some 30s and frost possible Wednesday night in the northern areas.


Grand Rapids Forecast

517 grr

Weather History for SW Michigan

May 14

1886: A tornado injured one person and damaged several homes north of Lansing. The injury occurred as a conductor was blown from a train.

2004: A tornado struck the southeast side of Maple Rapids, destroying a silo and damaging two others. A shed was also damaged. A couple of two-by-fours were driven into the side of a pole barn. Shingles were damaged and ripped off of two homes.

May 15

1855: A tornado destroys at least one building as it moves from Jackson to Washtenaw County.

1972: A tornado caused minor damage north of Potterville in Eaton County.

May 16

1997: Record low temperatures are set at Grand Rapids and Muskegon with both falling to 29 degrees. This will go in the record books as the coldest May on record at Grand Rapids.

May 17

1962: An early-season heat wave sends temperatures into the upper 80s and lower 90s across Lower Michigan. Record highs on this date include 91 at Grand Rapids, 89 at Lansing, and 88 at Muskegon.

May 18

1915: Lansing records their latest measurable snow on record with 0.4 inches, and Grand Rapids does also, with 0.2 inches there.

May 19

1923: A tornado injured two people in Kent County as it moved through rural areas from east of Coopersville to near Sparta.

2002: Snowflakes fly across Lower Michigan as record-cold weather prevails. Record lows include 26 degrees at Lansing, 29 at Muskegon, and 30 at Grand Rapids. The freezing temperatures cause heavy losses to orchards across western Lower Michigan.

May 20

1975: A tornado injured one person as it destroyed two mobile homes at Byron Center in Kent County.

1977: The last half of May is unusually warm. Record high temperatures in the upper 80s and lower 90s are set across Lower Michigan from the 16th to the 28th. This helps make it the warmest May on record at Grand Rapids.


Weather History for SE Michigan

May 14

On May 14, 1987, Oakland County was hit by an F1 tornado at 5:10 PM.

May 15

1855: A tornado destroys at least one building as it moves from Jackson to Washtenaw County.

1972: A tornado caused minor damage north of Potterville in Eaton County.

May 16

1997: Record low temperatures are set at Grand Rapids and Muskegon with both falling to 29 degrees. This will go in the record books as the coldest May on record at Grand Rapids.

May 17

1962: An early-season heat wave sends temperatures into the upper 80s and lower 90s across Lower Michigan. Record highs on this date include 91 at Grand Rapids, 89 at Lansing, and 88 at Muskegon.

May 18

1915: Lansing records their latest measurable snow on record with 0.4 inches, and Grand Rapids also does, with 0.2 inches there.

May 19

1923: A tornado injured two people in Kent County as it moved through rural areas from east of Coopersville to near Sparta.

2002: Snowflakes fly across Lower Michigan as record-cold weather prevails. Record lows included 26 degrees at Lansing, 29 at Muskegon, and 30 at Grand Rapids. The freezing temperatures cause heavy losses to orchards across western Lower Michigan.

May 20

1975: A tornado injured one person as it destroyed two mobile homes at Byron Center in Kent County.

1977: The last half of May is unusually warm. Record high temperatures in the upper 80s and lower 90s are set across Lower Michigan from the 16th to the 28th. This helps make it the warmest May on record at Grand Rapids.


Forecast Discussion

--Frost/freeze possible the next few days--

A large upper level low with a corresponding trough extending
through the mid Atlantic will continue to move eastward. As this
system exits a high pressure system will build over the Great
Lakes. This will allow winds to weaken and for dry air to remain
over the region through Thursday. The exiting cold front will
allow for highs in the 60s today increasing to the low 70s
tomorrow.
 A wild fire in Canada will continue to put smoke into the upper
atmosphere that will cause hazy/partly sunny skies. This smoke
layer should be around 25KFT. This will probably also reduce
daytime highs slightly.

The high pressure, clear skies and calm winds will couple with
cold overnight lows to allow for a chance of patchy frost and
potentially freezing temperatures mainly along and north of the US
10 corridor.


--Showers possible Friday and Friday night--

The next system that will be moving into the region will be an
upper level low and its corresponding cold front that will move
through Friday and Friday night. The mid to long range models are
finally coming to a consensus and the positively tilted trough
will begin to drop down through the Upper mid west Friday morning.
There continues to be little instability associated with this
front so thunder is not expected. However QPF will be around a
quarter of an inch. As the low moves across the Michigan there
remains some disparity and the EC continue to slow the low down
however the NAM/GEFS are more progressive in the movement of the
frontal boundary. Current grids move this band and the
precipitation with it Friday afternoon and exiting to the east
Friday evening.

In the wake of that exiting low the region should remain high and
dry through the weekend. However there is a slight chance for
lingering light precipitation early Saturday.

 

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Rocky (Rockford)
Rocky (Rockford)

Wow this cool pattern sure has been dominant lately! Cold nights and cool days! Incredible!

INDY
INDY

Frost advisory is it March?? Naaa Its the middle of May what is going onnn?? Love it continues hoodieee weather 4 INDY

Rocky (Rockford)
Rocky (Rockford)

The cold just keeps coming!!!

Kyle (Portland, Ionia County)
Kyle (Portland, Ionia County)

Looks like my 80s will be returning next week! Bring it!

NWS GR:
“many ensemble members from the GFS, Ecmwf and CMC showing max
T`s of 80 or higher by the end of the week.”

Mark (East Lansing)
Mark (East Lansing)

Another clear, sunny day. Can’t really ask for more sunshine than we’ve received this month.

Nathan (Forest Hills)
Nathan (Forest Hills)

It’s quite hazy here, almost looks like a solid layer of clouds

Mark (East Lansing)
Mark (East Lansing)

It was hazy/smoky off the west most of the afternoon.

Nathan (Forest Hills)
Nathan (Forest Hills)

Frost advisory for Lake-Osceola-Clare-Newaygo-Mecosta-Isabella-Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-
Ionia-Clinton-Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Calhoun-Jackson

…FROST ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 7 AM EDT THURSDAY…

* WHAT…Temperatures as low as 33 will result in frost
formation.

* WHERE…Portions of central, south central, southwest and west
central Michigan.

* WHEN…From 2 AM to 7 AM EDT Thursday.

* IMPACTS…Temperatures near freezing could harm plants and
other sensitive outdoor vegetation if left uncovered.

Nathan (Forest Hills)
Nathan (Forest Hills)

Also the 6-10 day and 8-14 day outlooks are looking very warm over the Great Lakes and especially just to our west

Kyle (Portland, Ionia County)
Kyle (Portland, Ionia County)

Interesting parts of Northeastern Montana are under a “Dense Smoke Advisory” Not a headline you see very often.

WHAT…Visibility as low as a quarter mile in dense smoke.

* WHERE…Portions of northeast Montana.

Mookie
Mookie

Sunny and dry with great temps and another warm up on the way! What could be better?

Nathan (Forest Hills)
Nathan (Forest Hills)

Besides the quarter inch of rain possible on Friday, it is looking really dry the next 7-10 days. Also we will be transitioning from our cool pattern this week to a warm (maybe very warm?) pattern later next week. Looks like summer is approaching!

Jesse (Montcalm co)
Jesse (Montcalm co)

Yah. It seems that has been the trend for the past few years. Right around June the rain shuts off. This year may has been awfully dry too. I guess I learned I like wet springs that push new lush growth. My pastures are already dying back in the sandier soil areas.

Rocky (Rockford)
Rocky (Rockford)

It looks like we are in for another below normal
temp day! Boy have we seen a lot of these this month! An amazing cool pattern! Just maybe by the middle to end of next week it might actually warm up! Wow!

Slim

With the cold start to May it might have felt like there have been a lot of below average temperatures but in fact Lansing, Flint, Detroit, Muskegon and Holland have had 6 days below and 10 days above average. At Grand Rapids it is 8 above and 8 below and at Saginaw it is 7 below and 9 above. Today should add one more to the below average number.
Slim

Rocky (Rockford)
Rocky (Rockford)

GR rocks and by the middle of next week GR will have around 14 days with below normal temps! Amazing cool pattern!

Kyle (Portland, Ionia County)
Kyle (Portland, Ionia County)

There was an interval of time yesterday when no sun was shining through the smoke. Pretty amazing how thick it was. There are approximately 90 fires burning up in Alberta, Canada.

Slim

The current temperature and overnight low in MBY is 42 with hazy skies. The official low looks to have been 41. For today the average H/L is 70/49 the record high of 91 was set in 1962 and the record low of 30 was set in 1973 the record rain fall amount of 1.62” fell in 2020. The next 5 days look to be near average with highs in the 60’s and 70’s and lows 40’s to near 50.
Slim

Slim

There was considerable smoke over the area yesterday and that looks to have kept the temperature down here in the Muskegon, Holland and Grand Rapids area. The official H/L was 75/43 there was no rain fall the sun was out about 43% of the time but the sky was more white than blue. There were 6 HDDs and 0 CDDs.
Slim