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Dry Weather Continues

We have now gone 17 days with only .17 of an inch of rain in the Otsego area.  Yesterday we had a high temperature of 75° and a low of 45.5°.

Today we have another sunny day in store with high temperatures in the mid-70s thanks to an area of high pressure over the state.  Our next chance of rain comes Thursday night into Saturday.  Temperatures will drop into the 60s for highs over the weekends.


WPC Forecast

Day One

 

Day Three


Weather History

1946: There was an early taste of autumn as Grand Rapids fell to 32 degrees for its earliest freeze on record.

On September 3, 2011, in the late afternoon and evening, several thunderstorms fired up ahead of a cold front draped across lower Michigan. Ahead of the cold front temperatures soared into the 90s with heat indices near 100 degrees. The areas hardest hit with strong winds and hail were along I-94 from Ann Arbor to downtown Detroit including River Rouge where festival tents were blown down injuring about 10 people and at the University of Michigan where the football game was ended early due to the thunderstorms. Another hard-hit area was from Huntington Woods to Madison Heights where winds were estimated up to 75 mph with numerous downed trees. About 100,000 DTE customers lost power due to the storms.

Radarscope Archive

Also on September 3, 1953, the temperature rose to 100 degrees in Detroit, which is the record high for the day. This also marks the sixth day in a row (August 29-September 3) of record daily high temperatures!


NWS Forecast

Today
Sunny, with a high near 77. Southeast wind 3 to 6 mph.
Tonight
Clear, with a low around 49. Southeast wind 3 to 6 mph.
Wednesday
Sunny, with a high near 82. South southeast wind 5 to 8 mph.
Wednesday Night
Clear, with a low of around 56. Southeast wind 3 to 5 mph.
Thursday
Sunny, with a high near 87. South southwest wind 5 to 8 mph.
Thursday Night
A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2 am. Mostly cloudy, with a low of around 62.
Friday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8 am, then showers likely between 8 am and 2 pm, and then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 2 pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 74. The chance of precipitation is 60%.
Friday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 8 pm, then a chance of showers between 8pm and 2 am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 49.
Saturday
A chance of showers after 2 pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 63.
Saturday Night
A chance of showers before 8 pm. Partly cloudy, with a low of around 44.
Sunday
Partly sunny, with a high near 66.
Sunday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low of around 47.
Monday
Sunny, with a high near 71.

Forecast Discussion

 - Sunshine Continues

Plenty of sunshine is expected Tuesday and Wednesday as high
pressure and upper-level ridging drive our forecast. BUFKIT cross
sections show no significant moisture at any level keeping generally
sunny skies. Winds will be light with a generally southerly
direction as return flow given we sit on the western side of the
high with high resolution model guidance showing a lake breeze
developing each day. Highs today will be similar to Monday, climbing
to near 80 by Wednesday as warm air advection takes hold.

- Very warm Thursday then showers, storms Thurs night/Friday

Preceding the arrival/amplification of an upper trough approaching
from the northwest we get a rather warm day Thursday with highs in
the mid 80s thanks to southerly flow and a H8 thermal ridge around
16C. The sfc cold front associated with the incoming digging trough
slowly crosses lwr MI on Thursday night and Friday bringing a high
likelihood of showers and t-storms with pops on the order of 60 to
80 percent.

Deep layer shear will be sufficient for some stronger storms (over
30 kts) although instability is questionable given nighttime/morning
timing of the frontal passage. However if the frontal timing slows
and we see some sfc-based instability build on Friday before its
passage then that may be something to watch (mainly south and east
of GRR).

- Cool, showery, breezy for next weekend

Guidance remains locked-in on a deep upper trough being carved out
over the GrtLks Region for next weekend. That equates to much below
normal temperatures, scattered to numerous showers, and gusty winds.
A few thunderstorms and waterspouts are also possible considering
the lake-induced instability that will be present due to Delta Ts
near 20C. High temperatures of only 60 to 65 are expected with
considerable cloudiness and some northern locations may struggle to
reach 60.

Cluster analysis for next Monday shows considerable variance
regarding the position/depth of the upper trough. Thus confidence is
low at this time as to how quick it gets booted out (but that`s a
fairly normal fcst challenge with a closed upper low at longer
ranges).
newest oldest
Rocky (Rockford)
Rocky (Rockford)

Bring on some rain and keep this cool summer rocking and rolling baby! I love it!

Mookie
Mookie

August was another warm month. Looks to be another mild fall as well. I love it!

Slim

It was a sunny but cool Labor Day here in Grand Rapids the official H/L was 74/48 there was no rainfall the sun was out 95% of the time. For today the average H/L is 78/58. The record high of 95 was set in 1898 and 1953 the coldest high of 58 was set in 1905. The record low of 32 was set in 1946, the warmest low of 73 was set in 1937. The record rainfall of 1.42” fell in 1988.
Slim

Slim

The overnight low and current temperature is 48 degrees. The record low of 32 for today is the earliest first 32 day at Grand Rapids. The forecast is hinting at there being 3 days in a row with highs in the 60’s in looking at past September’s it is not uncommon for there to be 3 days or so of highs in the 60 in early September. It is after all early fall.
Slim