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Dense Fog Advisory 2/3 – The Michigan Weather Center
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Dense Fog Advisory 2/3

We have a dense fog advisory in place until noon today.

...DENSE FOG ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY...

* WHAT...Visibility one quarter mile or less in dense fog.

* WHERE...Portions of central, south central, southwest, and west
  central Michigan.

* WHEN...Until noon EST today.

* IMPACTS...Low visibility could make driving conditions hazardous.

Yesterday, we had a high of 35° and a low of 25°. Yesterday morning, 1.1 inches of snow fell, bringing our total snowfall for the season to 56.6 inches in Otsego.


Weather History

2007: Blizzard conditions prevail across southwest Lower Michigan as an arctic blast of frigid air moving over Lake Michigan produces thundersnow and whiteout conditions. Grand Rapids sets a record for snowfall for any February day with 11.3 inches of snow.

On February 3, 1985, the overnight temperature dropped to a freezing -15 degrees in Detroit.


Forecast Discussion

 Dense fog this morning, light snow/freezing rain north

So far, the dense fog hasn`t developed. However, latest CONSShort
guidance tanks vsbys right around 12z for a couple of hours and
for that reason, we`ll continue with the dense fog advisory.

Farther north, local radar shows light precipitation trying to
fall. Little if anything is reaching the ground yet, but radar
shows precipitation upstream over Wisconsin moving east and will
mainly affect the northern row of counties. Low pressure is progd
to move east along the baroclinic zone entrenched over the
northern cwa. Given that track, most of the precipitation will
fall north of the cwa. However, a half inch to an inch of snow is
possible north of US-10 in addition to the freezing rain
potential. In fact, HREF points toward a 40-60 percent chance of
seeing a few hundredths of an inch of freezing rain before all of
the precipitation ends this afternoon.

- Freezing rain possible Wednesday, breezy Thursday

We continue to monitor the evolution of the mid week system.
The ECMWF and GFS are coming into better agreement and show a
phasing of a northern stream and southern stream wave over the
upper MS Valley Wednesday. The result of this phasing will be to
draw some warmer air northward into the system. As such, the GFS
is producing some freezing rain along/south of I-96 Wednesday
afternoon and Wednesday night; The ECMWF continues to be the most
bullish on the freezing threat and shows some convective elements
to the precipitation. Ensembles point toward a 50-60 percent
chance of a tenth of an inch of freezing rain along the I-94
corridor with a 20-30 percent chance near I-96. Obviously, higher
probabilities exist with lower ice accumulations.

We could see some travel impacts late Wednesday afternoon and
certainly overnight with that potential lingering into Thursday
morning. However, surface temperatures are progd to warm above
freezing Thursday morning south of I-96 as the precipitation
ends.

ECMWF ensembles show breezy conditions Thursday behind the
departing low; ensemble mean wind gusts 40-45 mph which may
necessitate a wind advisory. Additionally, any ice that remains on
tree limbs or power lines could become problematic with the wind.

- Light snow possible Saturday

Another surface low heads toward Lower Michigan Saturday bringing
the possibility of light snow with it. This isn`t a particularly
strong low, however, models do show the low strengthening a bit
as it moves past the state. Most of the ECMWF ensembles show snow
accumulation with the ensemble mean around 2 inches.
newest oldest
Rocky (Rockford)
Rocky (Rockford)

NW Lower Mi is all above normal for seasonal snowfall! What a winter! Snow country is rocking! Funny how some people say most if not all of the state is having a below normal winter!! Too funny! Wow!

https://www.weather.gov/apx/snow

Rocky (Rockford)
Rocky (Rockford)

Snow in MI again! Northern! Lower MI got hammered with heavy snow today! What a winter!!!

Mookie
Mookie

40’s in Michigan again today! Lots of green.

Kyle (Portland, Ionia County)
Kyle (Portland, Ionia County)

One storm system coming in Wednesday night and the other likely on Saturday! You gotta love active weather patterns! Forget dry and uneventful!

Mookie
Mookie

NWS GR says mainly freezing rain midweek and only 1-2″ Saturday. Very dry, indeed.

Kyle (Portland, Ionia County)
Kyle (Portland, Ionia County)

Dry would be no precipitation. Try again.

Mookie
Mookie

There is a reason most of Michigan is under a moderate to severe drought. And why most in Michigan have experienced below average snowfall this winter…

Barry in Zeeland
Barry in Zeeland

Even here in Ottawa county we’re in a moderate drought:
https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/CurrentMap/StateDroughtMonitor.aspx?MI

Kyle (Portland, Ionia County)
Kyle (Portland, Ionia County)

Hey Zeeland finally thawed out lol welcome back Barry

Barry in Zeeland
Barry in Zeeland

First afternoon I’ve had off in almost a month. The restaurant has been just crazy busy.

Mark (East Lansing)
Mark (East Lansing)

Glad to hear that business is good. 🙂

Kyle (Portland, Ionia County)
Kyle (Portland, Ionia County)

That’s good your getting plenty of business, Barry!

Rocky (Rockford)
Rocky (Rockford)

Don’t bother debating with mookie! It is like talking to a wall! His warm weather spin is ridiculous! Some things never change!

Kyle (Portland, Ionia County)
Kyle (Portland, Ionia County)

The CPC continues the below average in the 8-14 day. Maybe February won’t be very warm after all!

Slim

Here is a summary of the snowfall for several locations so far this winter. In Grand Rapids the current total is 54.1” the normal average is 52.2” for a departure of +1.9” but the November and December snow came and went with not really any staying. For other locations Lansing 27.9” that is a departure of -2.8” Muskegon 58.3” a seasonal departure of -1.3” Detroit 15.1” a seasonal departure of -10.6” Flint 24.7” a departure of -6.4”. Saginaw 17.6” a departure of -12.5”. Alpena 35.0” a departure of -9.4” Milwaukee 12.2” a departure of -16.8”. Madison WI 11.5” a departure… Read more »

Mookie
Mookie

Mostly below average snowfall this winter. When you count how quickly the early snows came and went, it’s been even more uneventful.

Rocky (Rockford)
Rocky (Rockford)

I wonder who made this prediction about a week ago? This despite the warm weather nuts stating winter is over and some models and people said above normal temps and less snow for MI in February! How wrong could these predictions end up? Rock n roll will never die?

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Rocky (Rockford)
Rocky (Rockford)

NW lower MI is getting hammered with snow! It looks like another great week and weekend for outdoor winter sports! What a great winter for skiing, snowmobiling, ice fishing, etc! Incredible!

Rocky (Rockford)
Rocky (Rockford)

Forecast still looking unsettled with plenty of snow chances! By the end of this week GR will be approaching 60 inches of snow already! The snow keeps coming and no change in sight! WOW!!! Winter is slowly getting revved up! Going to be a wild month!!!

Mookie
Mookie

Forecast still looking dry and largely uneventful. More melting today. Winter is slowly dying.

Slim

THE GRAND RAPIDS CLIMATE SUMMARY FOR FEBRUARY 2, 2025 The H/L was 35/23 there was 0.13” of precipitation that fell as 2.1” of snowfall. There was 1” on the ground. The highest wind gust was 27 MPH out of the SE. There was no sunshine. For today the average H/L is 31/18 the record high of 54 was in 1991 the coldest high of 3 was in 1996 the record low of -17 was in 1996 the warmest low of 38 was in 2019. The most precipitation of 0.61” that fell as 11.3” of snow was in 2007. The most… Read more »

Mark (East Lansing)
Mark (East Lansing)

NWS is still talking about freezing rain Wednesday. Have we had an icing event this season? Strange that we wouldn’t have had one by this time of the season.

Slim

In our area there has yet to be a freezing rain event this season and I am not sure we had one last year either.
Slim

Kyle (Portland, Ionia County)
Kyle (Portland, Ionia County)

I feel as though freezing rain events are more common in late winter/early spring.