Yesterday we had a high temperature of 56.5° and a low of 44°.
Dense Fog Advisory
...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING... * WHAT...Visibility one quarter mile or less in dense fog. * WHERE...Portions of central, south central, southwest, and west central Michigan. * WHEN...Until 10 AM EST this morning. * IMPACTS...Low visibility could make driving conditions hazardous.
Weather History
1958: Record high temperatures are set all across Lower Michigan as a southerly flow of air pushes afternoon high temperatures to around 70 degrees. At Muskegon, the temperature hits a record 71 degrees for the second day in a row.
2014: Arctic air prevails, with high temperatures in the teens and heavy lake-effect snow. Nearly 10 inches of snow fall at Grand Rapids, contributing to a record November total of 31 inches.
On November 18, 2016, unusual late-season Autumn warmth shattered record highs for the date across the region. Detroit reached 73 degrees (breaking the previous record of 69 from 1941) while Flint and Saginaw both reached 71. Their previous records were 69 (1941) and 68 (1975) respectively.
Also, on November 18, 1959, Flint experienced two days of record lows: 9 degrees on the 17th and 11 degrees on the 18th.
NWS Forecast
Today
A 30 percent chance of showers after 4 pm. Widespread dense fog before 10 am. Otherwise, increasing clouds, with a high near 58. Calm wind becoming east southeast 5 to 7 mph in the afternoon.
Tonight
Showers, mainly before 2 am. Low around 51. East-southeast wind 8 to 16 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. The chance of precipitation is 90%—new precipitation amounts between a tenth and a quarter of an inch possible.
Tuesday
Showers. High near 63. Southeast wind 10 to 17 mph becoming southwest in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 29 mph. The chance of precipitation is 90%—new precipitation amounts between a tenth and a quarter of an inch possible.
Tuesday Night
A 30 percent chance of showers before 1 am. Mostly cloudy, with a low of around 42. Southwest wind 6 to 8 mph.
Wednesday
Showers are likely, mainly after 1 pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 49. West wind 6 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. The chance of precipitation is 60%.
Wednesday Night
Rain showers before 1 am, then rain and snow showers between 1 am and 4 am, then snow showers after 4 am. Low around 31. The chance of precipitation is 90%. Little or no snow accumulation is expected.
Thursday
Snow showers before 7 am, then rain and snow showers between 7 am and 1 pm, then rain showers after 1 pm. High near 40. The chance of precipitation is 90%.
Thursday Night
Showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low of around 33.
Friday
Showers, mainly after 1 pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 44.
Friday Night
Showers, mainly before 1 am. Mostly cloudy, with a low of around 35.
Saturday
A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 42.
Saturday Night
A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low of around 33.
Sunday
Mostly cloudy, with a high near 43.
Forecast Discussion
- Rain Developing Late Today A strong southern stream wave will push a surface low north from Oklahoma today to Minnesota Tuesday. A band of rain will develop southeast of the low near the warm front as isentropic lift strengthens and condensation pressure deficits fall to less than 10 mb. Models have been consistent in showing this wave for several days as it moves north and phases with a northern stream upper low. For today, rain will move into the cwa from the southwest late this afternoon and move across the entire cwa through early evening. After a brief lull around midnight, more rain will develop late tonight as the occluded front moves toward the cwa and continue Tuesday before diminishing late in the day. - Continued Unsettled and Turning Cooler Mid to Late Week The same fcst challenges still exist with the mid to late week system. While guidance has been consistent in carving out a deep upper trough over the GrtLks Rgn by Thursday, they still differ on the evolution/placement of the main upper low center and resultant sfc cyclogenesis and thermal profiles. Thus still low confidence in potential fcst outcomes. The more northern placement of the GFS near Sault Ste Marie (then south from there) ends up sending colder H8 air in from the west. This results in lake enhanced rain and snow showers with some light/slushy accumulations possible inland from the milder Lk MI shoreline on Wednesday night into Thursday (favoring higher elevations up north as well as grass/fields vs roads). The more eastern placement of the ECMWF in the vicinity of Lk Erie meanwhile presents the (low probability) scenario for some synoptic wet/slushy snow accumulations over south central and southeast Lwr MI on Wednesday night, before warmer air wraps in around the the nrn side of the system from the east and changes things back to all rain for Thursday. The colder Irish Hills would probably be most favored for some accums in this (unlikely) scenario, but a few ensemble members still suggest several inches possible. Otherwise showery/cool weather persisting through at least Saturday with highs in the 40s until the upper trough finally lifts out later in the weekend.
Get ready – a big cold front is arriving this week! Who loves winter, cold and SNOW? Incredible!
10 years since the big 2014 November storm! Was just looking through video on my phone of it
That was epic! I lived in Ottawa County at that time and we got hammered!
Yes that was awesome! I was skiing in November baby!
Phew it’s been a warm November!
This winter is looking great! Get prepared now!
Bring on the first accumulating snow! I love it!
Here in MBY I had a shower last night the dropped 0.02” of rain. The overnight low here was 36 and at the current time there is dense fog and 37.
Slim
.03 here in Otsego
The official H/L yesterday at Grand Rapids was 53/43 there was a trace of rainfall. The sun came out 1% of the time. For today the average H/L is 46/32 the record high of 70 was in 1958, 2016. The coldest high of 19 was in 2014, the record low of 11 was set in 1959 the warmest low of 54 was set in 2015. The wettest was in 1921 with 1.68” the most snow fall of 9.6” fell in 2014 the most snow on the ground was 8” in 2022, 2014 and 1989. Last year the H/L was 50/24.
Slim