Cooler with Rain Showers

posted in: Michigan Weather Forecast | 28

Sure was a warm one yesterday.  We had a high temp of a very unseasonal 84° here in Otsego.  Today will be more tolerable with highs around 70° with scattered rain showers.  We received .11 of an inch of rain this morning by 6 am with hopes of more on the way.

The dogs and cats pretty much just lay around yesterday they weren’t their usual playful selves.  I don’t have the air conditioning on yet, I generally try to wait until closer to Memorial Day.  I lived without air conditioning for the first 40 years of my life and I somehow survived.  Being in my 60s now I look at it as a thing of comfort for both man and beast.

We will see cooler temps this week – Weak weather systems will create a daily risk of showers through midweek, but unfortunately, most areas will see only light rainfall amounts. High temperatures on Monday will be around 70, then between 55 and 60 for the rest of the week.

This is the SPC forecast for today – we are under the general thunderstorm outlook with the marginal nosing into the SW corner of the state.

Forecast Discussion

- Low pressure moves along cold front bringing rain and thunder
  chances into Tuesday

Showers are expected to continue today along a warm/stationary
front aligned across our northern forecast area, while the rain
associated with a southern stream low impinges on the southern
zones. Th low moves east later today but another surface low
forms along the cold front as a shortwave trough approaches from
the west. Showers and some embedded thunderstorms will move in
tonight and Tuesday then come to an end Tuesday night.

- Upper troughing and cooler than normal temps after Tuesday with
  frost/freeze potential

Trend to cooler temperatures on Wednesday into the weekend with
frost and freeze potential as Canadian sfc high builds in. Some
light precipitation is possible Thursday into Friday as a weak
northern stream shortwave moves through with a reinforcing shot
of cold air for the end of the week.

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Andy W
Andy W
INDY
INDY

Chief Bill Steffens just said 50’s as far as the eye can see cooler pattern setting up for May standards otherwise look for mookie on vacation berrys air compressor running on high and Jeff letting us know 80s are coming in June DDDDDD lol…..INDY

Rocky (Rockford)
Rocky (Rockford)

I love it! Rock on INDY! Clearly we are entrenched in a cool pattern! Who would have thought!

Andy W
Andy W

Heck yeah, bring on highs in the 30’s through the middle of the month here!! We’ll be on vacation down in sunny warm Texas!! BRING IT!!

Rocky (Rockford)
Rocky (Rockford)

No ac will be needed until at least June!

Andy W
Andy W

Don’t put your snow shovel away!! Could get a few inches Friday night!

Rocky (Rockford)
Rocky (Rockford)

I might need to break out the skis again!

Slim

This is from todays NWS discussion ” WHILE THIS MAY NOT BE NOTICED MY MANY, THE MJO IS 3 STANDARD DEVIATIONS FROM NORMAL AND IN QUAD 1. THIS IS A STRONG COLD SIGNAL FOR MICHIGAN. IT IS FORECAST TO PROGRESS INTO QUAD 2 BY EARLY NEXT WEEK, BUT GUESS WHAT, QUAD 2 IS COLD FOR US TOO. IT HAS BEEN MY EXPERIENCE THAT IF THE MODELS DO NOT MATCH THE MJO FORECAST, THE MODELS WILL BE WRONG. THE BOTTOM LINE IS EXPECT AT LEAST 2 WEEKS OF COLDER THAN NORMAL TEMPERATURES. THIS MEANS FROST AND FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE MORE THAN… Read more »

Rocky (Rockford)
Rocky (Rockford)

I expect the entire month of May to trend towards below normal for temps! Get prepared now. No warm air is in sight! Forget 80’s, forget 70’s and embrace night time temps in the 30’s! Incredible!

INDY
INDY

Glad I haven’t put any seed down yet I guess it’s time to get a new furnace filter good thing the stores sell them.year around WOW!! INDY

Rocky (Rockford)
Rocky (Rockford)

You will need your furnace all month long!

Andy W
Andy W

Heck yeah!! Texas will be amazing during that time!! Maybe Rocky will get a few inches of snow while I’m gone!! Who knew?!?!!

Sandy (Hudsonville)
Sandy (Hudsonville)

We had the AC on here too. I hate to say it but it was the 2nd time. It gets really hot in here too. Yesterday we decided it was a great day to give the dog a bath. I am not sure the dog did. All my plants are loving the warmer weather. I got my patio tomato plants but haven’t re planted them just yet. Last year was a bumper crop of tomatoes I am hoping for the same this year.

Slim

Looks like there is a good chance that you may not need the AC for a while. I have not uncovered the AC yet and see no reason to do so for the next two weeks or more.
Slim

Sandy (Hudsonville)
Sandy (Hudsonville)

You are right. I just read what you posted about it being colder for 2 weeks. That is why all my flowers and plants are still in the smaller pots. Much easier to move around.

Barry in Zeeland
Barry in Zeeland

Yes it was hot and stuffy in the bedrooms last night. Definitely needed the AC. Probably be on tonight as well with the dew point into the 60’s.

INDY
INDY

CPC shows a below normal temperatures for May this could be hard to take for some but running the ac when it’s in the 50’s is fabulous concussion lol…INDY

INDY
INDY

Frost and Frezzee advisorys coming this weekend GREATEST SCOTTY!! INDY

INDY
INDY

54* degrees in my area feels like March not May …..INDY..

Barry in Zeeland
Barry in Zeeland

Average high temps in March are low 40’s. Current temp now 63 degrees with a humid dew point of 60. Yup. Feels like May.

Slim

Yesterday was once again one of this springs extremes. The official high of 83 is now the 2nd warmest for any May 2nd at Grand Rapids and the low of 65 is now the warmest minimum for any May 2nd It was all in all a genuinely nice and warm spring day. At this time there is light rain falling here at my house but so far just 0.04” has fallen. With that light rain it is now 60 here and the last reading was 58 at GRR.
Slim

Barry in Zeeland
Barry in Zeeland

More records fall. Probably to hard to look up, but what would your guess be on the average number of days a year that end up + or – 20? Can’t be very many.

Slim

So far 2021 has had 4 days with a mean of +20 or -20 from average with 3 on the plus side and – on the below side. In 2020 there were a total of 5 days with 2 plus and 1 below. I looked at January going back to 2011 and ever one has had at least one day of +20 or -20 except January 2016 so in January it looks like days 20° above or below are not all that rare.
Slim

INDY
INDY

Thanks Slim for the facts again as always …INDY

Barry in Zeeland
Barry in Zeeland

Yeah I can see where January would be prone for more days with a 20 degree departure, but I would think other months, especially May through August it doesn’t happen very often. A + 20 in July would give us temps of 105 degrees!

Mookie
Mookie

WOOD forecasted 72, 79 for this weekend and it turned out 75, 83. Why do they constantly forecast too cold almost every time?

I love early summer weekends at the beginning of May! +20 degrees above average on Sunday? Wow!

Barry in Zeeland
Barry in Zeeland

With yesterday’s high at +18 and the low at +22 it was one of those rare days where the average was a +20 on the day. Don’t see that very often at all! Wife turned the upstairs AC on so we could sleep comfortably.

Mark (East Lansing)
Mark (East Lansing)

Same here. We had all the windows open yesterday, which was great. However, we could not get the house to cool down last night and it was very uncomfortable. We shut up the house and turned on the a/c.

Getting some much needed rain this morning, but just not much of it, unfortunately.

Have a great week, friends!