We have had a fairly dry spring this year so far. The latest CPC forecast has us cooler and wetter than normal for the next couple of weeks which would hopefully make a dent in our rainfall deficit. Unfortunately with the cooler than normal temps we have chances of freezes and frost in the picture. Normal highs would be in the low to mid-60s normal minimums would be in the low to mid-40s. Forecast models have us in the 50s this week into next.
Last night’s rain didn’t amount to much, just another .01 of an inch to add to the .14 we had yesterday. With the CPC forecast put aside, I see perhaps a dryer pattern with the Gulf moisture conveyor belt shut down during periods of cooler than normal temps, something to keep in mind as most of the moisture would come from the west and north. Let’s hope the CPC sees something I don’t in regards to rain.
- Upper troughing this week brings cool weather with occasional showers Cold front moves east this morning with showers ending but low clouds remaining much of the day. Slow clearing tonight but sfc pressure gradient keeps enough wind going to prevent decoupling mitigate frost potential. Frost and freezing temperatures are possible each night beginning Wednesday but a complicating factor will be clouds on Wednesday and Thursday nights as weak shortwave troughs bring clouds and a chance of showers. The best frost/freeze potential looks to be Friday night. Sfc low passing south of Lower Michigan over the weekend may bring some rain to southern Lower Michigan but once again the bulk of the heavier rain may miss our forecast area to the south.