Yesterday’s high temperature was 57° which was in the morning before falling into the 40s. Our low was 41°. We have 37° at 6:30 this morning. Here are some of the recorded wind gusts from yesterday.
High pressure will bring fair weather today. Some morning lake effect clouds will dot the area, but the overall trend should be increasing amounts of sunshine. Highs will be near normal in the mid to upper 40s. Our next chance for rain will come Wednesday night through Thursday night when the entire area should see a soaking rain.
Gratiot County Tornado
A NWS damage survey on Monday determined that a brief EF-0 tornado tracked along Hayes Road between Rich Road and Alger Road in southwest Gratiot County Sunday evening. Sporadic and isolated damage to trees was noted, but no other damage was found along the path. One tree in particular was uprooted and fell onto a chain-link fence and a few headstones at a cemetery.
Weather History
1873: Winter arrives early with 5 inches of snow at Lansing, followed by a string of record lows in the single digits, including a 1-degree reading on the morning of the 13th.
On November 12, 2003, a cold front ahead of a rapidly deepening low-pressure system tracked across the area late in the evening on the 12th. Temperatures soared into the lower 60s during the afternoon hours. A line of showers and thunderstorms ahead of the cold front produced widespread 60 mph winds or greater, along with one tornado, rated F1, just west of Akron in Tuscola County.
This same strong low-pressure system then moved across the straits on the evening of the 12th, moving into Ontario overnight as it deepened. The storm produced wind gusts between 50 and 60 MPH across all of Southeast Michigan. In addition, there were even a few wind gusts reported between 60 and 88 mph. The highest wind gust was reported by a spotter in Dexter who recorded an 88 mph gust. An estimated 250,000 customers lost power in southeast Michigan, as widespread trees and power lines were blown down at a cost of about 21 million dollars in damage.
Also on November 12, 1911, a 24-hour temperature range of 49 degrees was recorded. The temperature at midnight was 65 degrees, at 6 am was 30 degrees, at noon was 20 degrees, and fell to a low of 16 degrees at 11 pm.
NWS Forecast
Forecast Discussion
- Quiet and Seasonable Through Wednesday Subsidence and resultant drying from the arrival of surface and upper-level ridging brings plenty of sunshine to West Michigan today. However, the persistence of thermal troughing keeps high temperatures in the mid to upper forties. Model RH progs show cloud cover will be on the increase Wednesday as upper-level moisture streams in ahead of our next wave. Conditions look to be dry for the daylight hours of Wednesday as dry air and the influence of surface and upper-level ridging persist. Highs look to top out around fifty, which is near normal for this time of year. Lows Tuesday night crash into the 20s given good radiational cooling conditions which is a bit below normal. - One main chance for precipitation: Wed night through Thurs night Looking at both the GFS and ECMWF ensembles there is one main chance for precipitation in the 7 day forecast and that comes in the Wednesday night through Thursday night time frame. The upper pattern will feature a zonal flow through the Wednesday night through Monday period with shortwave troughs moving through both mid week and again on Sunday. The mid week system has slightly better moisture return when compared to Sunday. As such, the mid week system is much wetter. The better moisture return mid week combined with a slow moving surface low that slides right through our area brings high chances for a soaking rain. Most likely range for precipitation across our area Wednesday night through Thursday night will be on the order of 0.30 to 0.60. Obviously no hydro concerns with those totals, but everyone will see rain. The Sunday system is much more progressive with the surface low well removed to the north of the area. Precipitation amounts are much lower on the order of trace amounts to potentially a quarter of an inch. - Temperatures near to slightly above normal Given the zonal flow in place there are no incursions of polar air into the upper midwest through the 7 day forecast. We look to stay above Zero C through the period. Lake effect rain or snow production would require at least a -1C 850mb air given a current lake temperature around +12C. No lake effect rain or snow of any consequence is forecast through Monday which takes us out to the 18th of November. High temperatures through the period will mainly be in the 50s so those looking for early season snowfall will not find any as of yet.
I got the alert for the Gratiot County tornado. A November tornado? I doubted it, figuring it was a glitch.
Yea definitely rare… we had that tornado outbreak back in November 2014 (?) but I think most missed us to the south
That was November 17, 2013 when the high risk came up into southern MI. I believe there was a tornado NW of Grand Rapids from that but the worst I think was to our south
A tornado was confirmed in Holly, MI as well.
The official H/L yesterday at Grand Rapids was 56/41 there was no rain/snow. The sun was out just 9% of the time. The highest wind was 44MPH out of the NW. For today the average H/L is 49/34 the record high of 68 was set in 1902 the coldest high of 24 was in 2019. The record low of 15 was set in 1911 and 1986 the warmest low of 50 was set in 1964. The wettest was in 1992 with 0.89” the most snowfall of 3.6” fell in 1997 the most on the ground was 5” in 1995. Last… Read more »
The overnight low here in MBY was 28 and that is the current temperature with clear skies.
Slim