Peak color is complete in my area and the leaves are covering the ground. The trees are mostly void of leaves around my yard and I have been mulching them every couple of days. The mower deck will come off this week and the plow will take its place. The hardest part is getting the chains on the rear tires. Once done the lawn tractor turns into a mighty snowplow ready to make its journey into winter.
Snow is in the forecast this week thankfully nothing to worry about, just a reminder of things to come. Temperatures will be cooler each day this week. Chances for rain continue through tonight. It is then looking more likely we’ll see our first snowflakes of the season Tuesday, though at this time not expecting much in the way of accumulations. Wednesday through Friday look to be dry.
Forecast
U.S.A and Global Events for October 29th:
1693: From the Royal Society of London: “There happened a most violent storm in Virginia which stopped the course of ancient channels and made somewhere there never were any.” Known as the Accomack Storm, this event likely caused changes to the Delmarva shoreline and coastal inlets.
1948: A historic smog event occurred in the town of Donora, Pennsylvania. The smog killed 20 people and sickened 7,000 more.
Forecast Discussion
- Rain early today with a break during daytime Cold front continues to move eastward today. with strong zonal flow aloft. Light showers continue to stream from the southwest to the northeast across the lower peninsula. Precipitation remains light and will shift eastward this morning. As those showers move eastward, mid to low level flow will shift to the northeast and will have drier low level air over the region through most of Sunday. That will be in juxtaposition to strong 700mb winds of around 40kts. So while there is copious amounts of mid level moisture, which is a good indication of clouds, there will be enough dry air in the low levels to not allow for rain this afternoon and through the early evening. - Rain returns tonight into tomorrow. A deepening trough extending from across southern Canada through the intermountain west will swing through the midwest and the Great Lakes tonight into tomorrow. The best PVA is well south of the region, however there will be enough instability and PWATS associated with this front to continue to drop temperatures and bring a round of cold rain tonight. Any showers will end early Monday. That front will bring gusty westerly flow. Sunday lows will be close to 32 along and south of I 96 and below 32 for regions north of I 96. -Snow Showers Halloween Then Drier for the Rest of the Workweek Monday night temperatures fall into the mid 20s to low 30s with the warmest temperatures along Lake Michigan. An upper level trough and associated surface low then track through the area Tuesday. There will be an ample amount of positive vorticity advection along with cold air aloft that will support snow with sounding profiles in the dendritic growth zone. As breezy winds turn more northwesterly over the lake late Tuesday morning into the afternoon we should see some lake enhancement with these showers. Closer to the lake though temperature profiles are a little warmer so could see some rain mix in with the snow. Air temperatures overall will be in the mid 30s with wet bulb temperatures around 32. This will result in some melting and compaction as the snow falls, but any bursts could briefly accumulate on any surface along with causing some reduced visibilities. Overall accumulations are expected mainly on grassy surfaces with most seeing an inch or less. There is a signal in the ensemble and probabilistic guidance highlighting an area that could see amounts over an inch. Right now this area would include Newaygo, Mecosta, Lake, and Osceola. Overall this is going to be more of a nuisance snow than anything, especially for some trick-or-treaters. Be sure to layer up though if going out as wind chills will be in the 20s. Drier conditions are expected for the rest of the workweek with temperatures warming a little bit each day. Heading into next weekend there is some uncertainty with the overall pattern and rain chances. Therefore have another weekend with chances for rain though not expecting it to be a complete washout.
Forget golf and bring on plenty of cold and SNOW!
Let it snow let it snow let it snow
You know it! Just like last year, the warm weather fanatics said it was a mild and easy winter, yet we kept getting pummeled with major snowstorms! More of the same for this winter! Some have already said winter is cancelled and we see very little snowfall, yet it will be snowing in October! Incredible!
Not sure how long it will last but it is snowing at Houghton at this time with a temperature of 32.
https://www.mtu.edu/webcams/ripley/
Slim
I’m surprised that there are leaves on the trees.
It really has not been that cold there either.
Slim
Looking good! Keep it coming!
The official H/L yesterday at Grand Rapids was 52/45 there was a trace of rain fall. The sun was out 31% of the possible time. The highest wind gust was 24 MPH out of the W. For today the average H/L is 55/38 the record high of 77 was set in 1901 and the record low of 20 was set in 1969. The record rain fall amount of 1.02” fell in 1996 and the record snow fall of 1.6” fell in 1906. Last year the H/L was 64/32.
Slim
Bring it!
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/pwpf/wwd_accum_probs.php?fpd=24&ptype=snow&amt=1&day=null
What? Snow is in the forecast for Halloween! Too funny considering the warm weather fanatics recently said no snow or cold this Halloween! Bring on the accumulating snow! My point forecast gives me 2 inches of SNOW! Rock n Roll will never die!