We have a wonderfully warm 65.6° here at 6am (which has held fairly steady overnight) which should be a record low high temperature for our area – I will let Slim give us the relevant info for this. Yesterday we reached 84.2° with dewpoints in the low 70s – these are all Otsego readings.
This will all come to an end today as we reverse our trend of warmer than normal days and the shock and awe of a strong cold front and low pressure center makes it way into the state. After a high of the mid 70s today we will see our temps drop to the 40s by tomorrow morning. Air conditioners will go off and furnaces will kick in. We should still be on the warm side around 11pm (around 70°) then see a 20° drop by daybreak Thursday. Temps will struggle to reach 50° during the day, so our high temp for tomorrow will be just after midnight.
We will see our chances of showers and a possible storm increase as the day moves on. We are looking at a half to an inch of rain today into the overnight hours with locally heavier amounts should you get a storm. We could see lake effect rain showers Thursday and Friday. A water spout on lake Michigan isn’t out of the question. Low temperatures over the next several days should drop in the 30s with the possibility of frost if the sky should clear overnight. So enjoy the 70s today, this will be the last of it for quite some time.
…and now for our weekly weather history report:
October 7
1965: A tornado destroyed a trailer and several outbuildings southeast of Clare in Isabella County.
2007: Temperatures reach record highs as very warm weather prevails across Lower Michigan from the 5th to the 8th. Grand Rapids sets three record highs in a row with temperatures in the upper 80s from the 6th to the 8th.
October 8
1871: The worst wildfires in the history of the Great Lakes region occur as strong south winds combine with tinder dry conditions. The fires leveled several areas of Michigan and Wisconsin, including the cities of Peshtigo, Holland, Manistee, and Port Huron. At least 1200 people died, about half of them in the Peshtigo, Wisconsin fire. That same night, the Great Chicago Fire erupted, destroying much of the city.
October 9
1989: Record cold temperatures put the freeze on southwest Lower Michigan for the second day in a row. Records include 23 degrees at Grand Rapids and Lansing and 24 degrees at Muskegon. The record cold is accompanied by scattered snow flurries.
October 10
1879: Southwest Lower Michigan is in the midst of a long spell of warm weather. Lansing rises into the 80s for seven out of the eight days from October 5th through the 12th. This includes the record high of 84 degrees on October 10th, which was preceded by a record 83 degrees on the 9th and followed by 85 degrees on the 11th.
1906: An early season snowstorm drops 4 to 8 inches of snow from Ludington to South Haven. Temperatures plunge into the teens the next morning, killing thousands of fruit trees, enough to alter the agricultural economy of southwest Lower Michigan.
October 11
1912: A late evening tornado hit Gratiot County. Five farms sustained damage along a five mile-long path. An elderly woman was killed and her son injured as their home was blown apart southwest of Alma.
October 12
2006: A record early season snowstorm brings up to eight inches of snow to southwest Lower Michigan. Tree damage and power outages were extensive around Hastings in Barry County as the wet, heavy snow clings to the tree branches, which still had leaves on them. I lost a maple tree in my front yard when it snapped in half.
October 13
1874: A record cold snap struck Lower Michigan with Lansing plunging to 16 degrees.
1975: Record warmth occurred with highs in the 80s. The 87 degrees at Grand Rapids was a record for the date and the highest temperature for so late in the season.
[xyz-ihs snippet=”Seven-Day-Forecast”]
It sure is a rainy day!! Really dark out. My a/c is still on the temp outside has not fallen yet.
ADA – One inch so far…rain continues.
The word of the day is COLDER! Bring it!
Watched a little of the storm coverage on TV. Not sure why they send reports out trying to say how bad the storm is when there is very little wind. One point that is not made is that the highest winds are 1. at the beach and 2. not at sea level. 3. any place that had 150 MPH winds would have extreme damage if that wind was at ground level. Here is what would happen with different winds at or near ground level.
Category Sustained Winds Types of Damage Due to Hurricane Winds
1 74-95 mph
64-82 kt
119-153 km/h Very dangerous winds will produce some damage: Well-constructed frame homes could have damage to roof, shingles, vinyl siding and gutters. Large branches of trees will snap and shallowly rooted trees may be toppled. Extensive damage to power lines and poles likely will result in power outages that could last a few to several days.
2 96-110 mph
83-95 kt
154-177 km/h Extremely dangerous winds will cause extensive damage: Well-constructed frame homes could sustain major roof and siding damage. Many shallowly rooted trees will be snapped or uprooted and block numerous roads. Near-total power loss is expected with outages that could last from several days to weeks.
3
(major) 111-129 mph
96-112 kt
178-208 km/h Devastating damage will occur: Well-built framed homes may incur major damage or removal of roof decking and gable ends. Many trees will be snapped or uprooted, blocking numerous roads. Electricity and water will be unavailable for several days to weeks after the storm passes.
4
(major) 130-156 mph
113-136 kt
209-251 km/h Catastrophic damage will occur: Well-built framed homes can sustain severe damage with loss of most of the roof structure and/or some exterior walls. Most trees will be snapped or uprooted and power poles downed. Fallen trees and power poles will isolate residential areas. Power outages will last weeks to possibly months. Most of the area will be uninhabitable for weeks or months.
5
(major) 157 mph or higher
137 kt or higher
252 km/h or higher Catastrophic damage will occur: A high percentage of framed homes will be destroyed, with total roof failure and wall collapse. Fallen trees and power poles will isolate residential areas. Power outages will last for weeks to possibly months. Most of the area will be uninhabitable for weeks or months.
I found your post interesting.
Here are some live web cams along US 231 north of panama city, there is also a power outage map but that one is no where as good as Consumers power outage maps
http://data.tallahassee.com/storm/michael-webcam/us-231-mm33/
Slim
11:30 update – pressure is down to 923 mb and the wind is up to 150 mph. Here a couple of webcams:
https://www.livebeaches.com/webcams/spinnakers-beach-cam-panama-city-beach/
https://hdontap.com/index.php/video/stream/palazzo-panama-city
The second one will be very interesting later this afternoon.
Temp is falling like the rain now is falling out at thee YARDofBRICKS…INDY!!
Winds at a 150 mph now with hurricane Michael I could not imagine! Catastrophic damage!! Prayers! INDY!!
Yesterday was a +22 degrees above average day. I haven’t seen such a huge disparity from average like that in a long time! That’s crazy heat!
What is crazy is that our low temp last night was warmer than our average high for the day. You don’t see that very often.
We have a lots of frost chances coming up Saturday night lows in our northern area maybe down in the mid 20’s the furnace will be cranking prayers with Florida big hurricane moving in have a good Wednesday bloggers .. INDYDOG14!!
If Hurricane Michael maintains its current strength it will be the strongest hurricane to hit the Florida panhandle in history. And as far as I can find the strongest storm to hit Florida in the month of October.
Slim
I love the laid-back FL panhandle area and have camped along the various shorelines many times. My first thought is that a LOT of structures in the path of the hurricane, are not built to withstand those predicted winds; nor is there much elevation to withstand the storm surge. I’m keeping those people in my prayers…..
Yesterday Barry asked this question.
Hey Slim, what is the record high for GR today? Bill posted on his One More Warm Day entry the record is 82, you stated yesterday it was 84, and from what I found online it said 83. Which is correct?? So far GR has hit 83 already which is either a record, a tie, or 1 degree off.
The answer is that the official high of 84 yesterday tied 1939 for maximum. It was only the 6th time it has reached 80 or better on October 9th in Grand Rapids recorded history. The minimum did set a new record warmest minimum at 66 breaking the old record of 65 set in 1949. Today’s record high of 85 looks to be safe.
Slim