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Cool with Rain (Again)

Yesterday we had a high of 55° and the low was 49°.  Our rainfall was .75 of an inch which brings our total for the month to 2.13 inches.  We expect another day similar to today though rainfall totals should be less than yesterday.  Tomorrow night we could see a widespread frost event as temperatures dip into the 30s with calm winds.  I suspect we will see frost advisories across southwest Michigan and warnings to the north.

Forecast Discussion

Water vapor imagery shows the upper trough axis over eastern Ohio
and slowly moving east. Local radar continues to show scattered
showers over the western cwa. Forecast concerns deal with
precipitation trends today and then frost potential Wednesday night.

Weak cyclonic vorticity advection coupled with favorable lake delta
t/s will create more lake effect showers today. However coverage
will be less than Monday as the upper trough continues to move east.
Today will be chilly with highs in the mid 50s. We won`t see frost
tonight though due to abundant cloud cover. However, as a large area
of high pressure moves into the Great Lakes by Wednesday, drier air
will advect in with it and we`ll see a clearing trend. That will set
the stage for a very chilly Wednesday night. Light winds are
expected Wednesday night which should allow temperatures to fall
into the lower to mid 30s in most locations. We`ll likely need at
least a Frost Advisory and perhaps a Freeze Warning over the
northern cwa.

Warm advection begins late Wednesday night and continues through
Saturday. Temperatures will warm to near 70 by Sunday. Sunday may
also end up be rather breezy, depending on how far north the
remnants of Ian get due to the pressure gradient between it and the
high over Ontario.
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Got a text from Family in Florida… Jim Cantore is in town… Yikes!!!

Rocky (Rockford)
Rocky (Rockford)

What part of FL?


Fort Myers area

Rocky (Rockford)
Rocky (Rockford)

What a cold day! The below normal temp pattern shows no sign of letting up! At least the sun will reappear by Thursday! Incredible cold!


Check out the lake effect rain pretty cool soon it will be snow …. currently 49 degrees out in my hood .. INDY

Mark (East Lansing)
Mark (East Lansing)

Lots of sun this morning. Hoping it dries things out. I really need to mow.

Mark (East Lansing)
Mark (East Lansing)

My family and their friends finally left Anna Maria yesterday afternoon. I would have left earlier. They’re not messing around, though. They were going to stay at a friend’s farther inland, but they decided to go to Valdosta, GA. Wise decision. Two of the couples are waiting until this morning to hit the road. Not a wise decision. I-4 is a parking lot. The latest cone has Anna Maria and Tampa Bay in the bullseye with a possible Cat 3 at landfall, as opposed to a Cat 1 as forecasted 24 hours ago.


Yesterday official high of 57 was the coldest high at Grand Rapids since May 18th the low for the day was 49. There was 0.02” of rain fall (I had 0.03”) and just 9% of possible sunshine. The overnight low here in MBY so far has been the current temperature of 44 The official low so far at GRR is 46. The average H/L for today is 69/49 the record high for today is 86 set in 1946 and the record low was 29 set in 1989. The rest of this week looks cool but warming up by the weekend.… Read more »