Cool & Wet

posted in: Michigan Weather Forecast | 11

We saw three or four briefs peaks of the sun yesterday though it didn’t warm up the air much.  Our high temp was 58.5° and the low was 52.5°.  Yesterday was mainly dry with the exception of some early morning showers and then the rain moving back in again after midnight.  Rainfall total this morning a 6 am was .75 with the western portion of the low-pressure center overhead.

We expect the showers to remain a good portion of the day with another half to three-quarters of an inch possible. Temps aren’t going to budge much and will struggle to reach the low 50s.  North northwest winds 13 to 18 mph, with gusts as high as 26 mph will add to the mix.

Forecast Discussion

--Rainy, breezy, chilly today-

Expect widespread rain today into the evening as closed upper low
near Toledo slowly lifts north toward Lake Huron. Additional
amounts expected to be mainly in the 0.50 to 1.00 inch range, but
some locally higher amounts possible especially this morning.

Will be cancelling the Flood Watch. Two day rainfall totals in
the JXN/LAN areas are generally only 1.5 to 2.5 inches and the
axis of heavier rain is now shifting west of the watch area.

Tight pressure gradient on the back side of the associated sfc
low over ern Lwr MI will lead to wind gusts around 30 mph from the
north-northwest. The wind and clouds/rain will hold temperatures
close to current temps around 50 much of the day, so a downright
nasty day for the first full day of fall.

-Sun/milder but still breezy Friday; Showers/storms Friday night

Today`s upper low is booted out quickly on Friday as another one
drops southeast from Canada toward MN. We end up seeing quite a
bit of sun being inbetween the two systems, with winds increasing
from the south in the afternoon ahead of an approaching cold
front. Quite a swing in temperatures expected as highs surge into
the lower 70s in WAA pattern; about 20 degrees higher than today.

High likelihood of showers and a few thunderstorms on Friday night
as potent H5 shortwave and strong sfc cold front sweep through the
area. Another 0.50 of rainfall is likely for most areas with this
dynamic, quick-hitting system.

-Breezy/seasonal weekend; dry/pleasant next week

Showers with the next cold front clear the area quickly early
Saturday, but breezy westerly winds follow behind the front.
Cooler highs in the mid 60s expected in roller-coaster
temperature pattern, and probably a good deal of diurnal cu clouds
forming. Then for Sunday the warm air surges back in again as
winds turn southwesterly and remain breezy.

Prolonged period of ridging and dry air expected next week,
leading to mainly dry conditions with temps near to above normal.

 

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Rocky (Rockford)
Rocky (Rockford)

Bring on some above normal temps right into mid October! Raise up the lake MI temps and then when the polar vortex hits the lake effect could be record breaking! Wow! Bring on the snow!

Mr. Negative
Mr. Negative

Light rain all night, gave way to heavy rain this morning. Gauges reading 1.3 inches.

Andy W
Andy W

Very glad we are only getting a two day cool down!! After today great warmer weather for as far as the eye can see!

https://weather.com/weather/tenday/l/52aab230ef88e4f2bb12857231a5dd58392e78a71b90e01d57a11d827658eb55

CPC Actually looks like these high temps may need to get bumped up a bit for this forecast! Gotta love 70’s right on thru October! Keep the warm weather ROCKIN!!

Mr. Negative
Mr. Negative

Routine…”The Southern Arctic” celebrating the coldest temps in the US today.

INDY
INDY

Wow up to 47* degrees outside we are getting there lol….INDY

Nathan (Forest Hills)
Nathan (Forest Hills)

We look to enter an average to above-average pattern temperature-wise after the next couple of days. Average highs fall from 70 today to 66 by the 30th, so even though forecasted highs are around 68 8-days out, that is technically above average for then, even though that would be below average today.

Barry in Zeeland
Barry in Zeeland

What an incredible sunset last night! Looked like the whole sky was on fire. Of course the pic doesn’t look near as good as the real thing.

https://www.flickr.com/photos/184860862@N07/51507198288/in/dateposted-public/

Sandy (Hudsonville)
Sandy (Hudsonville)

Beautiful photo. Thanks for sharing. I saw it last night but didn’t get a photo.

Mark (East Lansing)
Mark (East Lansing)

That’s awesome

Slim

I recorded 0.85″ of rain fall here at my house. The official rain fall at GRR looks to be around 1.18″ The overnight low both here and at GRR was 47 and at this time it is a cool and wet 47. Yesterdays high at Grand Rapids of 60 was the 14th coolest high for any September 22. The forecast high for today is 52 and if that plays out that would be the 2nd coldest high ever for September 23 at Grand Rapids.
Slim

INDY
INDY

44* degrees out in my hood yes 40’s no joke with heavy rain fallen we have sure gone into a wet pattern lately just over 2 inches of rain since midnight here crazzy if only this was snow shuuuu…Stay warm stay dry INDY