Cool Today

posted in: Michigan Weather Forecast | 8

Not much to talk about weatherwise today or for much of the week for that matter.  Seems this has been a reoccurring theme this year.    We have a trace of snow on the vehicles and rooftops this morning hardly worth a mention but it is there such as it is, sneering platitudes of its existence though neither profound nor exciting for that matter.

Last year at this time we were under the same circumstances so I wrote a post on the predictability of weather forecasting in the U.S.  I  suppose I could share this with you again to keep your attention focused on all things weather:


We in Michigan like to slam our Mets when they don’t get the forecast right – Michigan is one of those states which has the least predictable weather because of the large bodies of water that surround us.

Below are maps generated from a study that compiled data on the most and least predictability of the weather in the U.S. – the orange shades are those cities that are less predictable.  Cities in the Great Plains and Upper Midwest dominate the most-unpredictable list. After Rapid City, those with the most unpredictable weather are Great Falls, Montana; Houghton, Michigan; Sioux Falls, South Dakota; Fargo, North Dakota; Duluth, Minnesota; Bismarck, North Dakota; Aberdeen, South Dakota; Grand Island, Nebraska; and Glasgow, Montana.

The Western U.P. has the dubious distinction of having the most unpredictable precipitation largely due to the snowfall in the winter coming off lake Superior.  Southwest Michigan is one of those places where forecasting can be hard to predict more than a couple of days out.

The Keweenaw Peninsula can get well over 200 inches of snow in the winter of course that is nothing compared to Mt. Baker in Washington which boasts over 1100 inches (Rocky’s paradise).


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Slim

We are now past the half way point of November 2020. At this time the mean at Grand Rapids is 49.4° that is good for a departure of +6.5° While that mean will go down over the next two week it should be noted that the record warmest November at Grand Rapids in 1931 had a mean of 47.6° At this time it looks like November 2020 has a good chance of getting into a top 10 as the 10th warmest November come in at 43.9 and was set in 1902.
Slim

Slim

The over night low here was 31 the official low at the airport was 32. Light snow was reported at GRR and here at my house there was 0.01″ of water in the rain gauge but I did not see any snow fall. The water in the birdbath did ice over. At this time the skies are clear and the current reading is 34.
Slim

Andy W
Andy W

Hoping for a Thanksgiving with temps in the 50’s or even 60 would be spectacular!! Then we could visit with our families outside! That would be a real blessing.

Rocky (Rockford)
Rocky (Rockford)

Now that is a comment I wholehearted agree with!

Andy W
Andy W

Amen Rocky! And get the new vaccines to the people that need them most!

Rocky (Rockford)
Rocky (Rockford)

Now you are talking!

Sandy (Hudsonville)
Sandy (Hudsonville)

This is the best thing I have heard today. I hope for you it is near 70 degrees. 🙂

Mark (East Lansing)
Mark (East Lansing)

No snow here. Cool, gray, and boring.