Yesterday we had a pleasant 72° after a morning low of 47°. We managed a meager .07 of an inch of rain as the cold front pushed through. With the passage of the cold front, the wind picked up blowing all the dead walnut leaves off the trees. It was quite a visual experience seeing all those leaves blowing around in the air.
Today will be much cooler and windy with some sunshine, lake effect rain showers will be mainly offshore during the day. We begin another period of dry boring weather, temps will slowly rebound over the next several days.
Forecast Discussion
-- Frost/freeze potential tonight -- The main challenge today will be demarcating frost advisory and/or freeze warning areas. It won`t be a great setup in all areas, as the center of the surface high will be well WSW of the Great Lakes, turning low-level winds more from the west and nudging lake-effect clouds inland late in the night. So it`s a good bet the lakeshore counties can be excluded from frost concerns. Moderate confidence that diurnal cumulus or stratocumulus will dissipate within a few hours after sunset inland as ridging and subsidence work to dry out that layer. Once that occurs the surface layer should decouple pretty quickly and winds will become light. With highs about 15 degrees below normal today, temperatures won`t have far to fall to get into freeze territory. The longer cloud-free time window and thus colder temperatures are favored around the Capital region and south. Note, frost/freeze headlines in the US-10 counties (Ludington to Clare) and north have ended for the season. -- Milder air returns for the first half of next week -- The ensembles of the ECMWF, GFS, and Canadian are all exhibiting pretty low spread in the temperature and precipitation solutions through Wednesday as the wave pattern across the continent becomes more progressive and translates eastward. This would take the milder air built up within the western ridge and advect it toward us, recovering our temperatures back into the mid/upper 60s Tue/Wed. Then the next digging upper level trough and surface cold front arriving between Wed/Thu would provide us with our next chance of appreciable rain.
Category: Michigan Weather Forecast
What a cold, windy day! Watch out for freezing temps tonight! Incredible cold stretch!
Anyone see the heavy rain event printed out by the 06Z GFS. Even shows it changing to snow for areas especially north of us and could even be enough to stick for some. However the run before didn’t show it so could just be a outlier run.
Bring on the snow! We could use an early winter this year!
This could be one of the best fall color displays I’ve seen in a while around here. I feel like conditions have been perfect. The colors here in Ionia County are looking great. Not at peak yet but already look fantastic. Our big maple we have at the edge of the property is exploding in a nice bright orange. It’s really started to change just in the past 2 days.
The soft woods are really starting to change here. The overall volume of color has doubled this week.
Ge ready for another stretch of below normal temps! The cool pattern keeps rocking!
This has been a pretty dry Fall so far. Since September 1 we have had less than a third of our average rainfall. Yesterdays “big” cold front yielded a whopping 0.04” of rain here.
We are now one week into October 2022. For the first 6 days of the month the mean at Grand Rapids is 55.1. That is a departure of -1.2 so far the average high has been 70.0 the average high at this point should be 66.4. The average low so far is 40.2 that below the average that is 46.3. So we have had warm days and cool nights so far. The official H/L yesterday was 71/44 there was a trace of rain fall reported and 15% possible sunshine. The overnight low here in MBY was 38 and that is the current temperature. I recorded 0.04” of rain fall yesterday. For today the average H/L is 65/45 the record high of 87 was recorded in 2007 and the record low of 25 was set in 1964. Last year the H/L was 68/62 and there was 0.12” of rain fall.
Slim
The temperature has been able to fall significantly during all of these clear nights. And rebound during the sunny days. Overall I think it has been a great start to October and great for the leaf change