We have a warm day in store with temperatures in the 80s. Clouds will increase and rain will develop overnight with a tenth to a quarter inch expected. Temperatures will be cooling down into the 60s on Friday and Saturday before we begin another sunny and dry period for next week.
Weather History
1997: Cool weather prevailed with scattered frost and a record low of 34 degrees at Lansing.
On September 5, 1984, Detroit experienced a record low of 42 degrees. This was the first of 2 consecutive days to experience a record low. On the 6th, the temperature dropped to 38 degrees.
NWS Forecast
Today
Sunny, with a high near 85. South wind 5 to 10 mph becoming west-southwest in the afternoon.
Tonight
Showers are likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Increasing clouds, with a low around 60. Light and variable wind becoming west at 5 to 7 mph after midnight. The chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and a quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Friday
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before 11 am, then a slight chance of showers between 11 am and 2 pm. Cloudy, then gradually becoming mostly sunny, with a steady temperature around 65. North northwest wind 9 to 13 mph. The chance of precipitation is 20%.
Friday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low of around 45. North northwest wind 6 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
Saturday
Partly sunny, with a high near 64. North northwest wind 5 to 13 mph, with gusts as high as 22 mph.
Saturday Night
Mostly clear, with a low of around 42.
Sunday
Sunny, with a high near 70.
Sunday Night
Clear, with a low of around 53.
Monday
Sunny, with a high near 78.
Monday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 54.
Tuesday
Sunny, with a high near 85.
Tuesday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low of around 56.
Wednesday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 86.
Tropical Outlook
The tropics (Atlantic) have been mainly quiet along with the Pacific, with not much happening to churn up our weather pattern over North America. There are four low-pressure centers over the Atlantic which have a 10 to 20 percent chance of cyclone formation.
Forecast Discussion
- Showers and Storms Tonight into Friday Cloud cover increases today as low level moisture pushes in ahead of a cold front. This cold front will bring showers and thunderstorms tonight into Friday. Given the more moderate instability and deep layer shear lagging behind the front, severe weather is not expected. Most areas will see around 0.25" of precipitation, with a amounts pushing towards 0.5" in some spots. Widespread cloud cover continues behind the front thanks to low-level moisture and lake enhancement, with lake effect showers possible near the lakeshore given the northerly flow. The cold front also brings in an influx of cooler air as 850mb temps fall to near 0C. Highs in the 80s are expected today falling into the 60s for Friday. - Cool and breezy weekend; lakeshore showers Saturday As the upper trough further amplifies overhead Friday night into early Saturday and H8 temps tumble to around 1C, lake effect rain showers are likely. However the low level flow is northerly which should restrict the showers to the shoreline and will have the highest pops around Ludington/Pentwater. Lake induced capes increase to 1000 to 2000 J/KG as Delta Ts drop to 20C, supporting a chance of a few tstms and waterspouts over the lake and immediate lakeshore. Conditions turn less favorable for lake effect after 18Z Saturday as the upper low begins to pull away, which is quicker than previous guidance. The low level flow turns anti-cyclonic rather abruptly Saturday afternoon as the sfc high over MN/IA expands east/southeast. That, and the arrival of drier air, should end the lake effect and bring decreasing clouds by later in the day. Guidance temps now trending warmer for Sunday due to the earlier/faster departure of the upper low. Warm advection is already shown to be in full effect during the afternoon as the center of the sfc high moves to srn IN, although tight pressure gradient on the north side of the high should keep us on the breezy side. Mostly sunny with highs near 70. - Warm and dry for next week All of next week looks dry and warm as ridging prevails both aloft and at the sfc. Gulf moisture will unavailable with a sprawling sfc high set up from Arkansas to the Mid Atlantic. H8 temps recover to 15 to 20C already by Tuesday in southwesterly flow so highs at or above 80 appear likely from then on.
Get ready for a cold/windy weekend! Well below normal temps are on the way and the low heat summer keeps going and going! Incredible!
Sad…it appears as though it may never rain in Ada again 🙁
Pathetic rain tonight! We need some decent rain and soon!
Sure feels like the middle of summer out there today.
Hope the Grand Valley game stays dry tonight!
The overnight low and current temperature here in MBY is 55. There is major but brief cool down coming this weekend before a big warm up again next week.
Slim
It was yet another nice sunny early fall days yesterday with the official H/L of 80/51 there was no rainfall, and the sun was out 93% of the time. For today the average H/L is 78/57 the record high of 92 was in 1922 and 1954 the coldest high of 60 was in 1988 and 1975. The record low of 39 was set in 1950 and 1977 the warmest low of 71 was set in 2023, 1985 and 1912. The most rainfall of 2.37” fell in 1917.
Slim