We have doubled our rainfall total from last month (here at the station) we are now at 1.29 inches with more rain on the way. You can see that discussion and forecast on the Michigan Forecast page. Below is the five day forecast for Allegan County – this is generated by my weather station so…
Michigan Weather Forecast
Wet and Gloomy
Now here is something we haven’t had for awhile – a moist and gloomy day. We have had a nice steady rain here at the station since 4am. We have seen .29 of an inch since midnight bringing our total to .73 for the month already surpassing our September rainfall by .15. We have expectations…
Atmospheric Circulation
Another piece of the winter forecast puzzle is atmospheric circulation. The circulation of wind in the atmosphere is driven by the rotation of the earth and the incoming energy from the sun. Wind circulates in each hemisphere in three distinct cells which help transport energy and heat from the equator to the poles. The winds…
Michigan Weather History for October 1st through 7th (Update)
10 – 4 Update Numerous showers are moving through the area now (at 10am) through Allegan County – hope you all get some much needed rain today. I will let this posting run through today as I am working on the main forecast page today…. I have added a travel planner, NAM and GFS models…
Lake Michigan Water Temperatures
I am taking a look at the Great lake water temperatures today which is another factor in a winter forecast for Michigan. When cold Canadian air rolls over the warmer lake waters it can created lake effect snow or rain. When I am asked how much snow we will get I say it depends on…
October – November – December Forecast
The feature image is sunset last night from the Muskegon GLERL Cam. I added the Beaver Island and Mac Bridge cams to the side bar. We ended up the month of September as our driest month of the year with less than 3/4 of an inch of rain here in Otsego. I was out raking…
Record Setting Heat Wave
This is my first post in the new format so will see how this looks. We witnessed one of the longest strings of record setting highs at several locations in Michigan this month. Many locations seen 6 days in a row of records set with most locations seeing 6 days in a row of…
Storm Data Publications
If you would like to read about historical past events in weather history NOAA has a publication site which goes back to January 1959 and runs through March of this year. Monthly issues contain a chronological listing, by states, of storm occurrences and unusual weather phenomena. Reports contain information on storm paths, deaths, injuries, and…
La Nina Watch
There is an increasing chance (~55-60%) of La Niña during the Northern Hemisphere fall and winter 2017-18. A watch is issued when conditions are favorable for the development of El Niño or La Niña conditions within the next six months. The arrival of El Niño or La Niña in the tropical Pacific Ocean triggers a…
Record Heat Wave Ends
As seen on my forecast page we are done with our record heat wave though next week we will get back into the warm air from the south after a cooler trend over the next few days. Still not much rain in the forecast until later next week on into the second week of October…