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We ended up with 1.27 inches of rain for the 5th and 6th, a healthy start for the month of August.  This brings us to 10.48 inches for the summer months.  Last year we had 6.86 inches for the same period, (these are Otsego totals).  Yesterday our high was 73°.  The next seven days we will see mainly below-normal temperatures and little or no precipitation.  There may be lake effect rain showers for the weekend along the lakeshore counties.


Weekend Forecast

Saturday

Sunday

 

Probability of Precipitation

Saturday

 

Sunday


Weather History

1900: An eight-day heat wave continues with temperatures in the lower to mid-90s. Adding to the discomfort are warm and muggy nighttime low temperatures that only fall to the mid and upper 70s.

1996: Heavy rains of over 3 inches flooded roads and streams in Lansing and Grand Ledge.

2008: Several waterspouts are observed over Lake Michigan from Grand Haven to South Haven. At least one of them appears to come onshore, but no damage occurs.

On August 7, 1984, thunderstorms brought winds of 73 mph in the mid-afternoon to Genesee County.


NWS Forecast

Today
Sunny, with a high near 79. East-northeast wind 7 to 11 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
Tonight
Mostly clear, with a low around 54. East-northeast wind 5 to 7 mph.
Thursday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 81. Light and variable wind.
Thursday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 59. Light west-northwest wind.
Friday
Sunny, with a high near 73. West northwest wind 5 to 11 mph, with gusts as high as 22 mph.
Friday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low of around 56.
Saturday
A 30 percent chance of showers after 2 pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 71.
Saturday Night
There is a chance of showers before 2 am. Mostly cloudy, with a low of around 56.
Sunday
A chance of showers between 8 am and 2 pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 73.
Sunday Night
Mostly cloudy, with a low around 55.
Monday
Sunny, with a high near 77.
Monday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 54.
Tuesday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 79.

Forecast Discussion

- Dry For The Next Few Days

No significant weather is expected through the short term forecast
period. Surface high pressure with dry easterly flow bring plenty of
sunshine Wednesday with highs near 80 and lower humidity. A similar
scenario is on tap for much of Thursday, with a band of better cloud
cover approaching the lakeshore by Thursday evening associated with
the cold front. Precipitation is not expected as this band
approaches given the lack of available moisture.

- Cool Temperatures For Mid Summer Are On The Way

850mb temperatures this time of year can push into the lower to
middle +20C resulting in temperatures in the 90s and above. That
will very much not be the case as we move through the end of the
week and into the weekend. 850mb temperatures bottom out Friday
night through Saturday night around +7 degrees C. Regarding the
upper trough that digs into the Great Lakes this weekend we had
thought the ECMWF was the model to follow, but it has been trending
to the deeper trough that has been consistently shown in the GFS now
for days. So, following the deeper trough and therefore cooler
temperatures. GFS Mos guidance shows temperatures in the 70s Friday
through Monday and we feel this on the right track. In fact on
Saturday we expect that some areas across Central Lower Michigan
that stick in the clouds the longest will hold in the 60s for highs.
Normal highs are in the lower 80s, so with highs forecast in the
upper 60s on Saturday we will be 15 degrees lower than normals which
is very notable for August. Those packing for weekend camping trips
may want to throw a blanket in the mix as lows Friday night and
Saturday night will be in the lower 50s in spots.

- Precipitation Chances Not Zero Over The Weekend

Overall we will be in a northwest flow pattern as the surface
beneath the upper troughing. The cold air flowing across Lake
Michigan which is around +23C right now on a lake wide average will
probably produce some rain showers. Not often we talk about lake
generated / lake effect rain showers in August but we are today.
+23C water temps combined with +7C 850mb air temps will produce
delta T`s in the middle teens C. The instability produced over the
lake will most certainly produce clouds and we will probably see
isolated to scattered rain showers from Friday through Sunday. No
major wash out but we will probably need to increase our chances for
rain showers with time as we get closer to the weekend.
newest oldest
Rocky (Rockford)
Rocky (Rockford)

Keep the below normal temp pattern rocking! Incredible summer of below normal temps! WOW!

Nathan (Forest Hills)
Nathan (Forest Hills)

Hope everyone is enjoying the nice weather pattern. We probably have a solid couple more months… until the action picks up again

Slim

The official H/L yesterday at Grand Rapids was 73/59 there was 0.72” of rainfall. The highest wind gust was 33 MPH out of the NE there was a reported 25% of possible sunshine. For today the average H/L is 82/62 the record high of 97 was set in 1918 the coldest high of 63 was set in 1972 the record low of 46 was set in 1976 the warmest low of 78 was set in 1918. The most rainfall of 0.97” fell in 1959. The overnight low here in MBY was 57 and that is the current temperature with clear… Read more »

INDY
INDY

53 degrees this morning out in my hood that’s definitely cool for the month of Augusta but who’s complaining lol!! Bring on Fall! INDY