We have a relatively warm 37° in Otsego at 6:30 this morning which is above normal for nighttime lows. I am almost to the point where I am tiring of having to dress up in a cacoon of multiple layers just to go outside. On the other hand, one can dress for colder temps but one can only strip to the skin when it is hot then it is a matter of heat tolerance of which I no longer have any. For me, 37° is ‘almost‘ t-shirt weather. Of course, my wife is on the other end of the spectrum and hates the cold so we have the battle of the thermostat year around.
This will be another rather mundane day though we should see some sun later. Along with a stiff westerly breeze, we will continue to see some snow melt which will continue through the week.
- Precipitation winding down early this am...isolated impacts The mid level wave that was generating the precipitation as seen on radar across parts of the region early this morning will push quickly east through daybreak. This will support a diminishing trend to the precipitation prior to the morning commute. The southern end of this precipitation area...from near Muskegon to Grand Rapids and into Lansing has featured a rain/snow mix. Meanwhile further north it has mainly been snow for places like Big Rapids to near Mount Pleasant. This is the region where surface temperatures were around freezing. Some of the snow has been briefly moderate...with Big Rapids dipping down to a half mile visibility in the past two hours. So...local impacts are possible to start the morning commute...even if the precipitation has largely pushed east of Mt Pleasant by then. - Light precipitation possible tonight with limited impacts A surface wave of low pressure is shown to track eastward through Lower MI from near Ludington through Mount Pleasant late tonight into Wednesday morning. The warm air advection out ahead of this system could generate light precipitation tonight mainly along and north of the low track. However the potential for measurable precipitation is low as the the atmosphere will be relatively dry in the DGZ. We will keep the POPs at chance levels and highest closest to the low track. This happens to be the area where surface temperatures will end up near freezing tonight. Thus if it does precipitate tonight...limited impacts will be possible. One forecast variable to watch later tonight is fog. Surface dewpoints will be climbing above freezing for the area to the southwest of Grand Rapids towards Kalamazoo and South Haven. Considering the snow on the ground...we may start to see some fog developing. The potential is too low to include this in forecast at this time but it will be something that we will need to monitor. - Moderating temps over with weekend with some melting snow Low pressure will be tracking eastward through Southern Canada over the weekend. Our surface winds will feature a southerly component which will keep the arctic airmass away from the region. The temperature at 925 mb is shown to climb up to around 3 to 5 deg C over the weekend as the warm air advection persists. It is unclear if we will be able to mix to this level but if we do...daytime High temperatures would rise well into the 40s. We will feature temperatures gradually moderating above climatology with highs in the upper 30s to lower 40s for both Saturday and Sunday. This will lead to gradually melting snow each day....with the melting slowing down at night as overnight lows dip down into the 20s.