Another Dry Week Ahead

Another dry warm week is in store. We have had only .11 of an inch of rain this month in Otsego and our last meaningful rain was way back on August 17th (we had 1.59 inches). This pattern may continue through the rest of the month.

Since August 15, most of Michigan has been running well below average for rain totals. Several spots may have benefitted from a longer-lasting thunderstorm or two, but overall it has been dry. It will stay warm and dry for another week.

Weather History

1939: A four-day heat wave peaks across western Michigan with Grand Rapids hitting 97 degrees and Lansing 94 degrees.

On September 15, 1939, the temperature rose to a record 100 degrees in Detroit for the day. This was the highest temperature record for the whole month of September.

NWS Forecast

Today

Sunny, with a high near 89. South southeast wind 5 to 7 mph.

Tonight

Clear, with a low of around 56. Southeast wind around 6 mph.

Monday

Sunny, with a high near 88. East-southeast wind 3 to 6 mph.

Monday Night

Mostly clear, with a low around 54. East-southeast wind 3 to 6 mph.

Tuesday

Sunny, with a high near 85. East wind 3 to 7 mph.

Tuesday Night

Partly cloudy, with a low around 57.

Wednesday

Mostly sunny, with a high near 82.

Wednesday Night

Partly cloudy, with a low around 58.

Thursday

Sunny, with a high near 83.

Thursday Night

Mostly clear, with a low around 58.

Friday

Sunny, with a high near 84.

Friday Night

Mostly clear, with a low around 59.

Saturday

Sunny, with a high near 85.

Forecast Discussion

- Very warm and dry pattern continues

Fair very warm and dry wx will continue today into early next week
as mid/upper level ridging continues. 00Z HREF cloud cover
guidance suggests that we will only have some sct high cloud cover
today.

High temps today will once again reach well into the 80s even near
the Lake MI shoreline given the east to southeast offshore winds
and slight downslope effects. Mins tonight will mostly be in the
mid to upper 50`s with high temps Monday once again reaching well
into the 80s. An overall consensus blend of latest medium range
guidance continues to suggest that dry wx should continue through
the rest of the week along with a continuation of warm conditions.

- The dry pattern is forecast to continue into next weekend

Based on the ensemble qpf forecasts and latest deterministic model
guidance, it`s still looking dry into next weekend.  However, there
has been a trend toward more moisture advecting in from the east
southeast. PWAT`s are trending up for the middle of the week.  There
has been a slight increase in the ensemble members from the various
models showing qpf in the Tuesday night to Thursday period. Overall
though, most members remain dry. The GFS has been the most aggressive
with the moisture and precipitation risk here in MI, but the
Canadian and ECMWF remain dry. The GFS has not shown good continuity
and there is a lot of spread it`s ensemble precipitation amounts.
For now, we will maintain a dry forecast.

Category: Michigan Weather Forecast