All is Quiet

Not much to report here.  Temperatures were a pleasant 75° yesterday with a morning low of 46°.  Dry conditions prevail which is bothersome because of the dry groundcover and lack of snow last winter.  Not much of the leaves from last year on the ground decomposed, plus the addition of this year is creating a tinderbox.  I have only seen about five mosquitoes this year which is strange because I generally have had to spray the yard every year in previous years.

Skies will become sunny today and it will be less windy as compared to Sunday. The dry weather pattern will continue this week; no rain is expected. It will be turning cooler with lows in the 30s on Wednesday and Thursday morning. The next chance of rain will come Saturday night.

10/6 Wind Reports

Weather History

1965: A tornado destroyed a trailer and several outbuildings southeast of Clare in Isabella County.

2007: Temperatures reach record highs as very warm weather prevails across Lower Michigan from the 5th to the 8th. Grand Rapids sets three record highs in a row with temperatures in the upper 80s from the 6th to the 8th.

On October 7, 2017, a cold front tracked across Southeast Michigan between 9 PM – 12 AM. Thunderstorms ahead of the cold front produced severe winds that resulted in numerous downed trees and power lines, especially in Monroe County.

Also on October 7, 2009, a strong low-pressure system tracked north of the Great Lakes region, with the associated cold front swinging through lower Michigan. Winds gusted between 45 to 55 mph with isolated gusts to 58 mph over a six to eight-hour time frame during the morning hours. With leaves still on the trees, tree branches and trees were reported down in and around the Detroit Metro Area. About 110,000 customers were without power from this wind event.

Also on October 7, 2007, the third day out of a four-day early October heat wave brought record highs to Southeast Michigan. Saginaw reached 91, and Flint was 88, both of which were records. Detroit reached 89 falling shy of the record temperature for the date.

Also on this date in 1963, the temperature rose to 92 degrees in Detroit. This is the record maximum temperature for October in Detroit.

NWS Forecast

Forecast Discussion

- Dry and Cool Through The Short Term

Widespread stratocu are ongoing across Lower Michigan thanks to over-
lake instability given water temperatures near 18C with 850mb temps
near 2C. Conditions become mostly sunny as high pressure dominates
our local weather patterns during the day Monday, with highs in the
60s. HREF cloud forecasts suggest additional stratocu develops
Monday night into Tuesday, though not as widespread as tonight, as
delta Ts reach 14C. Mostly clear skies and light winds allow temps
to fall into the upper 30s to low 40s before rebounding into the 60s
Tuesday.

- Risk for Frost/Freeze conditions both Tue and Wed nights

Cool Canadian high pressure builds down from northern Ontario into
the northern Great Lakes region during this time.  Dry and cold air
advection will support below normal temperatures for the area.  The
combination of clear/mostly clear nights and light winds will
support good radiational cooling.  Most ensemble members are
supporting temps falling into the 30`s especially the further inland
you go. The multi-run min temperature trends are lower as well.  We
will add frost to the forecast for both Tuesday night and Wednesday
night. Frost/Freeze headlines may be needed.