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A Rainy Day Ahead

Yesterday was a typical fall day though there was little sunshine temperatures went to a high of 68° after a morning low of 55°.  Today will feature rain with a possible thundershower (no severe weather expected). Rainfall amounts will be a quarter to half an inch. Highs will be in the mid to upper 60s.  Our next chance of rain after today will come Saturday through next Tuesday from TS Nine.


WPC Rainfall Forecast

Today’s rainfall forecast

 

Days one through five rainfall

 


Weather History

1950: Smoke from Canadian forest fires gave the sun an eerie bluish cast and darkened the sky across western Michigan.

On September 24, 1997, southeast Lower Michigan saw its first frost of the year. The temperature fell to 32 degrees at Flint. This missed tying the record by one degree.


NWS Forecast

Today
Showers are likely, with thunderstorms also possible after 8 am. Cloudy, with a high near 69. East wind around 6 mph. The chance of precipitation is 70%—new rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Tonight
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 11 pm, then a chance of showers between 11 pm and 2 am. Patchy fog after 5 am. Otherwise, cloudy, with a low of around 58. North-northeast winds around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening. The chance of precipitation is 50%.
Wednesday
Patchy fog before 8 am. Otherwise, cloudy, then gradually becoming mostly sunny, with a high near 74. Calm wind becoming northwest around 5 mph in the afternoon.
Wednesday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 52. Light and variable wind.
Thursday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 77. Calm wind becoming east-northeast around 6 mph in the morning.
Thursday Night
Mostly cloudy, with a low of around 56.
Friday
Partly sunny, with a high near 76.
Friday Night
A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low of around 57.
Saturday
A chance of showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 77.
Saturday Night
A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low of around 57.
Sunday
A chance of showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 77.
Sunday Night
A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low of around 57.
Monday
A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 72.

Forecast Discussion

- Wet and Gloomy Day Ahead

An upper level trough will amplify as it passes into the Great
Lakes Region today. Meanwhile, it`s associated surface low will
slowly track through Lower Michigan this morning and afternoon
bringing spotty showers through much of the day. As the column
gradually saturates further this morning, showers will fill in
late morning to afternoon. Some periods of heavier rain and
embedded non-severe thunderstorms will be possible as PWATS climb
to 1.5" to 1.75", especially across southern Lower Michigan.

Showers diminish in coverage late tonight to early Wednesday, but
some fog potential exists for early Wednesday morning.

- Dry Wednesday/Thursday, then rain chances increase

Models continue to show the deep upper low over the MS Valley
Thursday shearing off the northern part leaving a cutoff low over
the Missouri Valley. Surface high pressure camped out over the
western Great Lakes will result in sunny skies Thursday and early
Friday. What`s left of the Gulf hurricane is progd to move north
into the Ohio Valley, but the high over our region will slow the
northward spread of rainfall. We`ll likely see an increase in
cloudiness, however, Friday afternoon, before the ridge over us
moves east, which will enable the cutoff low to drift north. As the
low moves slowly northward, rainfall chances will increase to 30-50
percent Saturday through Tuesday. Thunder chances aren`t high, but
not zero either.

- Cooler next week

The upper low will finally get kicked east from the next upstream
wave on Monday. This short wave will push a stronger cold front
through the cwa Tuesday dropping h8 temps from 12c to 6c. Highs
Tuesday will be a bit below normal in the mid to upper 60s.
newest oldest
Jesse (Montcalm co)
Jesse (Montcalm co)

Another “rainy” day with nothing in the rain gauge to show for it. Central Michigan needs rain bad.

Mark (East Lansing)
Mark (East Lansing)

Same here. We had a 60% chance of rain but only got a few drops.

INDY
INDY

Perfect Fall day outside!! Hopefully our 80’s are done …. INDY

Mark (East Lansing)
Mark (East Lansing)

Not sure if we’re done with the 80s yet. It’s only September.

https://www.mlive.com/weather/2024/09/think-summer-heat-is-over-for-michigan-think-again.html

Mark (East Lansing)
Mark (East Lansing)

We have friends in Tallahassee. They’re not taking any chances. They’re getting out of town today.

Slim

The official H/L yesterday at Grand Rapids was 66/53 there was no rainfall the sun was out 24% of the time the highest wind gust was 22 MPH out of the N. For today the average H/L is 71/50 the record high of 94 was set in 2017 the coldest high of 46 was set in 1942. The record low of 29 was set in 1950 and 1976 the warmest low of 69 was set in 1930. The most rainfall of 1.39” fell in 1977. Here in MBY I received 0.08” of rainfall overnight.
Slim