As I was driving to Plainwell and back yesterday I had at least three vehicles pull out in front of me from driveways and side streets. Please consider the cost of having an accident in this type of weather. Better to be slow and sure – you are not gaining much time getting in a hurry, the results of getting into an accident can be devastating especially in this cold.
It is 7am and the temp is -14° with a feels like temp of -21°. Tonight the winds will switch around from the south ushering in warmer air for several days and shutting down the lake effect snow machine. Sunday will be 50° warmer than yesterday making us consider opening up the windows to enjoy a springlike day 🙂
I believe this period we are currently in will be our coldest of the winter and our climate will flip once again to relatively warmer conditions across the eastern U.S. . Looking at the long range models our weather in February may be more active with the eastern U.S. being slightly warmer than normal and the northern plains, great lakes and the west coast to be below normal.
Keep in mind that mean temperature averages begin to rise and the coldest air of the winter season is typically in late January. The NAM and GFS continue to be inconsistent with their predictions over the next couple weeks. We could see a return to cold air by the end of next week after a brief warmup. Snowfall amounts don’t look to be overly excessive through mid-month.
Winter is by no means over as I am sure the woodchuck would say we have another six weeks to go. As I stated earlier the models have been inconsistent in regards to rain and snow, we will no doubt have both in the short term. The warmer air and predicted rain coming for this weekend will make a mess of the back roads and turn them into skating rinks – those in low lying areas may be at risk for floods with ice jams plugging up the rivers and streams.
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