Wet Through the Week

The NWS lays out their local morning forecast discussions before 4am and their graphics can sometime lag behind four hours which leaves it up to local METS to make there own determinations on what the weather may actually do.  The models runs I have made over the past hour have been all over the place in regards to how much precipitation we will get in SW Michigan.

Below is the current graphic of where the heaviest rain may set up for this evening through Tuesday morning which would be from Allegan, Barry, Eaton and Ingham county to the south.

It is my belief the heaviest rains will fall along and south of the I94 corridor with decreasing QPF values further north of that boundary.  Severe weather will stay along the I80 corridor where storm chasers and spotters will be setting up today and tonight.

We can still see some training dependent where the lines of storms and rain set up, mainly south of Grand Rapids with localized amounts up to two inches.  The I96 corridor could see a half an inch or so and the I94 corridor up to 3/4 of an inch as of this writing – Three Rivers could have up to an inch and a half.  To keep up to date on this check out the point forecasts on the front page as amounts keep changing and are quite variable across lower Michigan.

There is a marginal risk for storms over southern Michigan today and tonight.

After this we will see a couple more systems move through which will add to our wet period until we see the heat build back in later this week into next week.  The CPC has us warmer than normal over the next couple weeks.


 


 

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Mookie
Mookie

WOOD now has back to back 89 degree days in their forecast – more 90’s coming?

Rocky (Rockford)
Rocky (Rockford)

Hype – won’t happen!

Barry in Zeeland
Barry in Zeeland

Looks like our extended cool streak that some were calling for ended at 2 consecutive days as yesterday came in at exactly average. Not pleasant this morning. 75 when I went to work at 5, and now the dew point is back up to 70. Looks to be a lot of heat coming for the rest of the month.

Rocky (Rockford)
Rocky (Rockford)

Below normal temps are on tap for wed, thurs and Friday just like I predicted! No 90’s in sight! Who would have thought!

Mark (East Lansing)
Mark (East Lansing)

We sure could use some rain. Twas a beautiful weekend, though.

Mookie
Mookie

Just another above average day today. CFS looks very warm into September! Summer keeps rolling on.