Rain Chances

posted in: Michigan Weather Forecast | 22

To the left is the NAM total rainfall assumption through 18z on Friday.  On Sunday the models had more rain on the west side of the state – today not so much.  NWS plots are showing around a 40% chance in SE Allegan county with perhaps a quarter inch, chances increase to 65% on the eastern side around Detroit to under 1/2 inch.  Grand Rapids is around a 24% chance.  So our variances in model data are all over the place.

Currently there is a low pressure system tracking slowly northeast out of Missouri making the models unsure the direct path it will take or the strength of it once it gets here.

If it holds together it could track more westerly bringing more rain to the area or it could start falling apart bringing lesser amounts.  I guess the best bet will be wait and see what happens.  The next chance of rain will be Thursday with a cold front pushing through – at this point it appears the main threat of rain will be north of Grand Rapids.

We have a Bermuda high entrenched in the Atlantic so we will begin to see the warm and humid air returning for the weekend with highs in the upper 80s and dew points in the 60s – I will have more on what a Bermuda high is on Thursday….


 

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ROCKY (Rockford)
ROCKY (Rockford)

No heat waves are in sight!

Mr. Negative
Mr. Negative

Not possible…a week or two back, Wood Weather stated “that’s it for 90 degrees for 2018”. So…90 is obviously is not going to happen.

ROCKY (Rockford)
ROCKY (Rockford)

I love it!

ROCKY (Rockford)
ROCKY (Rockford)

No there is not a heat wave on the horizon as some are clamoring! We may see 2 or 3 days up around 90 degrees and then a cool down! That is surely not a heat wave! The GR NWS is showing GR with ZERO 90 degree days this week! What a joke!

Jeff(Portland)
Jeff(Portland)

A cool down in the 80s. Yep, that’s a real cool down. Actually, will still be above normal after this up coming Heat Wave. More 90s on the way to add to the tally !! Just face it, you were wrong once again. LMAO !!!

Mookie
Mookie

Lol even WOOD has it labeled, “Heat Wave.” Nice try to spin

ROCKY (Rockford)
ROCKY (Rockford)

WOOD is a big hype machine!

Sandy (Hudsonville)
Sandy (Hudsonville)

WOOD has 4 days in the 90’s starting Saturday. Sounds like a heat wave to me.

Mark (East Lansing)
Mark (East Lansing)

We’re home from Arkansas and Missouri. What a great time. It is so beautiful down there. Horribly hot for the 1st half of our vacation, but the 2nd half was perfect. It looks a little greener around here than when we left 11 days ago.

Slim

July 2018 will be one of the warmest on record in parts of Michigan. With just one more day to go Sault Ste Marie with a mean of 70.2° is tied with 1955 for its 3rd warmest July on record with only 1921 and 2012 being warmer. Records have been kept at the Sault since 1888. At Alpena with one day to go they are having their 5th warmest July on record. Records there have been taken since 1917. While at Marquette just 165 miles to the west with its mean of 66.4° it is only the 52nd warmest July… Read more »

Barry in Zeeland
Barry in Zeeland

C’mon Rock guy/gal, I told you not to say this. Now we are going to croak in the coming heat wave:

ROCKY (Rockford)
It will not get hot again! We are done with then 90’s! Mark it down and take it to the bank!

REPLY8 days 19 hours ago
Barry in Zeeland
Barry in Zeeland
There you go again, every time you say things like that, it only gets worse. You thought we were done with our hot 90 degree days back in May already, a dozen or so 90 degree days ago.

REPLY8 days 18 hours ago

Mookie
Mookie

Slim thought we could be done with 90’s for the summer too and kept saying his models were showing a cool August. Whoops!

Slim

It has only been warmer than 93 in Grand Rapids two times on August 7th so highs that warm for that date are very rare. We shall see.
Slim

Jeff(Portland)
Jeff(Portland)

Omg, how can this be.. More 90s to add to the tally once again !!

Andy W
Andy W

Another heat wave on the way!

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Mookie
Mookie

Wow look at that graphic! One of the hottest starts to August history?

Jeff(Portland)
Jeff(Portland)

Haha !!!

Mookie
Mookie

WOOD now has four consecutive 90 degree days in the 8-day! Heat Index going to 104 degrees.

INDY
INDY

Good morning from Wisconsin had some rain with a little thunder yesterday afternoon with the daytime heating the trip from Chicago was long lots of road construction Wisconsin reminds me of Michigan lots of lakes and woods checking out next week we could be having another major heatwave.. well coffee time take care friends check in later..INDY

Mookie
Mookie

So much for a front-loaded summer and no more 90’s

Jeff(Portland)
Jeff(Portland)

Lol.