Another year has passed us by which weather wise had been on the warm side until the last couple months when the bottom has dropped out which has brought us the coldest air we have seen in quite some time.
The warnings and advisories will expire at noon today. Occasional bursts of snow will affect locations near Lake Michigan on Sunday into Monday. Cold temperatures will keep roads icy or snow-covered. Wind chills below zero are expected during New Year’s Eve events. All areas in Michigan will have wind chills below zero today and tonight, so, if you are going to celebrate outside dress appropriately. Frostbite can occur in less than 30 minutes to exposed skin.
Many of us have been fortunate over the past year – I can’t help but think of those less fortunate especially those who are homeless who struggle to keep warm. My neighbor has a blanket drive every year in December and personally delivers the blankets to the homeless. Even with the extra warmth those blankets may help with holding in body temperature it is still not enough with the extreme cold we have had over the past few weeks.
When I was a Deacon in the church I saw many young mothers with their children who had no hope for a happy Christmas without the help from area churches to deliver gifts and food to their homes. It brings me cause to weep to see people in these circumstances, especially the children who are caught up in these situations.
We help these people through the holidays then they are mostly forgotten until the next Christmas season. We have many churches and organizations like Mel Trotter, Kalamazoo Deacons Conference and Christian Neighbors who need donations to help these people less fortunate than ourselves. Please keep this in mind as we celebrate the new year tonight and tomorrow. Many can’t understand what the less fortunate are going though unless we see it first hand – it is a hard life. I always keep this in mind when I feel like whining that there are those in worse situations than myself, then I consider myself blessed.
Bands of snow showers will move onshore today leading to some hazardous travel conditions near the lakeshore. The snow showers will then persist tonight into Monday…mainly near the lakeshore with some additional accumulations possible. Very cold temperatures will persist this morning with subzero wind chills. High pressure is forecasted to dominate the weather for Tuesday…leading to a dry but very cold day for most locations.
The northwest flow picks up on the west side of the lake today…which will help to push this band onshore later this morning. Some high res models also suggest a second mesolow will eventually move onshore near South Haven later this morning or early this afternoon. We may need to extend the WSW as a result. Outside of the snow impacts…wind chills were in the -15 to -25 range earlier this morning…but have come up somewhat.
Temperatures will remain much below normal through the long range forecast period with occasional snow showers. An Alberta clipper system will move in from the northwest Tuesday night into Wednesday bringing snow followed by a reinforcing shot of arctic air for late in the week. This system will bring potential for hazardous travel conditions for the Wednesday morning commute particularly north of I-96 and then across our area Wednesday afternoon. Snow could become particularly heavy near the Lake Michigan shoreline and for areas west of US-131 due to lake enhancement and as inversion heights get a boost to near 10 kft agl Tuesday night into Wednesday.
A high pressure ridge will gradually build down from the northwest late in the week and may eventually cause snow showers to diminish somewhat inland. However lake effect/lake enhanced snow showers are likely to continue late in the week west of US-131 with potential for one or several mesolows to develop nightly due in part to nocturnal land breeze convergence. High temperatures through the long range fcst period will only reach the single digits above zero to teens. Low temperatures will range from well below zero on radiational cooling nights when a fair amount of clearing develops to near 5 to 10 above zero near Lake MI where lake effect clouds will be most persistent.
Today: A chance of snow showers before 1pm, then a chance of snow showers after 2pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 11. Wind chill values as low as -6. East southeast wind around 6 mph becoming calm in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Tonight: Snow showers likely, mainly after 7pm. Mostly cloudy, with a steady temperature around 6. Wind chill values as low as -4. Calm wind becoming west northwest around 5 mph after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New snow accumulation of around an inch possible.
New Year’s Day: Snow showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 11. Wind chill values as low as -4. Light west northwest wind increasing to 5 to 10 mph in the morning. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New snow accumulation of less than one inch possible.
Monday Night: A 50 percent chance of snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 7. Wind chill values as low as -5. West wind 6 to 8 mph.
Tuesday: A 20 percent chance of snow showers before 1pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 18. West southwest wind 9 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 23 mph.
Tuesday Night: A 30 percent chance of snow showers after 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 8.
Wednesday: Snow showers likely. Cloudy, with a high near 17. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Wednesday Night: A slight chance of snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 3.
Thursday: A slight chance of snow showers. Partly sunny and cold, with a high near 10.
Thursday Night: A chance of snow showers, mainly before 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 1.
Friday: A chance of snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 11.
Friday Night: A chance of snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 3.
Saturday: A chance of snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 16.
Stay safe and warm in your celebrations tonight – most importantly have a designated driver if you are planning on being out on the roads.
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