Snowmen and March Outlook

posted in: Michigan Weather Forecast | 5

This photo was taken by SS of the unhappy snowman, I am sure he (or she) is now is a small lump whimpering next to the tree.  The only snow I see know is up on Bittersweet down the road but most snowmen don’t have the ability to bounce around like Olaf to get up there to seek relief.

The feature image shows the rainfall amounts over the state from  the last system.

Surface high pressure over the area this morning will result in mostly cloudy skies and afternoon temperatures slightly above normal between 35 to 40 degrees.

The next system comes through the area tonight into Friday morning. This will bring the threat of some light freezing rain, possibly mixed with sleet and snow over northern sections late tonight into mid morning Friday.

It will warm enough that all areas will see just rain showers my mid to late morning Friday. That will be followed by a surface high Friday night into Saturday morning. However a much stronger system from the southern plains deepens rapidly and comes through Southwest Michigan Saturday night. This time it should be warm enough that most areas will just have rain showers. Our northeast sections could see a little freezing rain Saturday night however. This system moves out of the area by Sunday evening.

As for the “BIG PICTURE”, we still have large upper level high over the Southeastern CONUS with our Polar Vortex upper low displaced southward into Hudson Bay with a deep trough over the western CONUS. This creates a “Train track” set up for surface lows to follow toward the Great Lakes area. This pattern finally breaks down early next week, but until then we will continue to see systems coming out of the western trough into the Great Lakes.

The CPC outlook for March is out which shows equal chances of above or below normal temperatures and precipitation.  The CFSv2 has shown several cold outbreaks so we still have chances of snow throughout the month.



 

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Mr. Negative
Mr. Negative

Coincides with the No Spring forecast (guess). A perfectly lousy March and April on the way…

INDY
INDY

Hopefully we don’t have a below March but long range thoughts Are Starting to trend that way .. I’m ready for spring!! INDYDOG14

Andy W
Andy W

We all are INDY!! Sprites galore!

Slim

The mean temperature for Grand Rapids last year was 50.3° while cooler than the 51.2° in 2016 it was none the less 1.5° warmer than the 30 year average of 48.8° and 2.1° warmer than the 100 year average of 48.1° That 50.3° is only the 11th time in Grand Rapids history that the annual mean has been 50° or better. The warmest is 52.8° in 2012 and the coldest is a cold 44.6° set in 1917.
Slim

Mookie
Mookie

Wow! All 40’s and 50’s the next 8 days. We may soon be back in below average snowfall for the winter.