We have made our way through November without a major snow event for lower Michigan though we have had snow on the ground on several occasions it hasn’t been enough to hardly bring out the shovels as we can let it melt off within a day. At this point I am thinking we may make it through the rest of the month in a similar pattern.
The snow and ice continues to build across Canada and the rest of the northern hemisphere – we are now seeing the ice start to build across the Hudson Bay in Canada. Temperatures in Northern Canada are in the negative 5 to negative 15 degrees range. The main storm path still is going up through the Ohio Valley on through New England.
The Arctic Oscillation (AO) is currently negative and is predicted to remain negative to possibly strongly negative for the next two weeks. Even with this in place I am not seeing any super Arctic outbreaks over the next couple weeks – we may have to wait until around mid December before the really cold air starts breaking loose and rotating into our area.
With the negative AO we continue to see below normal seasonal temperatures for the eastern U.S. through the next two weeks, possibly right on through December. The cold air in Canada at this point is not extraordinary so we have not seen the cold outbreaks with daytime temps in the teens to low 20s yet. Keep in mind the polar vortex retreats to help build more cold air before it moves back into the U.S.. we haven’t seen this happen yet as what cold air they have up there continues to move south. With the exception of this weekend chances are we will continue in the below normal temp pattern we have been in this month.
Of course using computer models and statistical analog patterns for forecasting can be humbling for those of us who try to predict what will happen beyond three or four days so our guesses are as good as guesses can be and remain only guesses…..
Happy Thanksgiving to all of my bloggers out there – thanks to your loyalty to this site. A special thanks to Slim for his diligence in his weekly Saturday posts.
We all have a lot to be thankful for especially in the great land we live in. Those that whine aren’t digging deep enough to find gratitude and must burst the bubble which they live in to see all the beauty which surrounds them. We must look beyond ourselves to see there are others who suffer more than ourselves.
In this season we look to help those who are in need which are many, which due to circumstances beyond their control do not have homes or food. Many are women with children and our veterans. To me this is unacceptable. I was astounded to see the statistics how many homeless people lived in our area including Allegan County. Our veterans don’t deserve to be homeless – the government needs to step up to help those men and women who served our country.
When the first thanksgiving evolved it came from the pilgrims who moved to America due to religious persecution. Even with the hardship they faced they found much to be grateful for as should we when we celebrate this holiday with friends and family.