Cyclogenesis is the rapid development or strengthening of a low pressure center. A cyclogenesis bomb is where the central barometric pressure drops at least 24 millibars in 24 hours.
This is the latest from the NWS in regards to the high winds today:
Strong and damaging winds are almost certain today with gusts in the middle of the night across portions of MO and IL to in excess of 60 mph, and the low will only continue to deepen today as it works northeast through the area. A concern is the fact that this low will move on a track closer to our area than the 1998 Fall Storm, the Fitzgerald Storm of 1975 or the Armistice Day storm of 1940. All of those systems tracked further west across Wisconsin. This storm will move across Lake Michigan today which will put the rise/fall pressure couplet and therefore the strongest winds right through our area. Model cross sections in BUFKIT continue to show mixing depths tapping 65 knots around 4,000ft. Winds in excess of 50 mph are a certainty, with 60 mph likely and even higher values possible.
Below is the HRRR model for wind gusts today at 10 meters (33 feet):
This is the point forecast for wind gusts (Allegan County): The blue line is the gusts, the line below is wind speed and direction.
This is a good time to make sure all your mobile devices are charged – the winds are starting to pick up and we will start seeing some snow shortly. I live in a valley but can see the tops of the trees swaying.
You can keep track of current conditions on the front page here – I have a ticker on top with the current warnings for the area. Stay safe……
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