Looking at the various winter forecasts I am seeing the usual wide range of guesses – as the cold air settles in the anticipation builds whether pro or con for a snowy cold winter.
We currently have a ‘blob’ of unusually warm water in the Gulf of Alaska which has had an effect on our weather in the Great Lakes region. This causes the jet stream to bow unusually-far north around this area of warm water. This would cause a dip in the jet stream and resulting intrusions of cold Arctic air into the middle and eastern U.S.
This wavy jet stream also reduces California and West Coast precipitation.
The CPC continues to show the probability of below normal temps for most of the month, normal being in the mid to upper 40s for daytime highs with lows just below freezing for the first week of November.
I love the seasons which is the main reason I have continued to live in the Great Lakes – I can’t see myself going south in the winter even though I am retired.
We have chances of rain and snow showers or a mix dependent on where you live through the rest of the week into next week when the coldest air of the season arrives. Still to early to predict where lake effect snow will fall which depends on which way the wind blows.
Currently we have a winter weather advisory for Leelanau, Antrim, Benzie, Grand Traverse, Kalkaska, Manistee, Wexford, Missaukee and Charlevoix counties through 5am tomorrow morning.
Total snow accumulations of 4 to 8 inches expected across much of the area. Locally higher amounts to as much as a foot are possible.