Chances of Rain and Storms

posted in: Michigan Weather Forecast | 24

As we move from September to October colliding air masses from Canada and the Gulf can create a war zone of storms and severe weather.  We went through most of the summer with a dull weather pattern for storm chasers in Michigan as the storms set up well south of the state.  The SPC has us in the slight risk for today with a 10% chance of severe weather.  Will keep you updated….

This is the time of year we pick up all our lawn ornaments and start cleaning up the yard for winter.  Snow is still far away but there are a lot of leaves falling already mainly due to the hot and dry summer we had.  Trees were stressed this year and are shedding mostly brown leaves.  I have been mulching the leaves with my lawn tractor but it will soon be time to put the tractor away and start tuning up the snow thrower.

I have been watching the squirrels burying walnuts – I watched one the other day digging some up and moving them to under my porch where they will be easier to get to.  We have a large crop of walnuts this year and our crab apple tree has more fruit than I have ever seen in the 20 plus years I have lived here.  Every year we have had a large crop of walnuts and squirrels actively burying them we have had a lot of snow.

When we cleared our property to build our house we left the crab apple and black walnut trees in place then planted several maple and pine trees to take the place of those we had to remove to put up the house.  We have lumber people stop by every year asking to buy the walnut trees which I refuse to sell – I like them where they are.

We currently have some rain and drizzle moving through the area this morning due to a low pressure center moving through Wisconsin.  We have a better chance of rain and storms this afternoon and evening as a cold front moves through.


 

 

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Andy W
Andy W

Same here, had to turn the AC on again last night! So WARM for this time of year!!

Sandy (Hudsonville)
Sandy (Hudsonville)

It might be breezy outside but it is still humid! My AC is running.

Barry in Zeeland
Barry in Zeeland

Still muggy out with the dew point at 70. Most humid year ever? Years ago we used to have the furnace running by this time of the year. Now we have the AC running to dry out the air.

INDY
INDY

Cool breeze outside! INDYDOG14!!

Mr. Negative
Mr. Negative

Breaking news: Storm Free…imagine that…

Leonard Blush
Leonard Blush

Yet another warm and humid day…and night. The high dew point summer just keeps rolling on! Sounds like a nice round of thunderstorms are moving in!

Sandy (Hudsonville)
Sandy (Hudsonville)

Welcome to the group. We saw some lightning this way too.

Barry in Zeeland
Barry in Zeeland

Look at that. Once again a good looking line of storms is splitting in the middle. Top half of the line going North of us, bottom of the line going South of us. I would bet this Winter the trend continues of every storm missing us in every direction cutting down on snow totals.

INDY
INDY

Last of the 80’s till May? Hmmm! INDY!

Andy W
Andy W

We might get there next Wednesday again INDY!

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Andy W
Andy W

I say 55” of snow this winter! Slim, you should take these guesses today and store them for a reveal next April after winter!

Mookie
Mookie

Warm and very muggy out there today. Can we hit 80?!

Slim

Not sure about where you live, but here at my house it is now 81° with a DP of 70. Will have to see if GRR makes it to 80 or not. No 80 yet at GRR the 4 pm reading there was 79.
Slim

INDY
INDY

INDY says 107 inches of snow for GR! Winter is going to be fun!! INDY!

Slim

If I were to guess on how much snow GR will get this winter I would start out in the 65 to 75″ range. We could see anywhere from 45 to 90″ I think 107 could be way too high. Mookie must be on vacation this week LOL
Slim

Slim

Paul Pastelok at Accuweather has his updated winter 2018/19 forecast out. And his team is guessing our area will see a warm and dry winter. With less snow fall then average. He is using the top analog years of 1994/95, 2006/07 and 1986/87. As for snow fall in the above years at Grand Rapids 1994/95 that winter GRR recorded just 54.9” for the 2006/07 season it was 83.3” and for the 86/87 season it was just 47.6” that 86/87 season was the least amount of snow that I have seen since moving to Grand Rapids in 1984. He also has… Read more »

Barry in Zeeland
Barry in Zeeland

Less snow fall than average is always a good thing. Makes life a whole lot easier for everyone. I’m rooting for 48 inches, all to fall in a one week period and be done with it.

Slim

Last year 32.9″ fell in a 3 weep period with only 44.8″ falling the rest of the winter. So it could happen.
Slim

*SS*
*SS*

Will we have storms if we don’t get much sun? We took care of some of our lawn ornaments over the weekend.

Mark(East Lansing)
Mark(East Lansing)

The sun has appeared here several times over the past couple of hours. I’m not sure if it will make any difference. It appears that our chances of storms will be later tonight after sunset.

*SS*
*SS*

We are getting a little sun too.

Mark(East Lansing)
Mark(East Lansing)

Update – it appears some development is starting to occur, so maybe sooner than originally thought??

Slim

Here in GR there now has been on and off sun the temp here at my house is 78 with a DP of 69.
Slim

Slim

I had 0.04″ of rain overnight. The current temperature here at my house is 66° with a DP of 65 so it feels some what humid out this morning. For the month of September the mean temperature at GRR is now at 68.8° a departure of +4.7 at Grand Rapids. One has to wonder when will the string of above average temperatures end? I feel we are overdue for a pattern change. But keep in mind that it still looks like we are heading for a El Nino winter this year. That said I am doing some research into past… Read more »