Beautiful Day in Store

posted in: Michigan Weather Forecast | 33

Not much to say about today’s forecast beyond which the graphic explains.  We have a pleasant 56° at 5am this morning…

Wednesday appears to be unsettled at this point with the possibility of storms, we will have to wait and see.

Long range outlook for next week after the 15th looks to be another hot and steamy period with heat indices above 95.  We may end up above normal temperature wise for this month unless we have an extreme cool down at the end of the month which doesn’t appear likely at this point.

The CPC is showing a 65% chance of above normal temps and drier conditions through the next 2 weeks:


 

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Sandy (Hudsonville)
Sandy (Hudsonville)

The sunset was beautiful this evening just like Wood 8 said it would be. It ws a great day today. Not too hot and the humidity was low. Even my dog asked to go for a walk for a change. Got out and did some weeding in the garden too. It sure looks like all the heat abnd humidity will be back on Sunday.

Barry in Zeeland
Barry in Zeeland

A week or so ago there were some talking about the polar vortex hitting soon, but now it’s a heat wave? Is there a snazzy name for that to? Tropical vortex? Hades vortex? Inferno vortex?

INDY
INDY

Habanero vortex!! Yuck …INDY!

Slim

You know the term “polar vortex” is a term that was made up by the news media when it gets cold in the winter time, The old terms were “Cold wave” in the winter and “Heat Wave” in the summer time, Both terms vary depending on the location. A “Heat Wave” in Michigan would not be a “Heat Wave” in Nevada. And a “Cold Wave” in Florida would not be a “Cold Wave” here in Michigan well you get the picture.
Slim

Mookie
Mookie

Yeah, I think it was Slim who posted something from a meteorologist saying July was about to turn cold due to the polar vortex. Whoops! Things change quick!

Slim

The post did not say July was going to turn “cold” The write up was from STEVEN DIMARTINO and was written on July 1, 2019 and the term “polar vortex” was not used. Here is that long range guess by STEVEN DIMARTINO from July 1 “The latest MJO forecast from the EPS weeklies strongly supports a sustained El Nino supportive phase of the MJO through the month of July. This all plays into what I suspect will be a rather active and volatile month, certainly more volatile than what we normally see this time of year. Given the above data… Read more »

Mookie
Mookie

How quickly things change.

INDY
INDY

Just like vacation!! INDY!

Slim

On July 6th at 2 PM Mookie Currently an 82 degree dew point in Marshall! All time record high in Michigan?? Well I asked the NWS office to verify that 82° Dew Point reading well here is the response from the NWS Hi James, After a review of the temperature and dew point data for July 6, the 82 degree dew point reading is an error. It appears the equipment may have taken a lightning hit or experienced some sort of malfunction during a heavy rain shower on July 5 at 4:17pm, after which point the temperature and dew point… Read more »

Slim

Hi James, After a review of the temperature and dew point data for July 6, the 82 degree dew point reading is an error. It appears the equipment may have taken a lightning hit or experienced some sort of malfunction during a heavy rain shower on July 5 at 4:17pm, after which point the temperature and dew point readings were identical until the morning of July 7. We see these errors from time to time from automated weather stations, though it is unusual for airport stations to exhibit these types of errors. Thanks for the question. Brandon Hoving Observing Program… Read more »

Mookie
Mookie

Interesting. I think I saw 77 or 78 degree dew points elsewhere, so it was still very muggy by Michigan standards but maybe not quite an all-time record.

Slim

Yes, There were a few days that were very humid but Michigan standards. Outside of Marshall I did not see any in the upper 70’s but there were a few in the mid 70’s and that is very humid for Michigan.
S;om

Slim

The first week of July 2019 is in the record books and at Grand Rapids the mean is at 78.6 (+6.3) there has been 1.95” of rain at the airport. Yesterday H/L was 82/63 the average H/L for the date is 83/62 so yesterday mean was 72.5 and that is the average mean for the date so yesterdays departure was 0
Slim

Barry in Zeeland
Barry in Zeeland

If the monthly departure ends up anywhere near where it is now, that would wipe out a bunch of those minus 1 degree months. What a drastic pattern change, from cooler and rain every day to hot and becoming very dry.

INDY
INDY

After 6 cool ones we are due for a warm one this would of been a good bet to make in vagus I rather be cool then hot not sure why some love the heat no thanks …INDY!

Barry in Zeeland
Barry in Zeeland

I don’t know many who love the heat, most everyone I know hates it. I would love it to stay 50 degrees with dry air year around if I could pick. That would be perfect.

Slim

I don’t think too many people would like it just 50 all year. But near the west coast would be the place for you but they do have a wet and cool season and with a east wind it can get very hot.
Slim

INDY
INDY

56* last night out at thee YARDofBRICKS I had the fan off it was perfect sleeping weather…INDY!

Rocky (Rockford)
Rocky (Rockford)

Give me temps in the teens all winter long and in the 70’s all summer long? That would be Heaven!

Mookie
Mookie

Will 2019 be our 5th straight warm year?

Mookie
Mookie

13 consecutive above average days and going for a warm July! It’s funny that just 4 or 5 days ago WOOD and Bill were calling for a cool back end of July and saying last week was likely the hottest week of summer. But here comes more heat!

Barry in Zeeland
Barry in Zeeland

I was wondering how many days in a row we were at. The Rock guy/gal seems to have abandoned his posts telling us how long of a streak we are on.

Mookie
Mookie

Most people on here only post about cold weather facts. When it’s warm, there is very little mention of departures and streaks.

Slim

As to your question on July 6 for a record Dew Point at Marshal The NWS response is no record due to a malfunction.
Slim

INDY
INDY

Go through this every year sometimes I think Rocky and Mookie are the same bloggers they do post a lot a like and go fishing alot…INDY!!

Slim

Indy I can tell you that Mookie and Rocky are not likely the same person.
Slim

Rocky (Rockford)
Rocky (Rockford)

Mookie is outrageous and I simply state facts and share the incredible RDB model during the winter season! So we are definitely not the same person! Mookie is still hung up on weather stats form the east side of the state! Totally irrelevant data!

Slim

Cloudy and 61 here at my house. Could there be a true “heat wave” on the way? We shall see.
Slim

Slim

This is from todays NWS discussion
WE COULD BE LOOKING AT A REAL HEAT
WAVE THE THIRD WEEK OF JULY, WHICH COULD LAST 4 OR MORE DAYS,
STARTING AS EARLY AS MONDAY THE 15TH. THIS HAS BEEN SHOWN
CONSISTENTLY BY THE ECMWF AND GFS FOR SEVERAL MODEL RUNS IN TERMS
OF THE POSITION OF THE UPPER HIGH AND 1000/850 THICKNESS VALUES
FROM BOTH MODELS. CPC HAS US IN 70 TO 80 PERCENT CHANCE OF ABOVE
NORMAL TEMPERATURES DURING THAT TIME. THEY ALSO HAVE US IN AN AREA
OF A GREATER THAN 70 PERCENT CHANCE OF HEAT INDEX VALUES OVER 95
DURING THIS TIME.
Slim

Barry in Zeeland
Barry in Zeeland

As hot as all the outlooks are calling for, I don’t think I’ll want to come home after vacation next week. I wonder if we will still be in the running for fewest 80 degree days after this??