Temperature at 6am is 11.8° after a low of 3.9° at midnight. We have our fifth advisory in as many days and this one will include a sloppy mess over much of the area. This advisory lasts through 1am tomorrow morning which includes chances of rain, freezing rain and snow. If you check out the Point Forecasts on the front page you will see what is forecast for your area in regards to amounts of each. Below is the forecast for Otsego:
The point forecasts auto update every the hour and include most of the major cities in Michigan. This system is not going to be pleasant if you have to go out in it with over half an inch of cold rain mixing in and ice accumulations of around a tenth of an inch. High temps tomorrow will peak in the mid 30s before spiraling downward again by the end of the week. Below is the NAM forecast through 18z on Friday which is showing a snowy pattern setting up.
The GFS is trying to guess 15 inches of snow through February 3rd for Kalamazoo and Grand Rapids with more falling to the north however we may see a couple rain/snow events in between. I said back in December my main fear for this winter was the possibility of ice events which none of us want to see.
The Heavy Freezing Spray Warning for lake Michigan means heavy freezing spray is expected to rapidly accumulate on vessels. These conditions can be extremely hazardous to navigation. It is recommended that mariners not trained to operate in these conditions or vessels not properly equipped to do so…remain in port or avoid the warning area.